1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Thursday, 7/2/15

    4 MLB Plays Thursday

    Pirates -124 (Heritage)
    Brewers / Phillies UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
    Braves +189 (5 Dimes)
    Rockies +135 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 281-257-14, +51.13

  2. #2
    Big Bear
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    no Jose Fernandez?????

  3. #3
    Fabiodog
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    Any 70% teams today,you are 3-0 in that dept so far.

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    Big Bear
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  5. #5
    jjgold
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    Arizona has no business ever being favored by this much

  6. #6
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Arizona has no business ever being favored by this much
    true.

    Although the Snakes hammer lefties and the Rockies bullpen is a disaster.

    But the Rockies should be able to take hellboy to pound town.

  7. #7
    PorkChop
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    Really want that Phillies line to go 8.5, then im all over the Under.

  8. #8
    Blackballer
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    Pirates for the sweep!

  9. #9
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fabiodog View Post
    Any 70% teams today,you are 3-0 in that dept so far.
    No, nothing even close today.

  10. #10
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Really want that Phillies line to go 8.5, then im all over the Under.
    There was 8.5 available at the time i bet, but cheapest price was -127 on 5 Dimes Reduced.

  11. #11
    BamaCBass
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    LT, in your opinion, do Runlines rarely have value? Obviously it depends on the price, but it appears you don't play them.

  12. #12
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by BamaCBass View Post
    LT, in your opinion, do Runlines rarely have value? Obviously it depends on the price, but it appears you don't play them.

  13. #13
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by BamaCBass View Post
    LT, in your opinion, do Runlines rarely have value? Obviously it depends on the price, but it appears you don't play them.
    It seems to me Run Lines are occasionally undervalued for Money Line favorites in the -131 to -150 range if you can get RL dime lines, but not very often. I have played 2 or 3 RL faves this year. I would also go as far as to say Run Lines almost never have value on 20-cent lines.

  14. #14
    BamaCBass
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    It seems to me Run Lines are occasionally undervalued for Money Line favorites in the -131 to -150 range if you can get RL dime lines, but not very often. I have played 2 or 3 RL faves this year. I would also go as far as to say Run Lines almost never have value on 20-cent lines.
    You da man. Seems like you may have stated something similar before, as my memory often eludes me, but I had a feeling that was the case. Thanks for your take.

    GL today!

  15. #15
    Big Bear
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    what is a RL dime line?

    and what is a RL 20 cent line?

    does a RL 20 cent line mean -120? b/c i rarely see those. Most of the time -1.5's are offered at + money unless the team is like -250 on the ML

  16. #16
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    what is a RL dime line?

    and what is a RL 20 cent line?

    does a RL 20 cent line mean -120? b/c i rarely see those. Most of the time -1.5's are offered at + money unless the team is like -250 on the ML
    Even most shops that have dimeline Money Lines (-105/-105) still deal 20-cent Totals and Run Lines (-110/-110). That's why it is valuable to find shops with dimeline Totals and RLs (Heritage, 5 Dimes, Pinny for non-USA).

  17. #17
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    as a former pitcher myself, this right here is sexy as hell

  18. #18
    El Sol
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    what is a RL dime line?

    and what is a RL 20 cent line?

    does a RL 20 cent line mean -120? b/c i rarely see those. Most of the time -1.5's are offered at + money unless the team is like -250 on the ML
    I think I understand your misconception on what a dime or 20c line means. It refers to the amount of Juice charged on any given line. Not the Final line. So a 20c line doesn't mean the line is precisely -120 or -110/-110. Its just the easiest example to give

  19. #19
    tatddy
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    LT I have the Nats at roughly 69% to win here. You must rate Banuelos higher than I because the Nats should have no problem putting up a crooked inning in my book.

  20. #20
    LT Profits
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    2 MLB Additions

    6 MLB Plays Thursday

    Pirates -124 (Heritage)
    Brewers / Phillies UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
    Braves +189 (5 Dimes)
    Twins +137 (Heritage)
    Rockies +135 (5 Dimes)
    Mariners / Athletics OVER 7 +100 (Heritage)

  21. #21
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    as a former pitcher myself, this right here is sexy as hell
    did you say sexy?


  22. #22
    EVfollower
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    https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/69...Zz09/r/170548/

    I find the over to be promising. Both pitchers are gas cans and the ump pitching today has a known tight strike zone. What % does your system have the under hitting of the time? Curious to know how big of an edge you personally are predicting. Good luck.

  23. #23
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post


  24. #24
    D-raww
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    Marines vvs athletics over 7, a good pick? Might slam on it.

  25. #25
    ridindirty
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    Boston have any value at around +146?

  26. #26
    PorkChop
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    Quote Originally Posted by ridindirty View Post
    Boston have any value at around +146?

    Excellent value, Blue Jay's second top prospect on his second start. (Rangers beat him first start 4-0.). VERY important game for Sox to get series win here.

    This line to me is mind boggling

    Win would put Sox 6-4 on AL East Trip, 9-5(4-1)

    Saying all that, Miley against the Jays right handers is potential again.
    Last edited by PorkChop; 07-02-15 at 04:31 PM.

  27. #27
    Blackballer
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Even most shops that have dimeline Money Lines (-105/-105) still deal 20-cent Totals and Run Lines (-110/-110). That's why it is valuable to find shops with dimeline Totals and RLs (Heritage, 5 Dimes, Pinny for non-USA).
    Is Heritage accepting non-USA, for instances from Europe?

  28. #28
    Big Bear
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    my model has the Nationals with a 74% chance to win

  29. #29
    Blackballer
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    How good is accuscore when it comes to percentages??

    http://accuscore.com/expert-picks/baseball?ref=rec

    For example they have Nationals at 78%:

    http://accuscore.com/game-forecast-p...ta-braves-1176

  30. #30
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Excellent value, Blue Jay's second top prospect on his second start. (Rangers beat him first start 4-0.). VERY important game for Sox to get series win here.

    This line to me is mind boggling

    Win would put Sox 6-4 on AL East Trip, 9-5(4-1)

    Saying all that, Miley against the Jays right handers is potential again.
    some serious RLM in that one

    public on Red Soc yet line is sky rocketing the other way

    The Jays crush lefties

  31. #31
    ridindirty
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    Boston ML
    Boston+0.5FF
    Jays under 4.5 TT

  32. #32
    PorkChop
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    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Excellent value, Blue Jay's second top prospect on his second start. (Rangers beat him first start 4-0.). VERY important game for Sox to get series win here.

    This line to me is mind boggling


    .

    Line is still mind-boggling to me.

  33. #33
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Line is still mind-boggling to me.
    Not sure if it was set that high to spook some bettors or what. Worked for me. I had it Boston +110. Figured oddsmakers knew what they were doing. Guess not.

  34. #34
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Not sure if it was set that high to spook some bettors or what. Worked for me. I had it Boston +110. Figured oddsmakers knew what they were doing. Guess not.
    Yes that's exactly what they were doing and it worked for you and many others

  35. #35
    UPCOMINGPLAYER
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    its just the first inning and this is toronto fir christ sake. it is looking bleak but its not impossible for them to still win. So chill out we've seen crazier things in baseball

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