NFL 2025 Survivor talk

[Madison]

I know another poster who threw their TV down their stairs one Sunday

No, I was smart enough to keep the mess inhouse. Didn't want to incur additional.

Several of my friends are suggesting my wife for HOF. LOL. Still get reminded of the time I was supposed to take her out for Birthday/Anniversary and subconsciously took a sharp left to the Dog races exit (my regular). OOOps. LOL.

Anyway, BEST to all!!

[stevenash]

I need some help here. Expect NE to be big public fav and figure this week could be a trap coming of TB/Road. I do have BUF alive coming off that embarrassment at MIA.

I hear your concern, NE should be safe though, Vrabel is too good a coach to have a let down game.

[Madison]

I need some help here. Expect NE to be big public fav and figure this week could be a trap coming of TB/Road. I do have BUF alive coming off that embarrassment at MIA.

[Optional]

Yeah, when I used to really gamble (70/80,s) i broke the TV once. Another life lesson as all that did was give me 2 minutes of joy and $700 out of pocket for new TV. Back in those days you got a shitty 360RES tv for $700. Anyway was an expensive lesson.

I know another poster who threw their TV down their stairs one Sunday

[stevenash]

Yeah, when I used to really gamble (70/80,s) i broke the TV once. Another life lesson as all that did was give me 2 minutes of joy and $700 out of pocket for new TV. Back in those days you got a shitty 360RES tv for $700. Anyway was an expensive lesson.

... And a decent Sony would cost you 2K.
Now you can get a 40" Magnavox with brilliant resolution for 200 dollars.

There are certain things in life you pay up for, and you pay down for.
TVs you can get quality while paying down at the same time.

[Madison]

Yeah, when I used to really gamble (70/80,s) i broke the TV once. Another life lesson as all that did was give me 2 minutes of joy and $700 out of pocket for new TV. Back in those days you got a shitty 360RES tv for $700. Anyway was an expensive lesson.

[Madison]

brutal. I got knocked out of a small pool with only 6 people left and also knocked out of the DraftKings pool as well all on Buffalo.
just have the one entry left in a 107/1362 contest. I have a rule of no road, divisional teams but this far into the season you gotta consider everything. Shame on me for breaking that rule, ugh.

Shark, over 15 years of doing survivor I have substantially reduced my emphasis on home field. There is a BIG variance regarding which HF you're talking about. Also DIV games. These people are not 24hr/per week/mth/season. Used to be 12/14 games with reasonable travel. It's a different world now where emotional highs and lows matter.

Anyway, I hate when I warm myself (BUF letdown off KC) and don't listen. My gambling mind, even after 60 years tells me things and stupidity/stubborness/age cause me to mistake.

[Optional]

I'm just getting to old for this. I played 10 weeks to get BUF -9/10 vs MIA with the majority of the pool having already used BUF. I did make a BIG note to be cautious off a possible letdown coming off KC win. I have one of 8 left 80/1245 total. Just getting to old.

[Shark]

I'm just getting to old for this. I played 10 weeks to get BUF -9/10 vs MIA with the majority of the pool having already used BUF. I did make a BIG note to be cautious off a possible letdown coming off KC win. I have one of 8 left 80/1245 total. Just getting to old.

brutal. I got knocked out of a small pool with only 6 people left and also knocked out of the DraftKings pool as well all on Buffalo.
just have the one entry left in a 107/1362 contest. I have a rule of no road, divisional teams but this far into the season you gotta consider everything. Shame on me for breaking that rule, ugh.

[Madison]

I'm just getting to old for this. I played 10 weeks to get BUF -9/10 vs MIA with the majority of the pool having already used BUF. I did make a BIG note to be cautious off a possible letdown coming off KC win. I have one of 8 left 80/1245 total. Just getting to old.

[Madison]

INDY turning into a pumpkin?? Obviously NICE to have Taylor as a safety net. So much for the supposedly stout INDY D.

[Madison]

In my leagues the picks are due Thursday 8pm so it doesn’t make much difference if I play the Thursday or Sunday games. Though I will avoid Thursday if possible because they always seem like such a crap shoot with the short week.

it’s been nice scanning next week’s possibilities with a win already secured on Thursday. I am considering another Thursday game with New England facing NYJ. I think I will use NE either of the next two weeks vs NYJ or @CIN.

We agree often. FYI I'm in NE, worried about Maye's last performance (ATL). Expecting them to regress today (TB). That short week concerns me!! Consider "popularity". Thinking VSIN projecting a very high NE usage THU. Causing me to think.

[Madison]

Conversely, is there anything that doesn't suck more than getting knocked out on a Thursday?

Nasher survivor is a love hate. Bottom line I'd almost always prefer losing earlier. I am a seasoned survivor player (15 years?) and have been way to close 3 of the last 5 years. Putting in the effort I do and essentially wasting 16 -18 weeks of your life, (And yes they are more and more precious as I age), is VERY PAINFUL.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Interesting stat CAR.

This is the first time the Panthers have been favored all season, and in each of the past nine times they've been favored, they've lost.

Depends on the closing line at the Jets. But that's a great stat (either way).

Carolina hasn't been favored too often. We'll see how it plays out today.

[Shark]

In my leagues the picks are due Thursday 8pm so it doesn’t make much difference if I play the Thursday or Sunday games. Though I will avoid Thursday if possible because they always seem like such a crap shoot with the short week.

it’s been nice scanning next week’s possibilities with a win already secured on Thursday. I am considering another Thursday game with New England facing NYJ. I think I will use NE either of the next two weeks vs NYJ or @CIN.

[stevenash]

In survivor, is there anything better than cashing THUR and spending SUN just rooting for upsets.

Conversely, is there anything that doesn't suck more than getting knocked out on a Thursday?

[Madison]

Yeah, over half of the pool is using Carolina tomorrow. I am a huge saints fan tomorrow.

In survivor, is there anything better than cashing THUR and spending SUN just rooting for upsets.

[Shark]

Yeah, over half of the pool is using Carolina tomorrow. I am a huge saints fan tomorrow.

[Madison]

Interesting stat CAR.

This is the first time the Panthers have been favored all season, and in each of the past nine times they've been favored, they've lost.

[Madison]

Man that team sucks! Denver, not Vegas. Glad I survived…

I've had root canals less painful.

[stevenash]

Man that team sucks! Denver, not Vegas. Glad I survived…

Maybe Parcells is wrong about you're only as good as your record says it is, and all that.

Denver is 8-2 because they got fat on a bunch of bottom feeders to start the year, and they needed a gift from heaven to beat the Giants. Their only 'quality' win was against a down-year Eagle team.

[Shark]

Man that team sucks! Denver, not Vegas. Glad I survived…

[Madison]

I’ll be going den/buff with my two entries. Most people have already used den or buff or both. 175 entries left in the large pool and 6 entries left in the small pool.

Popularity of your picks can be a very important metric in general. In my case BUF has low popularity versus the odds.

[Madison]

I like the idea of diversity this week with den/buff/sea. Would hate for all entries to go down together this far in. Plus you save buff with a couple of your entries for a rainy day(week) hopefully.

Right now thinking maybe 2 BUF , 1 DEN. I still have a few live teams left, PHI, NE, TB, BUF, LAC, HOU, BAL for all 3 picks. Have 1 SEA saved for 3 or so weeks out.

Cautious about laying my survivor life on Bo Nix??

GL Bud!

[Shark]

Tough week ahead. Input appreciated.

I'm kind of on the fence between two approaches. I have 3 picks left. 1250 entries 130 left. I have BUF alive and my competition has used them quite a bit. Approach 1 All in on BUF and hopefully advance. FYI, BUF has 5 of its next 7 on the road though not daunting. Approach 2 would be to spread between CHI, DEN, HOU, SEA, and BUF.

I like the idea of diversity this week with den/buff/sea. Would hate for all entries to go down together this far in. Plus you save buff with a couple of your entries for a rainy day(week) hopefully.

[Shark]

I’ll be going den/buff with my two entries. Most people have already used den or buff or both. 175 entries left in the large pool and 6 entries left in the small pool.

[Madison]

Tough week ahead. Input appreciated.

I'm kind of on the fence between two approaches. I have 3 picks left. 1250 entries 130 left. I have BUF alive and my competition has used them quite a bit. Approach 1 All in on BUF and hopefully advance. FYI, BUF has 5 of its next 7 on the road though not daunting. Approach 2 would be to spread between CHI, DEN, HOU, SEA, and BUF.

[Ian]

Went AI on GB. GG.

GL Shark and anybody else still alive.

[Madison]

Going rams/rams with my two entries this week. I don’t figure to use them if I font use them this week. Seems like it’s the same logic for chargers if anyone is considering them.

only problem is just about every single person left in my pools can also use rams/chargers.

Same.

[stevenash]

^
Agree, the Rams would be my play if I had a play left.
Best of luck, Shark.

[Shark]

Going rams/rams with my two entries this week. I don’t figure to use them if I font use them this week. Seems like it’s the same logic for chargers if anyone is considering them.

only problem is just about every single person left in my pools can also use rams/chargers.

[Madison]

If I had the Colts left, this would be the week.
Indy is due for a regression; now would be the time to get them off the table.

All 3 of my remaining on Indy.

[stevenash]

If I had the Colts left, this would be the week.
Indy is due for a regression; now would be the time to get them off the table.

[Ian]

My differential pool I have NE or CIN penciled. Leaning CIN especially if Gardner doesn't go. Thinking NYJ the weaker of the D's. Caveat Flacco has burned me innumerable times.

Thoughts??

IMO both are justifiable and which is better likely depends upon what teams you and your opponents have already used. That said...

I usually don't put my own handicapping into survivor contests, but I'm thinking this may be a tougher spot for Cin than the market has it. IMO -6 1/2 is buying high on a 40 yo Joe Flacco with a terrible 0-line and buying low on an admittedly stinky Jets team that can't play any worse than they have already. The market has already pushed the line down to 6 at most shops.

I certainly can't fault anyone for being on Cin this week though... there probably won't be a better spot for them all season.

[Madison]

My differential pool I have NE or CIN penciled. Leaning CIN especially if Gardner doesn't go. Thinking NYJ the weaker of the D's. Caveat Flacco has burned me innumerable times.

Thoughts??