NFL 2025 Survivor talk

[Ian]

Week 4 is important junction point for who is real/fake.

Hou/NE are 2 interesting options as FV is almost zero.

Lot of pools will exhaust DET/BUF which will be HUGE value later on as most will be already used. Good week to make a move as even a if BUF/DET win you'll have them later and few others will.

One thing to keep in mind is BUF will essentially clinch playoffs with wins next 2 weeks. They may have a few weeks where they lay down later??

I'm sprinkling wide this week, with small DET/BUF (to stay alive) and Hou/NE/Den/. Would love to go all in here on HOU but just don't trust the QB and OL. I have a few of my 8 with 3 entries with no FV (so real strong).

IMO there are lots of good options this week.

Buf, Hou, Det, NE, LAC, GB, Mia, and Den all have their benefits. I'm taking Hou in some pools, but will sprinkle some of the others in. GL to all this week.

[Madison]

Week 4 is important junction point for who is real/fake.

Hou/NE are 2 interesting options as FV is almost zero.

Lot of pools will exhaust DET/BUF which will be HUGE value later on as most will be already used. Good week to make a move as even a if BUF/DET win you'll have them later and few others will.

One thing to keep in mind is BUF will essentially clinch playoffs with wins next 2 weeks. They may have a few weeks where they lay down later??

I'm sprinkling wide this week, with small DET/BUF (to stay alive) and Hou/NE/Den/. Would love to go all in here on HOU but just don't trust the QB and OL. I have a few of my 8 with 3 entries with no FV (so real strong).

[Enkhbat]

I am taking Denver this week, love the Denver D#, Bengals defense sucks so Bo Nix should have a good day. I will have Broncos in a parlay/teasers also. Green Bay is a good candidate too, that Cowboys defense could be the worst in NFL history lol

[stevenash]

Whoever had Seattle Sunday (I did too), good job.

I'm tempted to burn Buffalo this weekend, but I'd rather not.
The Chargers should smoke the Giants. The thing that worries me is that the LA to NY flight across three time zones.
Most West Coast players hate that flight.
That's an intangible (coast-to-coast flights) I pay attention to.

New England?
Pats should get the job done at Gilette, but they make me nervous.

I've already burnt Denver.

[Madison]

Just for full disclosure I'm 8/8 to date. Mostly SEA/KC this week.

In 2nd pool with point differential the determinant. Considering SEA, LAC, and GB. KC still curious to me.

Think DEN meets its maker this week. Gonna play a 4 or 5 team ML parlay.

BOL gentlemen.

[Madison]

Maybe Jayden Daniels' knee is worse than the Commanders are letting on. I think he will still play but could be bothered by that knee thus less scrambling for him.

Understanding the severity of injuries (week to week availability) has been an issues for decades.

[Madison]

I played TB this week. Seems like the right play.

HUGE FV. I'm saving.

[Madison]

I have 3 entries left. I am taking 3 of the following 4. Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Seattle, Green Bay. Not sure which one to avoid.

All 4 solid. FV is determinant. Week 5 1st real test.

[Madison]

I just locked in the Seahawks.
I'm not overthinking this; overthinking things usually gets me into trouble.
Plus, there are no games on the schedule that make me say "Damn, I should have gone with so and so..."
If Seattle should lose.

Little or no FV. Makes sense.

[Enkhbat]

Thoughts on the 3 point drop on WAS/LV???

Maybe Jayden Daniels' knee is worse than the Commanders are letting on. I think he will still play but could be bothered by that knee thus less scrambling for him.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

I'm went all-in on Seattle with my survivors too. Buff and TB were tempting, but Seattle's schedule seems harder than the others.

Agreed Ian...looking at Buffalo's matchups the next 2 weeks made me want to save them.

I fear putting all my eggs into Sam Darnold's hands but you have to roll the dice sometimes for greener pastures down the road.

[Ian]

I just locked in the Seahawks.
I'm not overthinking this; overthinking things usually gets me into trouble.
Plus, there are no games on the schedule that make me say "Damn, I should have gone with so and so..."
If Seattle should lose.

I'm went all-in on Seattle with my survivors too. Buff and TB were tempting, but Seattle's schedule seems harder than the others.

[brock]

I played TB this week. Seems like the right play.

[Enkhbat]

Thanks for the free expert advice guys. The latest I survived was till week 13 I think.

All these 0-2 teams may not be as bad as we think they are, I expect many close games this weekend.

I will save the Eagles for thanksgiving/Black Friday separate week.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

You can get expert advice from Peavy for free.

Yeah right haha but did sleep at a Holiday Inn last night....

[stevenash]

I just locked in the Seahawks.
I'm not overthinking this; overthinking things usually gets me into trouble.
Plus, there are no games on the schedule that make me say "Damn, I should have gone with so and so..."
If Seattle should lose.

[stevenash]

Dude 15 years ago i may have respected this now you can buy EXPERT advice for $49, so ease up bud.

You can get expert advice from Peavy for free.

[Madison]

So, how bad an a-hole/thief is this guy?? Been playing this pool for 15 years or so. Admin has always displayed 1 entry under his name. Eventually 4 or 5 of his siblings/relatives started playing (proxies??). Now this year he shows up with 14 entries. Can you get any more low life??

[Madison]

Thoughts on the 3 point drop on WAS/LV???

[Madison]

One random thought ... These players are unique creatures. IE they often act like they won the SB after getting/stopping a play in the first quarter of a semi-meaningless game. They are mostly all SHOWMEN looking to get noticed. PLEASE, please show me the next time a player lays the ball down and goes back to the sideline after any big play. Many of these qualify as "It's your fkn job dude".

Rant off!!

[Madison]

Deleted cause I ain't teaching you folks nothing.

Dude 15 years ago i may have respected this now you can buy EXPERT advice for $49, so ease up bud.

[Madison]

Just playing devil's advocate here and some food for thought:

Tampa- coming off a short week with the MNF game tonight..I'm looking at them as well but might avoid

KC-seems like great time to take them as going 0-3 would put them in a very bad spot to make the playoffs based on the history of teams that start 0-3.

Seattle-I have not looked at the rest of their schedule but seems like a good week to take them.

GB-They are on the road so I probably will avoid them here and wait for a spot later in the season when they are at home.

GB has 1 gimmee and 1 likely at home CAR, NYG.

[Madison]

Got a miracle win on Dallas to stay alive...playing with house money now.

Funny, I have MANY stories bitching about others getting lucky and hurting me. Mouth shut now for DAL was 3 off my 8 entries.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Who are you saving for Thanksgiving/Black Friday period? I already used Eagles and Green Bay. All 4 games seem toss up but if Lions keep humming with their offense, I’m thinking take them over Packers or Chiefs over Cowboys, but Chiefs are on the road.

Yeah, I just realized KC is on the road so I'd probably pass on them. I'll most likely take Seattle this week.

I'm trying to save Ravens/Eagles and TB/Chargers for my possible picks during Thanksgiving week. I might have to use some of those along the way but Ideally I would have those all as options.

[Headsterx]

Just playing devil's advocate here and some food for thought:

Tampa- coming off a short week with the MNF game tonight..I'm looking at them as well but might avoid

KC-seems like great time to take them as going 0-3 would put them in a very bad spot to make the playoffs based on the history of teams that start 0-3.

Seattle-I have not looked at the rest of their schedule but seems like a good week to take them.

GB-They are on the road so I probably will avoid them here and wait for a spot later in the season when they are at home.

Who are you saving for Thanksgiving/Black Friday period? I already used Eagles and Green Bay. All 4 games seem toss up but if Lions keep humming with their offense, I’m thinking take them over Packers or Chiefs over Cowboys, but Chiefs are on the road.

[stevenash]

^
Hey, rookie, stay in your lane.

You haven't been here longer than a cup of coffee with a total of two posts, and you're throwing shade on Enk?

[LukeKissner]

I have 3 entries left. I am taking 3 of the following 4. Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Seattle, Green Bay. Not sure which one to avoid.

Deleted cause I ain't teaching you folks nothing.

[Shark]

Everyone will take Seattle. If you’ve looked ahead at all, people are going to need gb, Detroit, Buffalo over the next weeks. It might work but everyone will look to get Seattle out of the way and save their elite teams for another week. Rattler is just bad this plan might work. I don’t see many teams getting eliminated again this week.

one note, the bills schedule is so easy. Definitely save them if you can.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

I have 3 entries left. I am taking 3 of the following 4. Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Seattle, Green Bay. Not sure which one to avoid.

Just playing devil's advocate here and some food for thought:

Tampa- coming off a short week with the MNF game tonight..I'm looking at them as well but might avoid

KC-seems like great time to take them as going 0-3 would put them in a very bad spot to make the playoffs based on the history of teams that start 0-3.

Seattle-I have not looked at the rest of their schedule but seems like a good week to take them.

GB-They are on the road so I probably will avoid them here and wait for a spot later in the season when they are at home.

[Enkhbat]

I have 3 entries left. I am taking 3 of the following 4. Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Seattle, Green Bay. Not sure which one to avoid.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Survive and advance.

I'm giving Seattle a long look this weekend.
The Seahawks are usually gold at home.

Same here, they are one of the teams that I am considering for this week.

[stevenash]

Got a miracle win on Dallas to stay alive...playing with house money now.

Survive and advance.

I'm giving Seattle a long look this weekend.
The Seahawks are usually gold at home.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Got a miracle win on Dallas to stay alive...playing with house money now.

[Madison]

Any other week, I’d take Ravens w/o hesitation but there are two x-factors that make me not want to touch this game: 1) Joe Cool is back to play against his old team and 2) coming off a huge shocking loss at the last secs. Don’t know how hype Flacco will be and don’t know how Ravens will respond.

See post above reg div games. Tough loss last week. They kind of need this. Do they want to go 0-2.

[Madison]

In general, I try to avoid division games and rarely take road teams.

That said, I might go with Dallas this week but the division game scares me a little.

After further review, Arizona got quite lucky to beat Saints last week. Saints were in the red zone 6 times and only scored 13 points.

Hey Jake,

IMO, the division angle is a misnomer. The short answer is that teams realize the easiest way to the playoffs is winning your division. Meaning most capable teams prioritize div games. I will agree to avoid tough division matchups but easier ones are often easy pickens.

BOL.