1. #1
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    What is the history of NFL TEAMS WHO ARE FAvored by 2 TDS OR MORE COVERING

    I would love to know this SEATTLE -14.5 is a ton of points but it's our home opener BAM BAM KAM will be back to instill fear and hand out punishment to chicagos Wes and running backs

    31-10 SEATTLE???
    Late garbage TD by forte???

  2. #2
    WildCelticsFan
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    Looking at this game with such a huge spread and total not huge...-14.5 parlayed with over or bears +14.5 with under...if Hawks cover I just don't see game going under

  3. #3
    WWCD
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    I believe favs cover double digit spreads at the rate of about 42%.

  4. #4
    grease lightnin
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    Quote Originally Posted by WWCD View Post
    I believe favs cover double digit spreads at the rate of about 42%.

    No way. Can someone verify this?

  5. #5
    grease lightnin
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    Quote Originally Posted by WildCelticsFan View Post
    Looking at this game with such a huge spread and total not huge...-14.5 parlayed with over or bears +14.5 with under...if Hawks cover I just don't see game going under
    Is cutler playing? I can see it going under with the hawks covering if not.

  6. #6
    SharpAngles
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    If there's a situation where the big fav can cover this is it. CenturyLink should be too much for Jimmy Clausen but that hook will probably bite everyone. No play for me.

  7. #7
    keely85
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    Just take Bears TT under then

  8. #8
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    I remember when the pats were going undefeated reg season I think they covered majority DD FAVS I remember one spread was -22.5 against Jacksonville I think score was like 48-10

  9. #9
    SharpAngles
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    I remember when the pats were going undefeated reg season I think they covered majority DD FAVS I remember one spread was -22.5 against Jacksonville I think score was like 48-10
    Youre going broke if this is your capping strategy. The 2015 Seahawks are not the 2007 Patriots
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  10. #10
    WWCD
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    Quote Originally Posted by grease lightnin View Post
    No way. Can someone verify this?
    Here's one article, but only covers up to 2012.

    http://www.sportingcharts.com/articl...favorites.aspx

    Seahawks do have a better percentage than the NFL averages posted.

  11. #11
    LT Profits
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    From 1985-2014:

    NFL Favorites -14+ are 94-126-8, 42.7% ATS
    All Double-Digit Faves (-10+) are 447-515-23, 46.4% ATS

  12. #12
    grease lightnin
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    Interesting

  13. #13
    Patrick McIrish
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    I loved Seattle then remembered Cutler is out. Game might be closer with the Bears back-up QB's in.

    The whole team plays soft when your starting QB sits out with sand in her vagina once or twice a year.

    Expect the Bears to come out and be more physical.

    In fact, look out for the upset boys, you heard it here first!



  14. #14
    Patrick McIrish
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    The numbers change when you look at DD home dogs ATS. At least last I looked it did.

    Might have changed recently but big dogs playing at home are always worth a 2nd look.

  15. #15
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Quote Originally Posted by keely85 View Post
    Just take Bears TT under then
    what is it right now?

  16. #16
    jjgold
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    Seattle sure looks easy but this is the NFL

    It might be a close game..Seattle could press

  17. #17
    Patrick McIrish
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    Seahawks haven't recovered from the boneheaded call in the SB......

    Took the wind right out of them.

    I said before the year they'll win about 6 games this year.

  18. #18
    Patrick McIrish
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    what is it right now?
    I don't believe they've been posted as of the moment sir.

  19. #19
    Biff41
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    Nfl teams tend to close the gaps from what Limited knowledge I have of this, It shows the Commish is doing good spreading the talent. I would rather take Oregon to cover two Td's over Utah, college seems to have wider swings. Just my .02.

  20. #20
    keely85
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    My guess would be Bears TT o/u 17.5ish?

  21. #21
    greenhippo
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    Clausen stakes his claim as the next best NFL quarterback this weekend. MVP MVP!

  22. #22
    WildCelticsFan
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    Quote Originally Posted by keely85 View Post
    My guess would be Bears TT o/u 17.5ish?
    It's 13.5

  23. #23
    grease lightnin
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    Disclosure: I am not on Seattle nor will I be. Pass on this game entirely.

  24. #24
    johnnyvegas13
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    hawks and under are the plays

    clausen was awful vs zona

    they will stack the box vs forte

    bears lucky to get 1 score

  25. #25
    CanuckG
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    I think the Hawks utilize Graham a lot more this week. Especially vs that putrid Bears secondary.

  26. #26
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Quote Originally Posted by CanuckG View Post
    I think the Hawks utilize Graham a lot more this week. Especially vs that putrid Bears secondary.
    lets hope so don't need any more pissed off players

    Graham was visibility pissed off after Green Bay game

  27. #27
    pavyracer
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    Take the opposite of the books hook bait.

  28. #28
    TheMoneyShot
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    Isn't CBS doing that game? Dogs seem to bark on CBS.

    Jim Nantz and Phil Simms making the call.

    This is CBS's game of the week.

    Look the fuk out.

  29. #29
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    I would love to know this SEATTLE -14.5 is a ton of points but it's our home opener BAM BAM KAM will be back to instill fear and hand out punishment to chicagos Wes and running backs

    31-10 SEATTLE???
    Late garbage TD by forte???
    Harry Line could be -21 and you would still bet Seahawks.

  30. #30
    R.P. McMurphy
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    Have R Wilson on a fantasy squad and Baldwin in another. This Bears defense and whole team gonna be in for long day I think. Should be a favorite in teasers for most I'm sure even if only crossing the 10 on 6 or 7 pointers.

  31. #31
    klemopixx
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    You can't give up double digit points in the NFL and consistently win. Too much crazy stuff going on these days. Seattle at home will get tons of plays and that's why you can't go with it. No play.

  32. #32
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by Patrick McIrish View Post
    The numbers change when you look at DD home dogs ATS. At least last I looked it did.

    Might have changed recently but big dogs playing at home are always worth a 2nd look.
    1989-current

    DD home dogs ATS are 77-58-4, however are 4-6 ATS since 2012. Anything >14, 5-11-1 ATS since '89

  33. #33
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    From 1985-2014:

    NFL Favorites -14+ are 94-126-8, 42.7% ATS
    All Double-Digit Faves (-10+) are 447-515-23, 46.4% ATS
    Yes,, I can go back as far as '89, showing 87-98-3 ATS, ave line -15.6 and ave score 29 - 13.3.. (SU 170-18)

    Can anyone name the last -14+ fav to lose SU? 25 points....go

  34. #34
    Vegas39
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    Yes,, I can go back as far as '89, showing 87-98-3 ATS, ave line -15.6 and ave score 29 - 13.3.. (SU 170-18)

    Can anyone name the last -14+ fav to lose SU? 25 points....go
    was it Pitt

  35. #35
    brooks85
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    hmm the patriots couple season ago lost arizona as big favs I remember


    fading DD favs in NFL is obviously profitable long run but like most things you have to stick with it.

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