1. #1
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 394,888

    Is Kershaw A Good Number at -275??

    He is not winning much but pitching well??

    Texas is whore shit

  2. #2
    THE_RUDESTER
    THE_RUDESTER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-10-15
    Posts: 274
    Betpoints: 1138

    Kershaw will be monew tonight. L.A. lost 2 and I think they take this one tonight at home. Too much talent and fans don't want to see their team lose again. I think they take care of business. Also keep in mind no DH for the Rangers tonight should quite down the bats for them. This definitely favors LAD going against a hot hitting team vs one of the best pitchers in baseball.

  3. #3
    LT Profits
    VIP Moderator
    LT Profits's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,967
    Betpoints: 4746

    No. Rodriguez has been just as hot and Texas is far from horseshit. They have a chance to win their division this year.

  4. #4
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 394,888

    Merge my thread

    There is another one on game

  5. #5
    Giants007
    Giants007's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-03-15
    Posts: 801

    Rodriguez is 3-0 in 6 road starts with a 1.89 ERA, LA is 4-6 against lefties and their bats are ice cold, also the Rangers are 17- 6 this season playing against a team with a winning record. IMO Texas +240 has some value and +1 (-115) doesn't look bad either

  6. #6
    SteveKerrsJunk
    SteveKerrsJunk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-25-13
    Posts: 2,706
    Betpoints: 133

    got it last night at -175, suckers.

  7. #7
    mitch51
    mitch51's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-15-12
    Posts: 4,587
    Betpoints: 8964

    Sandy Koufax ain't worth that.

  8. #8
    thebestthereis
    thebestthereis's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-09
    Posts: 11,460
    Betpoints: 4147

    if you can't find a better option stop gambling. good luck!
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: No coincidences

  9. #9
    EVfollower
    EVfollower's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-05-14
    Posts: 515
    Betpoints: 120

    Got an awful line on texas but +235 ML putting $100 on it. I honestly see it being 1-1 or 2-2 after 5 innings and it being a coin flip the rest of the way so +200 anything is a good number. Other plays for me are $230 each on STL and PIT tonight.

  10. #10
    twestacott
    twestacott's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-02-14
    Posts: 1,044
    Betpoints: 5512

    Seriously if you need to ask if any pitcher is worth -275 then just stop before you make yourself broke. Essentially you are implying that there is slightly under a 27% chance of Texas beating him. If you are that sure that he wins tonight why not bet the RL instead and protect your bankroll?

  11. #11
    DrunkHorseplayer
    Redskins forever
    DrunkHorseplayer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-15-10
    Posts: 6,628
    Betpoints: 16265

    Kershaw has been money at home this year but Texas is hot and +240 is too good to pass up. Down big on Texas.

  12. #12
    44 Mag
    44 Mag's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-14-13
    Posts: 34,431
    Betpoints: 9241

    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    Kershaw has been money at home this year but Texas is hot and +240 is too good to pass up. Down big on Texas.
    So, for the sake of argument, you are going to put up 100. 00 of your money HOPING Texas beats Kershaw in his house ??? Why bother, wishful thinking. Looks good on paper, but in reality, are you willing to waste 100.00 ????

  13. #13
    Amadeo-Picks
    Amadeo-Picks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-14
    Posts: 1,084
    Betpoints: 3492

    Quote Originally Posted by SteveKerrsJunk View Post
    got it last night at -175, suckers.

    the opening line for this was -250. It was never even as low as -220 .... So yea

  14. #14
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 394,888

    I decided to pass mentally on this game best of luck to all

  15. #15
    LT Profits
    VIP Moderator
    LT Profits's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,967
    Betpoints: 4746

    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    So, for the sake of argument, you are going to put up 100. 00 of your money HOPING Texas beats Kershaw in his house ??? Why bother, wishful thinking. Looks good on paper, but in reality, are you willing to waste 100.00 ????
    That is not it it at all. I have Texas winning this game 35% of the time which equates to "only" +185, Wandy being just as hot as Kershaw. Even if Texas wins this game 1/3 of the time to the Dodgers 2/3, +250 is good +EV.

  16. #16
    Ghenghis Kahn
    Best Baller on SBR
    Ghenghis Kahn's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 19,584
    Betpoints: 265

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I decided to pass mentally on this game best of luck to all
    wtf does this even mean?

  17. #17
    opie1988
    I have a MAJOR fukkin clue..
    opie1988's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-10
    Posts: 23,441
    Betpoints: 809

    Anyone laying -275 against a team that has the best record in baseball since May 4th is a dumbfukk. Period.

    SBR
    Poster of
    Year 2011


  18. #18
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 394,888

    Quote Originally Posted by Ghenghis Kahn View Post
    wtf does this even mean?
    It means I am making mental bets right now until July 4th.....it feels real though

  19. #19
    44 Mag
    44 Mag's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-14-13
    Posts: 34,431
    Betpoints: 9241

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    That is not it it at all. I have Texas winning this game 35% of the time which equates to "only" +185, Wandy being just as hot as Kershaw. Even if Texas wins this game 1/3 of the time to the Dodgers 2/3, +250 is good +EV.
    So you have a 1/3 chance to win ???? And you think those are good odds ???? What am I missing here. 2-1 against at that rate. You said yourself last week, your "models just don't like Wandy...." now you are backing him ???? What changed in a week. LOL.

  20. #20
    TxBulldog
    Grinding it out!
    TxBulldog's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-03-10
    Posts: 185
    Betpoints: 84

    Quote Originally Posted by mitch51 View Post
    Sandy Koufax ain't worth that.
    This sums it up very nicely. If you are willing to lay $100 to win less than $38, you are a blithering idiot. I don't care if they were paying the Marlins.....People who lay prices like this are the "donators" who build those big buildings in the desert ;-)

  21. #21
    TxBulldog
    Grinding it out!
    TxBulldog's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-03-10
    Posts: 185
    Betpoints: 84

    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    So you have a 1/3 chance to win ???? And you think those are good odds ???? What am I missing here. 2-1 against at that rate. You said yourself last week, your "models just don't like Wandy...." now you are backing him ???? What changed in a week. LOL.
    44 MAG....I will take 35% winners at +250 All Day, every day. If this doesn't make sense, do us a favor and back every -275 FAV on the board all year. You will not last long!

  22. #22
    El Sol
    El Sol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-17-08
    Posts: 876
    Betpoints: 18

    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    So you have a 1/3 chance to win ???? And you think those are good odds ???? What am I missing here. 2-1 against at that rate. You said yourself last week, your "models just don't like Wandy...." now you are backing him ???? What changed in a week. LOL.
    roll a die and pick a number. All have a 1 - 6 chance in winning and all numbers will pay 6 - 1. You choose the number 6. You will go on massive losing streaks. But Over a 1000 rolls the number 6 will win enough at 6 - 1 that you break even. But what if the number 6 pays 7 - 1. numbers 1 - 5 will break even over 1000 rolls while the number 6 will earn you a profit at the end of 1000 rolls. So theres no reason to pick any number other than 6. This is what value is and this is exactly how you win at sports betting.

    Its not about picking winners, its about putting your money on the side with value and grind. Theres no other way.

  23. #23
    DrunkHorseplayer
    Redskins forever
    DrunkHorseplayer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-15-10
    Posts: 6,628
    Betpoints: 16265

    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    Kershaw has been money at home this year but Texas is hot and +240 is too good to pass up. Down big on Texas.
    I think Texas is significantly better than 5/17 to win; that constitutes value.

  24. #24
    DrunkHorseplayer
    Redskins forever
    DrunkHorseplayer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-15-10
    Posts: 6,628
    Betpoints: 16265

    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    So, for the sake of argument, you are going to put up 100. 00 of your money HOPING Texas beats Kershaw in his house ??? Why bother, wishful thinking. Looks good on paper, but in reality, are you willing to waste 100.00 ????
    I think Texas is significantly better than 5/17 to win; that constitutes value.

  25. #25
    44 Mag
    44 Mag's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-14-13
    Posts: 34,431
    Betpoints: 9241

    Quote Originally Posted by TxBulldog View Post
    44 MAG....I will take 35% winners at +250 All Day, every day. If this doesn't make sense, do us a favor and back every -275 FAV on the board all year. You will not last long!
    Thank you. I will take that under advisement. BOL tonight. And I don't back every -275 FAV.

  26. #26
    pbanks33
    pbanks33's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-25-10
    Posts: 1,504
    Betpoints: 1884

    Under

  27. #27
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 394,888

    Play ball

  28. #28
    frogsrangers
    Zackary > Angelito
    frogsrangers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-26-12
    Posts: 5,792
    Betpoints: 5067

    Joey Gallo just hit a home run halfway up the right field bleachers, right fielder didn't even bother

    Kershaw also gave up a hit to the Rangers pitcher... not his night
    Last edited by frogsrangers; 06-17-15 at 11:15 PM.

  29. #29
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,374
    Betpoints: 18320

    Quote Originally Posted by frogsrangers View Post
    Joey Gallo just hit a home run halfway up the right field bleachers, right fielder didn't even bother

    Kershaw also gave up a HR to the Rangers pitcher... not his night
    In what game?

  30. #30
    RollinDo
    Pickin' up Momentum with every lost Bet!
    RollinDo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-04-13
    Posts: 13,322
    Betpoints: 5181

    I should have just sat out tonight...had a solid day yesterday.
    Played Under 6.5 in Cincy, Under 6 in LA, and LAD ML.

  31. #31
    LT Profits
    VIP Moderator
    LT Profits's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,967
    Betpoints: 4746

    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    So you have a 1/3 chance to win ???? And you think those are good odds ???? What am I missing here. 2-1 against at that rate. You said yourself last week, your "models just don't like Wandy...." now you are backing him ???? What changed in a week. LOL.
    1/3 chance = +200. I get Rangers at +250. So long-term +EV if the 1/3 is accurate.

  32. #32
    frogsrangers
    Zackary > Angelito
    frogsrangers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-26-12
    Posts: 5,792
    Betpoints: 5067

    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    In what game?
    Meant to say hit

  33. #33
    King Mayan
    STFU AND SQUAT PUTO
    King Mayan's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-22-10
    Posts: 21,327
    Betpoints: 5843

    I wouldn't lay a 6 month old bag of chips on that pussy kershaw.

  34. #34
    opie1988
    I have a MAJOR fukkin clue..
    opie1988's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-10
    Posts: 23,441
    Betpoints: 809

    Quote Originally Posted by King Mayan View Post
    I wouldn't lay a 6 month old bag of chips on that pussy kershaw.
    Dodgers look good, bruh.

    SBR
    Poster of
    Year 2011


  35. #35
    King Mayan
    STFU AND SQUAT PUTO
    King Mayan's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-22-10
    Posts: 21,327
    Betpoints: 5843

    Fukk u Opie.

12 Last
Top