6 MLB Plays Monday
Reds +138 (Heritage)
Padres +142 (Heritage)
Twins +104 (Heritage)
Blue Jays / White Sox UNDER 7 -110 (Bookmaker)
Tigers / Mariners UNDER 7 +108 (5 Dimes)
Mets +141 (Heritage)
YTD: 296-271-14, +54.28
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07-06-15 07:05 AM #1
MLB - Monday, 7/6/15
Points Awarded:
zero86ea gave LT Profits 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Ra77er gave LT Profits 7 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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07-06-15 07:15 AM #2
LT, do you have ML/RL/Totals splits of your record? Do you expect some kind of regression given how well you've been doing? Thanks.
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07-06-15 07:23 AM #3
Unfortunately no and I don't feel like taking the time to get the splits.
Originally Posted by jeffjam_
Instinctively I think I am doing well in totals. Also I do not think I have played more than three Run Lines all year, so that part of it is irrelevant. As for regression, I don't know because this is the first year after tweaking my model.
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07-06-15 07:27 AM #4
All right, thanks. Anyway, for your own sake, I think it would be wise to start recording those splits, after all how else you would know in which department your model is flawed if that would happen.
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07-06-15 07:35 AM #5
Gotta love these guys questioning success. LOL. Originally Posted by LT Profits
Unfortunately no and I don't feel like taking the time to get the splits. Instinctively I think I am doing well in totals. Also I do not think I have played more than three Run Lines all year, so that part of it is irrelevant. As for regression, I don't know because this is the first year after tweaking my model.
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07-06-15 07:36 AM #6
Under & Underdog monday. I'm all in. I can see a profit being made today. Originally Posted by LT Profits
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07-06-15 08:13 AM #7
what a fukkin asshole you are for asking LT if he expects a regression. Originally Posted by jeffjam_
dude WTF
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07-06-15 08:26 AM #8
Hey Bear, tell us how you really feel??? Originally Posted by Big Bear
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07-06-15 08:31 AM #9
Lol you have to admit that was a pretty ignorant question to ask. Originally Posted by 44 Mag
Hey Bear, tell us how you really feel???
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07-06-15 08:33 AM #10
Didn't I allude to the same thing in post #5 ???? Just wasn't as "diplomatic" as Bear. LOL. Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3
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07-06-15 08:34 AM #11
Lmao, didn't see that post Originally Posted by 44 Mag
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07-06-15 08:37 AM #12
Hope you took the "reverse jinx" last night ??? I saw this morning a bunch of guys questioning that under wager in the LAA game after I signed off. You guys know damn right well I couldn't hit an under play if I had to. LOL. I even posted the same thing Friday and Saturday, when I wgare under, QUICK, go the other way. Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3
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07-06-15 08:47 AM #13
Padres have zero business being anything at +130 or over.
P.O.D. Padres +142
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07-06-15 09:28 AM #14
OK splits are on the way and you will see that unit-wise, it is just about an even split ignoring RLs. Originally Posted by jeffjam_
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07-06-15 09:31 AM #15
Because jeffjam_ asked for it
:
Code:ML 166 171 3 27.10 Total 129 98 11 27.56 RL 1 2 0 -0.38 Total 296 271 14 54.28
Code:Game 286 262 9 53.19 5-inn 10 9 5 1.09 Total 296 271 14 54.28
Code:Game ML 163 167 0 27.65 Game Ttl 122 93 9 25.92 Game RL 1 2 0 -0.38 Total 286 262 9 53.19
Code:5-inn ML 3 4 3 -0.55 5-inn Ttl 7 5 2 1.64 Total 10 9 5 1.09
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07-06-15 09:42 AM #16
I never realized LT a technician bettor
I thought this guy was just an action shooter
Great work LT
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07-06-15 09:55 AM #17
you can't be serious. He's the most technical of all technicians lol Originally Posted by jjgold
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07-06-15 10:06 AM #18
Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3
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07-06-15 11:06 AM #19
Originally Posted by jeffjam_
He's up 50+ units..maybe he should just focus on what he's doing lol
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07-06-15 11:09 AM #20
What I'm trying to figure out is why all you pole smokers and chicken lickers are so damn interested in LT's formula
just sit back, tail him and make this money……Too easy, thats what i'm doing.
Nomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: emoney
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07-06-15 11:11 AM #21
NIce talk !!! I liked your Halle Berry avatar better than this one. LOL. Originally Posted by dirtycash66
What I'm trying to figure out is why all you pole smokers and chicken lickers are so damn interested in LT's formula just sit back, tail him and make this money……Too easy, thats what i'm doing.
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07-06-15 11:39 AM #22
Hey Lt, how about Houston. Keuchel has been a beast in his last few starts
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07-06-15 11:49 AM #23
I get Cleveland 52% (-108) at home so really see no value either way. Originally Posted by ridindirty
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07-06-15 12:08 PM #24
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07-06-15 12:20 PM #25
lol i just might bring her back, i think this new avatar brings out the worst in me. Originally Posted by 44 Mag
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07-06-15 12:43 PM #26
Originally Posted by dirtycash66
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07-06-15 01:00 PM #27
Ok Originally Posted by LT Profits
How about the Tigers? I know Simon has been shacky last couple of sharts but there has to be some sort of value at +150ish?
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07-06-15 01:16 PM #28
Please dont bet the Reds LT...there is no Value there at +138....Dont say i didnt try to warn you lol
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07-06-15 01:17 PM #29
Against Seattle....100%.....they dont see him often
Originally Posted by ridindirty
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07-06-15 01:32 PM #30
I'd stay away from the Padres... take a look at Shields last couple starts on the road and get back to me. Pirates all day, but will be a close one most likely.
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07-06-15 01:46 PM #31
Hey LT question for you. What's up with Eric Surkamp being -225? What does your model say about the Dodgers tonite?
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07-06-15 02:22 PM #32
Yeah I see alot of people on Reds, and I just don't get it all. I'm actually leaning Washington Originally Posted by PaperTrail07
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07-06-15 02:46 PM #33
Originally Posted by ridindirty
PLus, I posted in my thread, don't get the 7 for a total??? If these guys keep pitching that way, the over looks like a gift, unless someone thinks Seattle can't hit ??? I don't know, it looks awful appetizing, of course LT is smarter than I am ???? Maybe he will weigh in on the subject for us. Originally Posted by PaperTrail07
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07-06-15 03:01 PM #34
Model favors Seattle heavily at 65% (-186), Iwakuma grades out light years better than Simon. So Mariners actually show a bit of value in the -160s, but I do not lay those kinds of odds. Originally Posted by ridindirty
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07-06-15 03:03 PM #35
Washington is now -125 at Pinny so I crushed the line as of now. Let's see what happens. Originally Posted by PaperTrail07
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