1. 08-04-15 04:40 PM #36
    Amadeo-Picks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    I agree , the Nationals def have the bullpen advantage and a advantage at starting pitcher.

    Patrick Corbin is very good too though... i don't know what to think.. The Nationals haven't been hitting the ball much lately. But yeah your right Mad Max might throw a shut out tonight.

    He he is their best pitcher. But remember he is coming off tommy john. Harvey as good as he has been this year has his starts where the stuff or control isn't there cause of the surgery. I expect max to go 7 innings and give up 2runs and at worst 3. Anything better than that is a plus plus .
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  2. 08-04-15 04:40 PM #37
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Red Sox +165 (5 Dimes)
    Gardner Out for Yankees, Hanley Ramirez In for Boston
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  3. 08-04-15 04:56 PM #38
    eddycash
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Gardner Out for Yankees, Hanley Ramirez In for Boston
    is that good or bad for us?
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  4. 08-04-15 05:38 PM #39
    marktb68
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    opinions. on. best bet tonight. I only play 1-2 games. any thoughts?
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  5. 08-04-15 05:58 PM #40
    marktb68
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    ive. got. twins under 8.5 at +105
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  6. 08-04-15 09:47 PM #41
    marktb68
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    Sorry man you say ny 64% then say red Sox
    Dude the pitcher was a first time starter. I stupidly bet red sox. Stupid pick
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  7. 08-04-15 09:51 PM #42
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    owens actually pitched well, it was the bullpen.
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  8. 08-05-15 12:15 AM #43
    El Sol
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    Quote Originally Posted by marktb68 View Post
    Sorry man you say ny 64% then say red Sox
    Dude the pitcher was a first time starter. I stupidly bet red sox. Stupid pick
    If you're going to get upset over losing a bet, and a longshot at that...then this may not be the hobby for you
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    BamaCBass gave El Sol 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  9. 08-05-15 05:36 AM #44
    LT Profits
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    3-3 but actually eked out +0.11 of profit.

    marktb68, I don't rate my plays because I play them all about the same amount, so when you pick and choose instead of just playing them all, there could be more variance in your results vs. mine.
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  10. 08-05-15 07:11 AM #45
    Big Bear
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    lets sweep the board today LT
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  11. 08-05-15 08:03 AM #46
    marktb68
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    my point you stated 64% NY and then pick RS. what's the point of using your model if you choose opposite?
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  12. 08-05-15 09:28 AM #47
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by marktb68 View Post
    my point you stated 64% NY and then pick RS. what's the point of using your model if you choose opposite?
    Notice my comment about Garner out and Ramirez in, my model had the opposite. After making those changes to my default lineups, Yanks dropped to from 64% to 61% (-156), so +165ish became OK.
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  13. 08-05-15 09:52 AM #48
    marktb68
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    to me, 3% doesn't change much. When does common sense and logic come into the picking, not for you, for everyone else. for example, yesterday, Arrieta over Happ, to me, was a 100% given. No questions. None. Why? common sense.
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  14. 08-05-15 09:56 AM #49
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by marktb68 View Post
    to me, 3% doesn't change much. When does common sense and logic come into the picking, not for you, for everyone else. for example, yesterday, Arrieta over Happ, to me, was a 100% given. No questions. None. Why? common sense.
    I am 100% a numbers guy and it has worked for me so won't change anytime soon.

    Well, actually a 99% numbers guy,the other 1% is are judgement calls I make when to pass on games with big variance from model and when to include games with smaller than 10% variances (which unfortunately included Red Sox last night, but oh well...shit happens).
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  15. 08-05-15 10:00 AM #50
    marktb68
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    and dbags. sorry. everytime I bet AZ, I lose everysingle time
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