I seem to get burned on these lines the most when taking the home team. Took UNC last night and Orlando is getting bushwhacked today. If the road team is covering most of these lines I can change my strategy.
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03-08-15 05:43 PM #1
Any stats on when a line is pickem, .5, 1, or 1.5 who covers? Home or Road team
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03-08-15 06:19 PM #2
NBA Home Pick: 207-256, 44.7% Since 1990
NBA Home Fave -1: 281-304-13, 48.0% ATS
NBA Home Fave -1.5: 295-274, 51.8% ATS
NBA Road Fave -1: 268-266-15, 50.2% ATS
NBA Road Fave -1.5: 230-257, 47.2% ATS
NCAAB Home Pick: 364-376, 49.2% Since 1999
NCAAB Home Fave -1: 634-577-32, 48.4% ATS
NCAAB Home Fave -1.5: 556-589, 48.6% ATS
NCAAB Road Fave -1: 579-588-45, 50.5% ATS
NCAAB Road Fave -1.5: 428-435, 49.6% ATS
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03-08-15 06:51 PM #3
Thanks LT. The proof is in the pudding. I can stick with my system. I thought there was a big difference. Basically still in the 48-52% range
Originally Posted by LT Profits
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03-08-15 08:39 PM #4
Everything comes to around even it's why no system wins
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03-08-15 08:44 PM #5
Thanks for the info LT! You see a lot of games where a team is lined -1 and the line bounces to the other side -1. I have always suspected that is just a bookmakers ploy to get players to chase the move when there was none - action was on the first side????
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03-08-15 08:46 PM #6
Originally Posted by LT Profits
Where you getting these numbers LT?
SDQL? Just curious for my own research.
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03-08-15 08:50 PM #7
WinPicks software Originally Posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn
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03-08-15 08:53 PM #8
Is this worth the cost in your opinion??? Originally Posted by LT Profits
Seems like a high cost for info that could be obtained elsewhere, granted with a significantly more work.
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03-08-15 08:56 PM #9
JJ I thought I was losing too many of these taking the home team, a la UNC last night, but I am probably doing as well as anybody else on them. No advantage Originally Posted by jjgold
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03-08-15 09:03 PM #10
I don't even use it for what it was intended for. Originally Posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn
I just think it's a cheap way to get a game database that can be dumped into excel or just about any csv spreadsheet, and then you can do whatever you want with the data.
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03-08-15 09:31 PM #11
Ah that makes more sense.
It is INCREDIBLY difficult to find that in my experience. I guess there is a reason no one is giving it away for free.
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