[TheMoneyShot]

Why is Denver the underdog at KC? Giving you +105 currently. I don't get it?

What do we do here? We still hammer KC?

[Smoke]

Its a trap. Take denver.

[Ghenghis Kahn]

yeah kc all the way. remember it's thanksgiving weekend. public heavy on denver.

[jjgold]

Kc a lock now with injury

[tony_come]

Its a trap. Take denver.

Smokiest Noooooo

[TheMoneyShot]

Pinnacle

Den +1 +102 Den ML +107

Wow... Unreal

[Smoke]

Smokiest Noooooo

Toniest yes. Toniest its a trap to get the big sharp money on KC. Toniest the books could care less about the publics $20 bets

[mikemca]

Its a trap. Take denver.

I'm starting to lean this way too. Everything that vegas knows bettors look at screams KC. Thomas out , RLM , Chiefs just lost to the Raiders lol , the Raiders who lost 52-0 to the Rams today. The Rams.

Yet they are favored with huge RLM vs Denver in a huge game if you believe those public betting %s.

I dunno very fishy imo

[dfish]

Played under

[Dollars2Donuts]

I am going to hit Denver again and the under. Both teams will be running the shit out of the clock.

[jayson311]

How often does rlm point out a winner in NFL? Do we really believe in traps, and even sharps traps, sharp money, Triads blablah blah. 2 tough teams, I will take the better QB with superbowl clock ticking in his head.

Ps I have gotten killed today

[warbux]

on kc + 105

hope this cashes

[TheMoneyShot]

What's Manning's record below 28 degrees? Isn't it below .500 in his career?

[Smoke]

I'm starting to lean this way too. Everything that vegas knows bettors look at screams KC. Thomas out , RLM , Chiefs just lost to the Raiders lol , the Raiders who lost 52-0 to the Rams today. The Rams.

Yet they are favored with huge RLM vs Denver in a huge game if you believe those public betting %s.

I dunno very fishy imo

Sharp post

[Ghenghis Kahn]

crappy start for kc.

[chipshipley]

too many ppl on this site like kc and under hence i parlayed den and over. this game could be over at half , kc has a shit offense and they're defense can't stop denver when they're clicking

[chipshipley]

if denver scores here its over for kc

[pavyracer]

Public is not stupid as people think.

[Smoke]

The Books are gonna clean up on this game with all those big sharp bets on kc.

[jt315]

The Books are gonna clean up on this game with all those big sharp bets on kc.

Book will probably need KC . There isn't a more public team than Denver.

[Dollars2Donuts]

I love Peyton, great player, but he NEEDS to be better than that. That could easily cost them the game. He felt the D there, felt the box collapsing....he knows he isn't Big Ben, he knows he needs to protect the ball there....and?

A fumble there is not acceptable.

[Big Bear]

Why is Denver the underdog at KC? Giving you +105 currently. I don't get it?

What do we do here? We still hammer KC?

NFL is not fixed. Do not pay attention to that public mumbo jumbo

[Harry N. Lloyd]

Boyz, there is no Santa Claus, no Easter Bunny, no Tooth Fairy, and no Sharps. They don't exist. There are a handful of people in Vegas who have ridiculously deep pockets and bet more per game than Joe Public. They are no sharper, only wealthier. The true sharps are the linemakers, who post such good numbers that it's basically a 50/50 proposition either way. Flip a coin.

[Dollars2Donuts]

I am going to hit Denver again and the under. Both teams will be running the shit out of the clock.

Denver was never in doubt here. Nice to get an easy win under the belt.

[frostno98]

People here in SBR over thinks sh1t too much, that's why they all fuggin lose regularly.

[Dollars2Donuts]

People here in SBR over thinks sh1t too much, that's why they all fuggin lose regularly.

No. They lose consistently because it is MATH. You need to hit 52.5% or more (depending on your book's juice) to break even. The public inherently bets 50% per side, not on every game but that's what it works out to.

Look at Beat The Prick. The group as a whole (after we lost the non-pros) is hitting 51.18% and has lost 856 units. By definition, over a long enough period, the general public will hit somewhere around this number and will LOSE....and there are some very sharp people in this pool trying their best to bring up the average.

So, by definition as a whole, everyone will always lose. This should not come as a surprise. It isn't over thinking, it is the way sports betting works.

[Ghenghis Kahn]

People here in SBR over thinks sh1t too much, that's why they all fuggin lose regularly.

lol don't over think things? you kidding me? if you don't over think things and just bet randomly, that's how you lose your roll.

yeah this game lost but over thinking things is the way to go.

even though initially i was leaning towards arizona and new england, i ended up going with atl and green bay because i over thought things.

[jjgold]

This game hurt a lot of people in many ways

[Dollars2Donuts]

What's Manning's record below 28 degrees? Isn't it below .500 in his career?

One game better now.

[Big Bear]

NFL is not fixed. Do not pay attention to that public mumbo jumbo

faux sharps going to lose their ass again tonight trying to be cute and taking the Jets

[RavensFan2k3]

Kc a lock now with injury

Wtf are you talking about?

[Big Bear]

Public is not stupid as people think.

[Big Bear]

I'm starting to lean this way too. Everything that vegas knows bettors look at screams KC. Thomas out , RLM , Chiefs just lost to the Raiders lol , the Raiders who lost 52-0 to the Rams today. The Rams.

Yet they are favored with huge RLM vs Denver in a huge game if you believe those public betting %s.

I dunno very fishy imo

yup.

Vegas toyed with yall last night and fukked many people over doing the whole RLM trick

[TheMoneyShot]

Still don't know what the actual lesson is to this game???

If the book shifts the line and gives you the underdog... take it? Even though the public was perceived to be on that side as well?

I noted my gambling book.

[ZetaPsi808]

Still don't know what the actual lesson is to this game???

If the book shifts the line and gives you the underdog... take it? Even though the public was perceived to be on that side as well?

I noted my gambling book.

yes