1. 06-06-15 10:03 AM #1
    James Marques
    James Marques's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-04-14
    Posts: 1,605
    Betpoints: 3692

    Upset Alert.... Orioles @ Indians

    Take Baltimore +138 and OVER 7.5 runs and thank me later. The day Danny freaking Salazar carries -148 juice and deserves it will be a cold day in Hell.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 06-06-15 10:05 AM #2
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Its worth a play

    most of these teams overpriced..heck anyone can win on any given day

    Good luck guy
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 06-06-15 10:13 AM #3
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    What do you have against Salazar? I actually think he is one of the more underrated pitchers in baseball, he leads the Major Leagues in strikeout rate and has done that while allowing only 16 walks. I wouldn't worry about the 3.79 ERA considering he has a 2.80 xFIP. I think -145 could be a tad light, model has Salazar 61% over Ubaldo this game (around -156).
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 06-06-15 10:19 AM #4
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    What do you have against Salazar? I actually think he is one of the more underrated pitchers in baseball, he leads the Major Leagues in strikeout rate and has done that while allowing only 16 walks. I wouldn't worry about the 3.79 ERA considering he has a 2.80 xFIP. I think -145 could be a tad light, model has Salazar 61% over Ubaldo this game (around -156).
    i was actually little higher but i doubt your model factors ubaldo being a headcase.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 06-06-15 10:21 AM #5
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18704

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    What do you have against Salazar? I actually think he is one of the more underrated pitchers in baseball, he leads the Major Leagues in strikeout rate and has done that while allowing only 16 walks. I wouldn't worry about the 3.79 ERA considering he has a 2.80 xFIP. I think -145 could be a tad light, model has Salazar 61% over Ubaldo this game (around -156).
    Salazar -156 over Ubaldo abd the Orioles? Are you serious?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 06-06-15 10:23 AM #6
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Salazar -156 over Ubaldo abd the Orioles? Are you serious?
    the o's are trash.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 06-06-15 10:24 AM #7
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Salazar -156 over Ubaldo abd the Orioles? Are you serious?
    Absolutely, did you even read my post? And I didn't even get into Ubaldo being overrated.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 06-06-15 10:50 AM #8
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18704

    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post

    the o's are trash.


    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post

    Absolutely, did you even read my post? And I didn't even get into Ubaldo being overrated.
    Yes, maybe I'm just a bit biased
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 06-06-15 11:02 AM #9
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post




    Yes, maybe I'm just a bit biased
    Yes I totally forgot you were a Baltimore guy. But yeah , Orioles overachieved greatly the last two years based on their peripherals, they just never regressed like you would expect most teams to do. Now karma is catching up to them this year, as of this second fangraphs has them finishing 78-84. There was a good reason their posted win total before the year was only 80.5 at most spots.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »