1. #36
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vegas39 View Post
    was it Pitt
    nope

  2. #37
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by brooks85 View Post
    hmm the patriots couple season ago lost arizona as big favs I remember


    fading DD favs in NFL is obviously profitable long run but like most things you have to stick with it.
    yes, Sept 16th 2012 but I'm showing them as 13.5 favs, but doesn't mean they were not -14+ at one point

  3. #38
    JMon
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    Road Favs of -14+ do better ATS since '89, 15-11-1 ATS
    Home Favs of -14+ are 72-87-2 ATS

  4. #39
    R.P. McMurphy
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    Each gm based on its own merit. What trends say going back 25 years has NOTHING to do with this gm. Never lay dd's myself but gut says this more likely to cover than not. So gun to head I play the 42%.or whatever "historical" cover odds for fave lol

  5. #40
    Mike Huntertz
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    Carroll will run it up if he gets the chance.

  6. #41
    turtlejc
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    Yes,, I can go back as far as '89, showing 87-98-3 ATS, ave line -15.6 and ave score 29 - 13.3.. (SU 170-18)

    Can anyone name the last -14+ fav to lose SU? 25 points....go
    1995 skinners

    beat the boys

  7. #42
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by turtlejc View Post
    1995 skinners

    beat the boys
    yes, Dec 3 1995 17-24 Skins, -17.5. Skins bet them too on Oct. 1 1995 as 13pt dogs.

    However there was one before that...hint 2010

  8. #43
    newguy
    [Too Long]
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    Bears money line. Don't overthink this.

  9. #44
    turtlejc
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    yes, Dec 3 1995 17-24 Skins, -17.5. Skins bet them too on Oct. 1 1995 as 13pt dogs.

    However there was one before that...hint 2010
    the vikings beat the eagles

    after the snow postponed the game
    Points Awarded:

    JMon gave turtlejc 25 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  10. #45
    Twiz
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    Teams favored by at least 14 are 39-46 ATS since '04. Home teams 32-40 ATS same criteria.

    Teams favored by at least 14 are 24-33 ATS since beginning of 08 season.

    For sake of including Pats too this week, teams favored by at least 13 are 73-84 ATS since '04. Home teams 63-74 ATS same criteria.

    Teams favored by at least 13 are 46-52 ATS since beginning of 08 season.

  11. #46
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Line has dropped to -14 waiting

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