1. 08-14-15 04:29 PM #36
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by mth61 View Post
    phils moved to 8 on 5d. Wiser to play 8.5 at -123, or 8 at +101 or no value?
    8 +101 is tolerable, I'd say +101 is the bare acceptable minimum. 8.5 capped at -120.
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  2. 08-14-15 04:38 PM #37
    Slanina
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    Quote Originally Posted by mth61 View Post
    That being said from my understanding LT uses a model based on analytics and lineups that spits out totals and winning %'s and handicaps them from those numbers.

    For example on a side. Take the Tigers. His model gave them a 36% chance of winning while oddsmakers had them at 32.75% of winning at that time. That 3.5% is the edge and if betting that 100 times you win. I think thats an okay explanation.

    A

    LT please feel free to correct me if I am way off lol

    Appreciate it. Wasn't looking for an exact formula, just a quick summary.
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  3. 08-14-15 05:05 PM #38
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    Cubs/Sox total just went from 8 to 9.
    Anyone know why?
    i liked the under but good thing i passed.
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  4. 08-14-15 05:11 PM #39
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Slanina View Post
    Appreciate it. Wasn't looking for an exact formula, just a quick summary.
    he uses cybernetics and dianetics.
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  5. 08-14-15 05:16 PM #40
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    LT has a "model" he is a fukkin genius. This model is worth millions.

    I am considering going back to school just so i can learn how to make my own model.
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  6. 08-14-15 06:06 PM #41
    ANOoki
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    7 MLB Plays Friday

    Yankees / Blue Jays UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
    Mariners / Red Sox OVER 9.5 +100 (Bookmaker)
    Diamondbacks / Braves UNDER 7 +100 (Heritage)
    Diamondbacks UNDER 3.5 +105 (Team Total) (5 Dimes)
    Phillies / Brewers UNDER 8.5 -115 (5 Dimes)
    Twins +130 (Heritage)
    Tigers +205 (5 Dimes)
    Love that under 8 in the yanks/blue jays. Pretty much a lock. Gl
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  7. 08-14-15 06:07 PM #42
    Slanina
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ghenghis Kahn View Post
    he uses cybernetics and dianetics.
    Well if he's not incorporating metaethics, I want no part.
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  8. 08-14-15 06:40 PM #43
    mth61
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    Dont forget...

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  9. 08-14-15 06:59 PM #44
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Slanina View Post
    Well if he's not incorporating metaethics, I want no part.
    you're in luck, he mentioned ~5%.
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  10. 08-14-15 08:04 PM #45
    pilebuck13
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    Good call on Seattle over lt
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  11. 08-14-15 08:31 PM #46
    mth61
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    Quote Originally Posted by pilebuck13 View Post
    Good call on Seattle over lt

    3 Innings what a laugher, great fuckin' call
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  12. 08-14-15 09:16 PM #47
    bet-clever
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    Simon as expected, when this guy pitches, take the opposant team, it is banker.
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  13. 08-14-15 09:22 PM #48
    intermission
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    holy shit that was close
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  14. 08-14-15 09:46 PM #49
    mth61
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    Quote Originally Posted by bet-clever View Post
    Simon as expected, when this guy pitches, take the opposant team, it is banker.

    I can't stand the opposant team though.
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  15. 08-14-15 09:47 PM #50
    jjgold
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    LT is a guy you do not want to book
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: mth61
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  16. 08-14-15 10:12 PM #51
    LT Profits
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    started 5-0, looks like 5-2 barring a Tigers miracle. Still good enough to go over +80 units though.
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  17. 08-14-15 10:15 PM #52
    secret007
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    80 unit won when betting to win 1 unit
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  18. 08-14-15 10:21 PM #53
    JameisBrady
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    feel bad for anyone who followed this clown on the tigers or laid off on stros because of his "shoot for the moon" stupidity.
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  19. 08-14-15 10:26 PM #54
    mth61
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    Quote Originally Posted by JameisBrady View Post
    feel bad for anyone who followed this clown on the tigers or laid off on stros because of his "shoot for the moon" stupidity.
    HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
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  20. 08-14-15 11:30 PM #55
    BamaCBass
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    Quote Originally Posted by JameisBrady View Post
    feel bad for anyone who followed this clown on the tigers or laid off on stros because of his "shoot for the moon" stupidity.
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  21. 08-14-15 11:33 PM #56
    BamaCBass
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    started 5-0, looks like 5-2 barring a Tigers miracle. Still good enough to go over +80 units though.
    Hell yes, LT! Congrats on 80+ and a great season!
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  22. 08-15-15 02:36 AM #57
    Ralphie1412
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    Nice work on those totals LT
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  23. 08-15-15 06:21 AM #58
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by JameisBrady View Post
    feel bad for anyone who followed this clown on the tigers or laid off on stros because of his "shoot for the moon" stupidity.
    "Stupidity" is now +81.27 YTD.

    And your record is?
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  24. 08-15-15 06:28 AM #59
    Demoman 513
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    Up over 80 units and all Jameis can do is pick on a dog that lost..Always one in every crowd.. Thanks for the 5-2 night LT , keep up the Great Work.
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  25. 08-15-15 06:29 AM #60
    dfish
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    tough crowd,good work
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