1. #1
    Dan Kelly
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    Conundrum for tonights game

    I am currently in 2nd place in an NCAA Football Bowl Pool - straight up picks, 22 entries, 2nd place gets his $50 back, winner gets the rest of the pot ($1050). I am guaranteed 2nd place, 3rd place can't catch me.
    To win the pool I have to pick tonights winner AND the opposite team that the guy in 1st place picks - the guy in 1st place just has to pick the winner OR the same team I pick. The only thing I could find out about the guy is that he is an SEC fan.


    I figure I've got to take Ohio State because he will obviously take the favorite - if I were in his shoes that's what I'd do and I'd have $400 on the middle (would've been nice to get the 7.5 that was available for a day.) But, maybe he thinks about it and takes Ohio State so that he has the pool won a minute after kickoff.


    I welcome any advice, suggestions, similar anecdotes, discussion, hypotheses, or ideas.


    BOL

  2. #2
    Big Bear
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    welcome to the club Dan Kelly.

    No Coincidences will be excited when he sees you have joined us.

    i hear you are a great capper.

  3. #3
    Chi_archie
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    I am in some yahoo pickem contests where you can see the opponents picks 5 mins before kick off

    any ability to do so here?

    i'd say take Ohio St. and tip your cap to him if he happens to do the same out of strategy

    and look for opportunities to hedge via live betting

  4. #4
    THam12
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    LOL at those payouts....
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  5. #5
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Kelly View Post
    I am currently in 2nd place in an NCAA Football Bowl Pool - straight up picks, 22 entries, 2nd place gets his $50 back, winner gets the rest of the pot ($1050). I am guaranteed 2nd place, 3rd place can't catch me.
    To win the pool I have to pick tonights winner AND the opposite team that the guy in 1st place picks - the guy in 1st place just has to pick the winner OR the same team I pick. The only thing I could find out about the guy is that he is an SEC fan.


    I figure I've got to take Ohio State because he will obviously take the favorite - if I were in his shoes that's what I'd do and I'd have $400 on the middle (would've been nice to get the 7.5 that was available for a day.) But, maybe he thinks about it and takes Ohio State so that he has the pool won a minute after kickoff.


    I welcome any advice, suggestions, similar anecdotes, discussion, hypotheses, or ideas.


    BOL
    if he is in first place he is probably pretty sharp.

    and if he is sharp ... why would he obviously be on the square side?

  6. #6
    Dan Kelly
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    I am in some yahoo pickem contests where you can see the opponents picks 5 mins before kick off

    any ability to do so here?

    i'd say take Ohio St. and tip your cap to him if he happens to do the same out of strategy

    and look for opportunities to hedge via live betting
    No, you don't see their picks until a few minutes after kickoff.

    I do think you're right on with the pick Arch.

  7. #7
    Dan Kelly
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    Yep, I think so Bear

  8. #8
    Ted Sheckler
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    Message the prick and ask him to chop. He'll likely say no. Doesn't hurt to ask though.

    Is it the Yahoo pick em? Because they lock in and show the other team as soon as the "scheduled kickoff" time is up. So if the game says 830 kickoff, it has shown for every other game right at 830. And we know the kickoff doesn't actually happen til 845 ish, so you may have a window.

    Or take Ohio St assuming he takes Oregon, and hop for a Ohio State TD right out the gate and hope for a live bet spot if you feel shaky about it, or if you both take the same team.

  9. #9
    rkelly110
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    Hello son. 2nd place? Good job!

    You are doing fine w/o worrying about his picks, why are you worrying now? Stay true to how you pick your picks.
    In other words, run your own race, it's gotten you where you are.

    GL

  10. #10
    Dan Kelly
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    good idea on the chop - worst case, I insult his intelligence

    Yes it is being run in Yahoo - but there is no window, once all the picks are shown they are no longer changeable - it doesn't matter when the picks are shown

  11. #11
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Kelly View Post
    I am currently in 2nd place in an NCAA Football Bowl Pool - straight up picks, 22 entries, 2nd place gets his $50 back, winner gets the rest of the pot ($1050). I am guaranteed 2nd place, 3rd place can't catch me.
    To win the pool I have to pick tonights winner AND the opposite team that the guy in 1st place picks - the guy in 1st place just has to pick the winner OR the same team I pick. The only thing I could find out about the guy is that he is an SEC fan.


    I figure I've got to take Ohio State because he will obviously take the favorite - if I were in his shoes that's what I'd do and I'd have $400 on the middle (would've been nice to get the 7.5 that was available for a day.) But, maybe he thinks about it and takes Ohio State so that he has the pool won a minute after kickoff.


    I welcome any advice, suggestions, similar anecdotes, discussion, hypotheses, or ideas.


    BOL
    Take Oregon in your Bowl Pool and bet Ohio St ML with your book.

    PS. You can also wait and make a 2nd half bet once you know his pick.
    175 pts

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  12. #12
    Harry N. Lloyd
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    OP, the guy in first will take Oregon. And why not, they're favored. He can hedge himself by grabbing the Buckeyes on the ML. It's far more likely he'll be thinking this way, than how to outsmart the guy in 2nd. You are doing the right thing by taking Ohio State and rooting for the upset.
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  13. #13
    Madison
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Take Oregon in your Bowl Pool and bet Ohio St ML with your book.

    PS. You can also wait and make a 2nd half bet once you know his pick.
    This

  14. #14
    Jayvegas420
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    This is carseller's ghost.

    You wanna bet 200 bet points Dan?!?!

  15. #15
    Dan Kelly
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    This is carseller's ghost.

    You wanna bet 200 bet points Dan?!?!
    No thanks.

  16. #16
    broadway6
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    If I'm the guy I pick Oregon and hedge osu ml. Guarantee profit

  17. #17
    Dan Kelly
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    He took Oregon
    I took Ohio State.

    Thanks for all of the input


    BOL

  18. #18
    cburland10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Kelly View Post
    He took Oregon
    I took Ohio State.

    Thanks for all of the input


    BOL
    GL man

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