1. #36
    No coincidences
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    Let me clarify one thing, too: if I had to choose a side in this game, it would be NYY. With that being said, +115 is a horrific price given Baltimore's advantages (home field, unquestionably better lineup and bullpen, etc.) If the Yankees were any other team than the Yankees, they'd be +125 here minimum.

  2. #37
    t-wizzle
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    Yankees look to be the play if you like to try and read lines but I see no value in taking them here.

  3. #38
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post

    if I had to choose a side in this game, it would be NYY.

    So... in essence you agree with LT's pick

    But not willing to bet on NYY because of 8c - LT got +117

  4. #39
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
    LT keeps calling McCarthy better than Gausman. He's not.
    I posted why McCarthy is better in Post 19. Then again, based on your posts you may not understand what I wrote.

  5. #40
    Pauulzcappin
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    yanks line keeps dropping

  6. #41
    t-wizzle
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I posted why McCarthy is better in Post 19. Then again, based on your posts you may not understand what I wrote.
    You don't need to be a douche about it.

    I'm not being confrontational. I don't think McCarthy is as good as Gausman. If you want to throw numbers out to support your opinion, then by all means. Just don't be a dickhead to me for no reason.

  7. #42
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    That's because his computer says he is.

    LT admittedly never watches games. That's why he struggles in nearly every sport these days. You can't just Billy Beane bets anymore and expect to win "Long Term."
    I said I rarely watch BASEBALL. I watch other sports all the time. And I am off to a good start in both NFL and CFB (frantically searching for wood to know on - will my head do?)

  8. #43
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Odom View Post
    So... in essence you agree with LT's pick

    But not willing to bet on NYY because of 8c - LT got +117
    I would need +125 here minimum.

  9. #44
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I posted why McCarthy is better in Post 19. Then again, based on your posts you may not understand what I wrote.
    I think McCarthy's better than Gausman as well.

    However, that's a pretty small piece to the puzzle here.

    The lineup behind McCarthy today is not going to justify the +117 price IMHO.

  10. #45
    labones00
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    Quote Originally Posted by cala56 View Post
    Brandon Mccarthy. Yes you right. He is the next 10 years cy young winner.
    2013 ARI 22 22 5 11 0 0 4.53 2 1 135.0 161 71 68 21 76 13 1
    2014 ARI 18 18 3 10 0 0 5.01 0 0 109.2 131 65 61 20 93 15 3
    2014 NYY 11 11 6 4 0 0 2.79 1 1 71.0 72 28 22 12 64 6 1
    Been shaky his last two starts, ERA has gone up a whole run over last two outings

    DATE OPPONENT RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB Pit BF GSc Dec. Rel. ERA
    Aug 31 @ TOR L 4-3 6.0 5 4 4 3 2 4 10 8 90 24 48 L(5-4) - 2.80
    Aug 26 @ DET L 5-2 6.1 9 5 5 0 2 5 10 11 85 29 38 L(5-3) - 2.47

  11. #46
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
    You don't need to be a douche about it.

    I'm not being confrontational. I don't think McCarthy is as good as Gausman. If you want to throw numbers out to support your opinion, then by all means. Just don't be a dickhead to me for no reason.
    Sorry didn't mean to offend you.

    My point is I supported my belief with numbers and those saying Gausman is better are just stating opinions with nothing to back it up.

  12. #47
    t-wizzle
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    Fair enough LT.

  13. #48
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    Quote Originally Posted by labones00 View Post
    Been shaky his last two starts, ERA has gone up a whole run over last two outings

    DATE OPPONENT RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB Pit BF GSc Dec. Rel. ERA
    Aug 31 @ TOR L 4-3 6.0 5 4 4 3 2 4 10 8 90 24 48 L(5-4) - 2.80
    Aug 26 @ DET L 5-2 6.1 9 5 5 0 2 5 10 11 85 29 38 L(5-3) - 2.47
    I give more priority to season-to-date than recency unless there is a legitimate reason for change in form.

  14. #49
    BeanTownClown88
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    Baltimore on verge of winning division vs the hated rivals..Yankees fielding a AAA lineup if their guys are hurt like the report says.
    Baltimore 4-1 vs NYY at home and 8-3 on the season..Everything pretty much says Baltimore owns this team and will take this opportunity to dust them in this series and clinch the AL East in front of their home fans.

    How are McCarthy and a bunch of AAA guys going to beat the O's when the other starters and the full line up can't beat the O's? Not to mention the Yankees needed to reach back and come from behind in a tough win last night. What am I missing, either take the safe pick on Baltimore or make an unnecessary risk on NYY despite the fact there are 15 other games on tonight to bet on.

  15. #50
    labones00
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    Yankees put up 5 runs in the last two innings last night, won a game they had no business winning. Cobb take a no-no into the 8th and then the pen let's up 5 runs, sucks he didn't even get the win. O's had an off day, been playing well and Yanks will be a bit worn down. McCarthy has been bad on the road his last two outings and with how hot the O's bats have been hard to see the Yanks shutting down the O's this afternoon

  16. #51
    starbuck2233
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    pick your own

    The truth is,do the opposite of what most of these SB pro's tell us,especially LT,he loses way more than wins,couple of seasons ago when I was a newbie and didn't know what I do now,I followed him and some of the others,disaster to your bankroll is what happens,look at there record each year,no put downs,just the truth......pick your own plays,don't listen to these so called pro's,there all the same,especially that pick nation,rave and rave how they make everyone money,the past 2 years I tried it,bought 10 different plays from them just trying to help myself as I learned,8 of them lost,plus the money to buy the pick,bet your own plays everyone.......

  17. #52
    BeanTownClown88
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    Quote Originally Posted by starbuck2233 View Post
    The truth is,do the opposite of what most of these SB pro's tell us,especially LT,he loses way more than wins,couple of seasons ago when I was a newbie and didn't know what I do now,I followed him and some of the others,disaster to your bankroll is what happens,look at there record each year,no put downs,just the truth......pick your own plays,don't listen to these so called pro's,there all the same,especially that pick nation,rave and rave how they make everyone money,the past 2 years I tried it,bought 10 different plays from them just trying to help myself as I learned,8 of them lost,plus the money to buy the pick,bet your own plays everyone.......

    LT suffers from over-picking but isn't he only down a few units now? He was down over 20 in the season so he's trending nicely, maybe make some money before all is said and done. It's one thing to pick a side and give some trends or supporting stats, it's another to say fade the soon to be AL East champion Orioles because Mccarthy is the better starter and magically him and a AAA line up will beat down the O's at home.

  18. #53
    Pauulzcappin
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    this line looks to good to be true on the orioles

    -121 is a joke.

  19. #54
    Sam Odom
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    beware of the NY mob

  20. #55
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ratpack View Post
    Orioles yankees played last night and the orioles had it off o's rl
    What?

  21. #56
    You mad bro
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    Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
    You don't need to be a douche about it.

    I'm not being confrontational. I don't think McCarthy is as good as Gausman. If you want to throw numbers out to support your opinion, then by all means. Just don't be a dickhead to me for no reason.
    OMG NO PLEASE DONT HURT ME

    what a pussy

  22. #57
    aznjeff07
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    temped to jump on balt...

  23. #58
    zacher
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    Baltimore by a run.

  24. #59
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    Chris Davis suspended 25 games for Orioles.

  25. #60
    pattymayo
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    Be sure to check lineups first

    Balty will probably rest a bunch of guys in first game

  26. #61
    FranchisePlayer
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    Chris David suspended 25 games

  27. #62
    Bbfromgpt
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    Idk about resting. They wanna lock everything up at home. Definitely going to watch that though

  28. #63
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by pattymayo View Post
    Be sure to check lineups first

    Balty will probably rest a bunch of guys in first game
    Doubt they rest anyone with Davis already out, they can start resting after clinching.

  29. #64
    aznjeff07
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    balt line dropped from -130 to -120. Yes, I know. My lines are all unfairly juiced to another degree. I can always expect a -10 screwing either way

  30. #65
    Pauulzcappin
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    Quote Originally Posted by aznjeff07 View Post
    balt line dropped from -130 to -120. Yes, I know. My lines are all unfairly juiced to another degree. I can always expect a -10 screwing either way

    ESPN Stats & Info
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    2m

    Chris Davis suspended 25 GM for amphetamine use. O's have 17 GM left, so he'd miss 1st 8 GM of playoffs, if advance


    that is why it dropped

  31. #66
    Pauulzcappin
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    Orioles

    Markakis
    De Aza
    Jones
    Cruz
    Pearce
    Hardy
    K. Johnson
    Hundley
    Schoop

  32. #67
    You mad bro
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    NYY +113 and -1.5 for a half unit at +165

  33. #68
    BeanTownClown88
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    Oh no their .175 hitter Crush is out..what ever will they do

  34. #69
    You mad bro
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeanTownClown88 View Post
    Oh no their .175 hitter Crush is out..what ever will they do

  35. #70
    labones00
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    Wow what a surprise the guy was cheating all this time

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