Originally Posted by
stevenash
You cry for respect, OK, here's a post with some respect.
Don't lay -182 on the road, I don't care if it's 1968 Bob Gibson agianst Larry McWilliams.
Do I have to give the reasons why you never lay that kind of lumber in baseball.
If you really, really, really have to bet Kershaw, get -108 on the run line at 5D, because one of two things will happen, he'll lose, and he could lose to a team that rakes day and night, especially in that park, or the Dodgers will blow them out.
This is not going to be a one run game.
So if you paid attention all along, the only smart time to bet wager a run line is when you have an elite pitcher on the road, because the elite team/pitcher is gurananteed a ninth inning at bat.
That's if you really, really want to bet Kershaw, and I don't as I think he's in a bad spot.
You bet -182 and lose, you're buried, you bet the runline at -108 and lose, you live to see another day.
Bumgarner is probably the best chalk play tonight at -150, but I don't lay a buck and a half.
You want a play, OK, best total of the night is Cubs over.
Not a lock, nothing is a lock, but most of the night games tonight is a flip, I know, because I can assemble a contending daily lineup in usually 30 minutes or less, it took me over an hour tonight.,
Go out tonight for the love of God, step away from the computer, go socialize, get laid, get drunk, do something for a change then sit around a computer.