1. #1
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    Brewers (Peralta) +135 over Cardinals (Lynn)

    I love the price I am getting here. +135 is uber generous here.
    Lynn's walks (around 3.5 per 9) will haunt him tonight.
    He walked four Brewers his last start against him, needed some help in a 5-3 win, different result tonight.
    Braun hurts Lance, the little starting infielders (Segura and Scooter) bleed him to death, and even Parra in the outfield is 7 for 14 lifetime v. Lance Lynn.
    Then you got LuCroy and A-Ram hitting 3-4 ahead of Braun.
    It's going to be tough sledding tonight for Lynn.

    Despite imploding the last 2 starts he made in August, Wily Peralta has settled down nicely, he is a sixteen game winner so far, and you don't win 16 games in the show all by luck.
    Across the board numbers are fine, not stand out, but I haveno problem with 3.75 ERA and a 1.35 WH/IP, K ratio of around 8 per 9.

    Must be careful to Holliday, 8 for 18 and two dingers.
    Carp up top of the order too, 8 for 18.

    Peralta (minus those 2 starts) has been pretty steady all season.
    Peralta keeps Holliday in the park, he leaves St. Louis with win #17.

    Not a salm dunk, but a very nice underdog play here if you ask me.

    Brews +135 3* gets you 4* returned.

    Best of luck fellas.

  2. #2
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    Gonna chime in and give my opinion as to why I like the Cards.

    Holliday is slugging 778 against Peralta with an OPS of .1300, some good bat records the other way as well.

    Wily Peralta has been steadily regressing as the season progresses to his FIP of 4.3ish

    While Lynn does have a bad walk ration, his pitches barely every hit the park. He has the 2nd lowest HR/9 ratio at 0.4 in the NL and SO% at 21.

    Peralta in the other hand gives up a lot of long balls and despite his recent success against St. Louis, I like the Cardinals to win here. They are the real deal and heading in the opposite direction of the Brewers. They also have a better bullpen.

  3. #3
    Darkside Magick
    Black Box Algorithm
    Darkside Magick's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-28-10
    Posts: 12,586
    Betpoints: 1258

    Cant bet against the cards!

    Risk .5 BTC to win .340 BTC [958] St. Louis Cardinals -147 vs Milwaukee Brewers

    Good luck nasher!

  4. #4
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    Gonna chime in and give my opinion as to why I like the Cards.

    Holliday is slugging 778 against Peralta with an OPS of .1300, some good bat records the other way as well.

    Wily Peralta has been steadily regressing as the season progresses to his FIP of 4.3ish

    While Lynn does have a bad walk ration, his pitches barely every hit the park. He has the 2nd lowest HR/9 ratio at 0.4 in the NL and SO% at 21.

    Peralta in the other hand gives up a lot of long balls and despite his recent success against St. Louis, I like the Cardinals to win here. They are the real deal and heading in the opposite direction of the Brewers. They also have a better bullpen.
    I'm fine with a fade with a well written reason (s)
    Feeling here is Lynn gets rocketd.
    One of us wins, one of us loses.

    BoL Paul, and thanks for your support in the past.
    Go get 'em.

  5. #5
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    Quote Originally Posted by Darkside Magick View Post
    Cant bet against the cards!

    Risk .5 BTC to win .340 BTC [958] St. Louis Cardinals -147 vs Milwaukee Brewers

    Good luck nasher!
    5 Dimes is taking Bitters I hear.
    You know I'm a skeptic, but hope it all works out.

  6. #6
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I'm fine with a fade with a well written reason (s)
    Feeling here is Lynn gets rocketd.
    One of us wins, one of us loses.

    BoL Paul, and thanks for your support in the past.
    Go get 'em.


    havent put it in yet. gonna see how my blue jays FF and TTO starts off and see where i go from there

  7. #7
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post


    havent put it in yet. gonna see how my blue jays FF and TTO starts off and see where i go from there
    Jays are my second play, Hutch at pick 'em against that cheeseburger.
    How could you not?

  8. #8
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Jays are my second play, Hutch at pick 'em against that cheeseburger.
    How could you not?

    Blue Jays suck. 3-2 game bases loaded and they couldn't get anything. Fukking Encarnacion. Only hits when its not worth anything.

  9. #9
    TwoWays
    TwoWays's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 13,145
    Betpoints: 3608

    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    Blue Jays suck. 3-2 game bases loaded and they couldn't get anything. Fukking Encarnacion. Only hits when its not worth anything.
    two teams that depend on the long ball for scores. they ain't playing small ball and stringing together hits.

  10. #10
    leetreaper
    leetreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-10
    Posts: 34,841
    Betpoints: 2140

    SeaWeed number 2, stop fukking posting...

  11. #11
    paco
    paco's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-07-09
    Posts: 62,873
    Betpoints: 7051

    Cardinals hottest team right now

  12. #12
    TwoWays
    TwoWays's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 13,145
    Betpoints: 3608

    Unrealz! 2 run I first inning may be enough. Get ROIDS legalized!

  13. #13
    Darkside Magick
    Black Box Algorithm
    Darkside Magick's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-28-10
    Posts: 12,586
    Betpoints: 1258

    Tough to bet dogs in bases late in the season.....

  14. #14
    paco
    paco's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-07-09
    Posts: 62,873
    Betpoints: 7051

    2nd and 3rd no outs. Braun at the plate

  15. #15
    TwoWays
    TwoWays's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 13,145
    Betpoints: 3608

    Braun is up ftw!

  16. #16
    TwoWays
    TwoWays's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 13,145
    Betpoints: 3608

    Figures he'd ht a weak grounder without his medicine

  17. #17
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    this piece of shit is about to throw the game

  18. #18
    paco
    paco's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-07-09
    Posts: 62,873
    Betpoints: 7051

    Braun what a bum, not even a sac fly

  19. #19
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    On look, troll boy. Can't hold on to a 7:1chip lead to me, how'd it going donk boy?
    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    SeaWeed number 2, stop fukking posting...

  20. #20
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    Here comes Segura for a game winning bleeder,

  21. #21
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    Or not. Can't trust those Jewish relievers can you?
    P
    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Here comes Segura for a game winning bleeder,

  22. #22
    brewcrew2k
    !
    brewcrew2k's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-10
    Posts: 1,158
    Betpoints: 11895

    Extra innings!!!

  23. #23
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    Free baseball

  24. #24
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by brewcrew2k View Post
    Extra innings!!!
    still holding on to hope your shit team gets the final play in game spot? choking dogs dont know shit bout sept bases..

  25. #25
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    Carlos Martinez.
    This doesn't end well.

  26. #26
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    Royals retake the lead, Nasher having a nice night (pending)

  27. #27
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Carlos Martinez.
    This doesn't end well.
    for who brewer backers? martinez got filthy stuff. when he can control it..

  28. #28
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Nashy let's close the night out with the win

  29. #29
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    His buck and a half WH/IP says otherwise.
    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    for who brewer backers? martinez got filthy stuff. when he can control it..

  30. #30
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    I hear ya Gold, this one sets the week up right.
    How the fuk do the Dodgers have 2 runs on 13 hits. Same old Dodgers. Lol
    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Nashy let's close the night out with the win

  31. #31
    paco
    paco's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-07-09
    Posts: 62,873
    Betpoints: 7051

    Segura had 2 chances now to win the game. Bum

  32. #32
    BadLuckSanta
    BadLuckSanta's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-30-10
    Posts: 2,753
    Betpoints: 19889

    All the good guys on the board on brew crew?

    Fk me

  33. #33
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,659
    Betpoints: 32279

    Quote Originally Posted by paco View Post
    Segura had 2 chances now to win the game. Bum
    He is what he is , good glove, slappy .240 hitter middle infielder with speed.

  34. #34
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    His buck and a half WH/IP says otherwise.
    well he got out of his inning pretty easy so i guess someone wrong..so he can have control issues, you never seen him pitch if you saying his stuff isnt filthy..

  35. #35
    paco
    paco's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-07-09
    Posts: 62,873
    Betpoints: 7051

    Hector!

12 Last
Top