1. 01-03-15 02:54 PM #1
    seaborneq
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    I need Arkansas State +3.5 to win a Bowl Pool out of 45 entries

    How should I feel about my chances? I know nothing about Toledo nor Arkansas State. I will probably hedge a little bit.
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  2. 01-03-15 03:05 PM #2
    jjgold
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    How much can you win
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  3. 01-03-15 03:16 PM #3
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    How much can you win
    I don't see why that matters but less than a grand.
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  4. 01-03-15 03:31 PM #4
    Booya711
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    I don't see why that matters but less than a grand.
    It matters to determine if it's worth it to hedge depending on your buy in amount for the contest.
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    sourtwist gave Booya711 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  5. 01-03-15 03:42 PM #5
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by Booya711 View Post
    It matters to determine if it's worth it to hedge depending on your buy in amount for the contest.
    I wouldnt waste my time if everyone put a dollar in
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  6. 01-03-15 04:21 PM #6
    jjgold
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    I would hedge half because who the heck knows going win football game
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  7. 01-03-15 06:14 PM #7
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I would hedge half because who the heck knows going win football game
    If I had Toledo -3.5 I probably would hedge half. Since I'm getting points I will probably just assure my self some profit instead of half.
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  8. 01-03-15 06:28 PM #8
    daneblazer
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    Is there an overlay? And title game count? Any chance to win something of you lose?
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  9. 01-03-15 06:32 PM #9
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer View Post
    Is there an overlay? And title game count? Any chance to win something of you lose?
    No championship game or tie breaker needed. Both of us have 23 ATS wins going into the last game. I have Arkansas State other person has Toledo. Win or go home situation.
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  10. 01-03-15 06:52 PM #10
    daneblazer
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    Maybe hedge a few bucks. If you can buy it to -3 then you could possibly push and win your pool? That may be worth something... I dunno.

    i need Toledo and with the way things have been going lately your ark st bet should be good
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  11. 01-03-15 06:58 PM #11
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer View Post
    Maybe hedge a few bucks. If you can buy it to -3 then you could possibly push and win your pool? That may be worth something... I dunno.

    i need Toledo and with the way things have been going lately your ark st bet should be good
    Do you win last place if Toledo wins? I am going to hedge just haven't decided how much. I know nothing about either team. Reminds me of the BCS where you gain or lose based on your opponents' opponents record. Picked all the tough games and win or lose based on two teams I haven't seen play or highlights in years
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  12. 01-03-15 08:47 PM #12
    Duke Fan
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    Good luck to you. Let me share mine.

    We Have 154 entries. Season long and bowls count like two weeks.We pick 22 1* games and 2 3* games. I am going to either tie for second or tie for fourth depeding on Toledo. Leader is done and ahead of me by two points. I missed my 3* pick on, you guessed it, Western Kentucky. First place over 9k. Western holds on. Toledo game is irrelevant and I have already sowed it up.
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  13. 01-03-15 08:54 PM #13
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by Duke Fan View Post
    Good luck to you. Let me share mine.

    We Have 154 entries. Season long and bowls count like two weeks.We pick 22 1* games and 2 3* games. I am going to either tie for second or tie for fourth depeding on Toledo. Leader is done and ahead of me by two points. I missed my 3* pick on, you guessed it, Western Kentucky. First place over 9k. Western holds on. Toledo game is irrelevant and I have already sowed it up.
    So you can't win first place? I would like to know about the contest this upcoming football season. Sounds like something that would be really fun and high stakes.
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  14. 01-03-15 09:06 PM #14
    Duke Fan
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    Sent you PM
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  15. 01-04-15 01:23 PM #15
    seaborneq
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    I forgot the game is tonight.
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  16. 01-04-15 01:52 PM #16
    no1here
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    I know both teams very well and love ark st to win outright

    Ticket#:2734325
    Jan 01 12:00 PM
    Jan 01 12:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 04 09:00 PM     		Jan 01 11:30 AM CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB    		 PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
    [256] TOTAL u65-111
    (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
    [257] TOTAL o70-110
    (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
    [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
    [263] TOTAL o59-110
    (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
    [276] ARKANSAS STATE +3½-105    		 10.00 / 219.34
    Ticket#:2734326
    Jan 01 12:00 PM
    Jan 01 12:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 04 09:00 PM     		Jan 01 11:30 AM CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB    		 PARLAY (5 TEAMS) (FP)
    [256] TOTAL u65-111
    (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
    [257] TOTAL o70-110
    (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
    [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
    [263] TOTAL o59-110
    (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
    [276] ARKANSAS STATE +150    		 0.00 / 313.81
    Ticket#:2734330
    Jan 01 12:00 PM
    Jan 01 12:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 04 09:00 PM
    Jan 01 04:15 PM     		Jan 01 11:31 AM CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CBB    		 PARLAY (6 TEAMS)
    [256] TOTAL u65-111
    (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
    [257] TOTAL o70-110
    (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
    [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
    [263] TOTAL o59-110
    (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
    [276] ARKANSAS STATE +3½-105
    [521] TENNESSEE TECH +3-110    		 10.00 / 398.82
    Ticket#:2734332
    Jan 01 12:00 PM
    Jan 01 12:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 03 01:00 PM
    Jan 04 09:00 PM
    Jan 01 04:15 PM     		Jan 01 11:32 AM CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CBB    		 PARLAY (7 TEAMS)
    [256] TOTAL u65-111
    (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
    [257] TOTAL o70-110
    (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
    [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
    [263] TOTAL o59-110
    (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
    [274] FLORIDA -6½-110
    [276] ARKANSAS STATE +3½-105
    [521] TENNESSEE TECH +3-110    		 10.00 / 797.69
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  17. 01-04-15 01:56 PM #17
    marco14
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    I would hedge...I have Toledo winning thing game by 6
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  18. 01-04-15 01:57 PM #18
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by no1here View Post
    I know both teams very well and love ark st to win outright

    Ticket#:2734325
    Jan 01 12:00 PM
    Jan 01 12:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 04 09:00 PM     		Jan 01 11:30 AM CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB    		 PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
    [256] TOTAL u65-111
    (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
    [257] TOTAL o70-110
    (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
    [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
    [263] TOTAL o59-110
    (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
    [276] ARKANSAS STATE +3½-105    		 10.00 / 219.34
    Ticket#:2734326
    Jan 01 12:00 PM
    Jan 01 12:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 04 09:00 PM     		Jan 01 11:30 AM CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB    		 PARLAY (5 TEAMS) (FP)
    [256] TOTAL u65-111
    (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
    [257] TOTAL o70-110
    (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
    [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
    [263] TOTAL o59-110
    (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
    [276] ARKANSAS STATE +150    		 0.00 / 313.81
    Ticket#:2734330
    Jan 01 12:00 PM
    Jan 01 12:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 04 09:00 PM
    Jan 01 04:15 PM     		Jan 01 11:31 AM CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CBB    		 PARLAY (6 TEAMS)
    [256] TOTAL u65-111
    (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
    [257] TOTAL o70-110
    (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
    [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
    [263] TOTAL o59-110
    (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
    [276] ARKANSAS STATE +3½-105
    [521] TENNESSEE TECH +3-110    		 10.00 / 398.82
    Ticket#:2734332
    Jan 01 12:00 PM
    Jan 01 12:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 01 08:30 PM
    Jan 03 01:00 PM
    Jan 04 09:00 PM
    Jan 01 04:15 PM     		Jan 01 11:32 AM CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CFB
    CBB    		 PARLAY (7 TEAMS)
    [256] TOTAL u65-111
    (WISCONSIN vrs AUBURN)
    [257] TOTAL o70-110
    (MICHIGAN STATE vrs BAYLOR)
    [263] OHIO STATE +8-115
    [263] TOTAL o59-110
    (OHIO STATE vrs ALABAMA)
    [274] FLORIDA -6½-110
    [276] ARKANSAS STATE +3½-105
    [521] TENNESSEE TECH +3-110    		 10.00 / 797.69
    I hope you are right. You need to hedge too. YOu have a lot on the line too.
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  19. 01-04-15 02:13 PM #19
    innovation
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    I'm on ark state ML

    better 3rd down defense, better red zone defense

    and the X factor 2.3 take aways per game

    they ave 36 points per game so a couple turn overs converted into points and I like out chances.

    on paper I have Toledo -14

    for what it's worth I read this as Vegas underselling the favorite.

    good luck
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  20. 01-04-15 03:13 PM #20
    Salmon Steak
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    Quote Originally Posted by innovation View Post
    I'm on ark state ML

    better 3rd down defense, better red zone defense

    and the X factor 2.3 take aways per game

    they ave 36 points per game so a couple turn overs converted into points and I like out chances.

    on paper I have Toledo -14

    for what it's worth I read this as Vegas underselling the favorite.

    good luck
    On ark ML even though you had it capped Toledo -14?
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  21. 01-04-15 06:22 PM #21
    seaborneq
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    Just took Toledo -3 @115 BetDSI to hedge.
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  22. 01-04-15 06:32 PM #22
    pavyracer
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    I need Arky St to win in my bowl pool. I think they should win.
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  23. 01-04-15 06:37 PM #23
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    I need Arky St to win in my bowl pool. I think they should win.
    Win or cover?
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  24. 01-04-15 06:39 PM #24
    innovation
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    you're wise for hedging

    in doubt never leave money on the table
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  25. 01-04-15 06:40 PM #25
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    Win or cover?
    win
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  26. 01-04-15 06:50 PM #26
    crackerjack
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    I don't see why that matters but less than a grand.
    So $44?
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  27. 01-04-15 06:53 PM #27
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by innovation View Post
    you're wise for hedging

    in doubt never leave money on the table
    It called gambling for a reason. I am a big believer in Murphy's Law and the Flintstones' Sleptrock effect. Wowsie wowsie woo woo. Seen it done it too many times. Birds in bush mean nothing.
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  28. 01-04-15 07:47 PM #28
    jjgold
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    game time very soon
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  29. 01-04-15 09:58 PM #29
    Dirty Sanchez
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    Arkansas St is a train wreck...damn...thought they were better than this
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  30. 01-04-15 11:27 PM #30
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dirty Sanchez View Post
    Arkansas St is a train wreck...damn...thought they were better than this
    That is not fair to train wrecks.
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