[Dan Kelly]

I am currently in 2nd place in an NCAA Football Bowl Pool - straight up picks, 22 entries, 2nd place gets his $50 back, winner gets the rest of the pot ($1050). I am guaranteed 2nd place, 3rd place can't catch me.
To win the pool I have to pick tonights winner AND the opposite team that the guy in 1st place picks - the guy in 1st place just has to pick the winner OR the same team I pick. The only thing I could find out about the guy is that he is an SEC fan.


I figure I've got to take Ohio State because he will obviously take the favorite - if I were in his shoes that's what I'd do and I'd have $400 on the middle (would've been nice to get the 7.5 that was available for a day.) But, maybe he thinks about it and takes Ohio State so that he has the pool won a minute after kickoff.


I welcome any advice, suggestions, similar anecdotes, discussion, hypotheses, or ideas.


BOL

[Big Bear]

welcome to the club Dan Kelly.

No Coincidences will be excited when he sees you have joined us.

i hear you are a great capper.

[Chi_archie]

I am in some yahoo pickem contests where you can see the opponents picks 5 mins before kick off

any ability to do so here?

i'd say take Ohio St. and tip your cap to him if he happens to do the same out of strategy

and look for opportunities to hedge via live betting

[THam12]

LOL at those payouts....

[Big Bear]

I am currently in 2nd place in an NCAA Football Bowl Pool - straight up picks, 22 entries, 2nd place gets his $50 back, winner gets the rest of the pot ($1050). I am guaranteed 2nd place, 3rd place can't catch me.
To win the pool I have to pick tonights winner AND the opposite team that the guy in 1st place picks - the guy in 1st place just has to pick the winner OR the same team I pick. The only thing I could find out about the guy is that he is an SEC fan.


I figure I've got to take Ohio State because he will obviously take the favorite - if I were in his shoes that's what I'd do and I'd have $400 on the middle (would've been nice to get the 7.5 that was available for a day.) But, maybe he thinks about it and takes Ohio State so that he has the pool won a minute after kickoff.


I welcome any advice, suggestions, similar anecdotes, discussion, hypotheses, or ideas.


BOL

if he is in first place he is probably pretty sharp.

and if he is sharp ... why would he obviously be on the square side?

[Dan Kelly]

I am in some yahoo pickem contests where you can see the opponents picks 5 mins before kick off

any ability to do so here?

i'd say take Ohio St. and tip your cap to him if he happens to do the same out of strategy

and look for opportunities to hedge via live betting

No, you don't see their picks until a few minutes after kickoff.

I do think you're right on with the pick Arch.

[Dan Kelly]

Yep, I think so Bear

[Ted Sheckler]

Message the prick and ask him to chop. He'll likely say no. Doesn't hurt to ask though.

Is it the Yahoo pick em? Because they lock in and show the other team as soon as the "scheduled kickoff" time is up. So if the game says 830 kickoff, it has shown for every other game right at 830. And we know the kickoff doesn't actually happen til 845 ish, so you may have a window.

Or take Ohio St assuming he takes Oregon, and hop for a Ohio State TD right out the gate and hope for a live bet spot if you feel shaky about it, or if you both take the same team.

[rkelly110]

Hello son. 2nd place? Good job!

You are doing fine w/o worrying about his picks, why are you worrying now? Stay true to how you pick your picks.
In other words, run your own race, it's gotten you where you are.

GL

[Dan Kelly]

good idea on the chop - worst case, I insult his intelligence

Yes it is being run in Yahoo - but there is no window, once all the picks are shown they are no longer changeable - it doesn't matter when the picks are shown

[pavyracer]

I am currently in 2nd place in an NCAA Football Bowl Pool - straight up picks, 22 entries, 2nd place gets his $50 back, winner gets the rest of the pot ($1050). I am guaranteed 2nd place, 3rd place can't catch me.
To win the pool I have to pick tonights winner AND the opposite team that the guy in 1st place picks - the guy in 1st place just has to pick the winner OR the same team I pick. The only thing I could find out about the guy is that he is an SEC fan.


I figure I've got to take Ohio State because he will obviously take the favorite - if I were in his shoes that's what I'd do and I'd have $400 on the middle (would've been nice to get the 7.5 that was available for a day.) But, maybe he thinks about it and takes Ohio State so that he has the pool won a minute after kickoff.


I welcome any advice, suggestions, similar anecdotes, discussion, hypotheses, or ideas.


BOL

Take Oregon in your Bowl Pool and bet Ohio St ML with your book.

PS. You can also wait and make a 2nd half bet once you know his pick.

[Harry N. Lloyd]

OP, the guy in first will take Oregon. And why not, they're favored. He can hedge himself by grabbing the Buckeyes on the ML. It's far more likely he'll be thinking this way, than how to outsmart the guy in 2nd. You are doing the right thing by taking Ohio State and rooting for the upset.

[Madison]

Take Oregon in your Bowl Pool and bet Ohio St ML with your book.

PS. You can also wait and make a 2nd half bet once you know his pick.

This

[Jayvegas420]

This is carseller's ghost.

You wanna bet 200 bet points Dan?!?!

[Dan Kelly]

This is carseller's ghost.

You wanna bet 200 bet points Dan?!?!

No thanks.

[broadway6]

If I'm the guy I pick Oregon and hedge osu ml. Guarantee profit

[Dan Kelly]

He took Oregon
I took Ohio State.

Thanks for all of the input


BOL

[cburland10]

He took Oregon
I took Ohio State.

Thanks for all of the input


BOL

GL man