[LT Profits]

1 CBB Play Monday

Syracuse +5.5 -102 (5 Dimes)


YTD: 196-177-4, +12.90

[Fat_Stax]

Hmm, might have to get frisky and ML parlay Cuse tonight.. Might be worth the risk.

[DOM_Toretto]

Care to explain LT? I have reason to believe Virginia wins by 15-20 here. I feel the matchup is perfect, scenario favors UVa...

[Snowball]

motivation vs. complacency ?

[DOM_Toretto]

motivation vs. complacency ?

Really? 1 team has a post-season ban this year. The other team can lock at least a share of ACC Title and most likely 1-seed in the big dance. Who's motivated and who's complacent?

[Snowball]

going with Virginia but ML not -5.5.

[LT Profits]

2 CBB Plays Monday

Syracuse +5.5 -102 (5 Dimes)
Boston College +1 -105 (Heritage)

[LT Profits]

Care to explain LT? I have reason to believe Virginia wins by 15-20 here. I feel the matchup is perfect, scenario favors UVa...

This IS Syracuse's tournament game, last home game vs. #2 team in the country with just a blah road game vs. NC State remaining. More importantly Cuse can still play defense, they are 34th in the nation in defensive efficiency, not Virginia-type numbers but good enough. Virginia plays at the third slowest pace in the country and when you compound that with Anderson still being out, Cavs have had trouble covering as favorites lately, in fact 3-7 ATS last 10 overall.

[sickeric]

I like this spot for SYR as well although thought it would be priced more at 6.5 or 7. Goes to show how well these numbers are by this time of the year along with such a low total leading more towards 5 or 5.5

[Evolved137]

1 CBB Play Monday

Syracuse +5.5 -102 (5 Dimes)


YTD: 196-177-4, +12.90

Nice YTD. Mind sharing how many units you have on this game? I've been watching 5d as well and have a look on this game but can't put a lock on it yet, but my trigger fingers getting shaky! Good luck!

[RavensFan2k3]

Nice YTD. Mind sharing how many units you have on this game? I've been watching 5d as well and have a look on this game but can't put a lock on it yet, but my trigger fingers getting shaky! Good luck!

He bets the same amount for every game, which I believe is 2.5% of bank roll

[drfunkmaster]

vt wins by a few ....

[Evolved137]

He bets the same amount for every game, which I believe is 2.5% of bank roll

TY. I figured, smart money.

I'm staying away from Cuse tonight though. Good luck man

[PorkChop]

LT Makes great point by saying this is Syracuse's' tournament game. Its their season it's their SuperBowl. Season wouldn't be write-off if closing out season at home by beating a top 3 team in nation (and potential final-four team).

Saying all that, Virginia is just flat out the better team, and too dominant on D for me

[HeeluvaGuy]

Cuse can also get to 20 wins if they win these last two. Plus UVa clinched the ACC regular season last year against Syracuse at Jonh Paul Jones (and then cut down the nets). I suspect the Orange would like to avoid a repeat. Also Rakeem Christmas' Senior Night.

I'm sure here are an equal number of counterpoints for the Hoos...

[DOM_Toretto]

LT Makes great point by saying this is Syracuse's' tournament game. Its their season it's their SuperBowl. Season wouldn't be write-off if closing out season at home by beating a top 3 team in nation (and potential final-four team).

Saying all that, Virginia is just flat out the better team, and too dominant on D for me

Idk, I don't think so. I've played sports and once I knew my team wasn't playoff bound I never got excited to beat the 1st place team or anything, just kinda lost motivation. Better example would be Uconn two years ago, played Villanova down the stretch at home and lost by 9.

It would be cool for Syracuse to beat Virginia at home, but really wouldn't matter. Yes UVa earned the target on their back but they weren't born with it. Rakeem Christmas and Trevor Cooney didn't grow up dreaming about beating Virginia. Now if the Cavs had Duke or Kentucky on their jerseys, might be a different story.

[BeanTownClown88]

LT Stop the bleeding!!

[bobtoma]

Hope you have a good night

[LT Profits]

3 CBB Plays Monday

Syracuse +5.5 -102 (5 Dimes)
Texas -3.5 -110 (Heritage)
Boston College +1 -105 (Heritage)

[PorkChop]

3 CBB Plays Monday

Syracuse +5.5 -102 (5 Dimes)
Texas -3.5 -110 (Heritage)
Boston College +1 -105 (Heritage)

Reasoning behind Texas? How is Texas getting their shots off Baylor's 1-1-3 zone? Relatively zero home court advantage, place will not be energetic. Ticketmaster first 5 rows off court going for $5, Baylor playing for important seeding, Texas still has one more home game, for their little feel good win. Had no trouble with them in Wako, don;t see how all of a sudden Texas becomes a 4 point better team tonight vs Baylor. Their outmatched.

[mrlif1]

Reasoning behind Texas? How is Texas getting their shots off Baylor's 1-1-3 zone? Relatively zero home court advantage, place will not be energetic. Ticketmaster first 5 rows off court going for $5, Baylor playing for important seeding, Texas still has one more home game, for their little feel good win. Had no trouble with them in Wako, don;t see how all of a sudden Texas becomes a 4 point better team tonight vs Baylor. Their outmatched.

seriously? damn.

[BetThenSweat]

LT, You said UVA is the third slowest offense in the nation. Who is one and two?

[mrlif1]

LT, You said UVA is the third slowest offense in the nation. Who is one and two?

american, denver. im not lt but those are the answers.

[LT Profits]

Reasoning behind Texas? How is Texas getting their shots off Baylor's 1-1-3 zone? Relatively zero home court advantage, place will not be energetic. Ticketmaster first 5 rows off court going for $5, Baylor playing for important seeding, Texas still has one more home game, for their little feel good win. Had no trouble with them in Wako, don;t see how all of a sudden Texas becomes a 4 point better team tonight vs Baylor. Their outmatched.

If Texas loses this game they are out of the tourney (barring a miracle run in Big 12 Tourney). I think that motivation trumps the motivation for better seeding. I get that even a win does not guarantee Texas is in, but it puts them in better position.

[LT Profits]

american, denver. im not lt but those are the answers.

[davidg123]

Disagree about Texas but good luck to you.

[mcdonae101]

If Texas loses this game they are out of the tourney (barring a miracle run in Big 12 Tourney). I think that motivation trumps the motivation for better seeding. I get that even a win does not guarantee Texas is in, but it puts them in better position.

texas has no shot of getting in unless they win the tourney which is impossible anyway

[bhoor]

LT, you're at 52.54% (196/377)

[DOM_Toretto]

LT, you're at 52.54% (196/377)

He was completely dominant from November through January. He had a terrible February. Cmon LT shake it off and have a better March!

[Isaiah]

LT, you're at 52.54% (196/377)

If statistical based methodologies worked in sports handicapping every mathematics professor at M.I.T., Stanford, Princeton and Harvard would be a millionaire.

So many plays is also the mark of an amateur.

[dfish]

If statistical based methodologies worked in sports handicapping every mathematics professor at M.I.T., Stanford, Princeton and Harvard would be a millionaire.

So many plays is also the mark of an amateur.

Find a math guy who adds match ups to the equation =sharp

[Jayvegas420]

I thought Virginia was an obvious play here. I had them at -5.5 and I also had it - 6.
Also I might have been a little pissed that my buddy took his woman to the game instead of me.

either way, it was a really easy pic for me.



Kids can't play when they aren't ambitious or motivated.
Everyone knows that.

[GoBlue77]

He was completely dominant from November through January. He had a terrible February. Cmon LT shake it off and have a better March!

thats why he is LT NO profits.

LT when you were up 36 units i told you to get out of the game then, knew you would give it back.

you have to know when to WALK AWAY WHEN UP. smh

[LT Profits]

LT, you're at 52.54% (196/377)

But still +11.78 units. Units are more important than winning %, remember I have hit some Money Line dogs and almost never lay -110.

[LT Profits]

So many plays is also the mark of an amateur.

Totally false. A lot of pro bettors play big volume on small edges and are content at 54% or so in ATS sports.

Not talking about me of course but actual pros that do it for a living and are really good at finding those little edges.