1. 09-10-14 05:55 AM #1
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Baltimore seems like a very easy early game today

    I think it's a 1:05 Eastern standard time start

    Solid pitcher against the battered up Boston team

    If you want to get rid greedy two team parlay with the 4 o'clock game and the Washington nationals

    Stroudsburg is pitching very well
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 09-10-14 05:57 AM #2
    Chi_archie
    GASPING FOR AIR
    Chi_archie's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-22-08
    Posts: 63,130
    Betpoints: 2368

    all aboard Stroudsburg's railroad!!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 09-10-14 07:59 AM #3
    mcdonae101
    mcdonae101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-02-14
    Posts: 3,646
    Betpoints: 2617

    Love Baltimore. Not sure on nats
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 09-10-14 09:09 AM #4
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Guys let's hit this parlay pretty hard

    Strausburgh with an awful lot of strikeouts also
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 09-10-14 09:16 AM #5
    goduke
    goduke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 11,568
    Betpoints: 2264

    this is moronic at its best. Did you happen to do any real analysis? Look at Strasburgs numbers against Atlanta. They arent great.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 09-10-14 09:16 AM #6
    Sam Odom
    Sam Odom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-05
    Posts: 58,063
    Betpoints: 37

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post

    Solid pitcher against the battered up Boston team




    Looks easy...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 09-10-14 09:17 AM #7
    Darkside Magick
    Black Box Algorithm
    Darkside Magick's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-28-10
    Posts: 12,586
    Betpoints: 1258

    Orioles is a sucker bet this afternoon

    [966] Boston Red Sox +133 vs Baltimore Orioles
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 09-10-14 09:18 AM #8
    mcdonae101
    mcdonae101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-02-14
    Posts: 3,646
    Betpoints: 2617

    Quote Originally Posted by Darkside Magick View Post
    Orioles is a sucker bet this afternoon

    [966] Boston Red Sox +133 vs Baltimore Orioles
    everyone said that about angels last night.....
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 09-10-14 09:20 AM #9
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by Darkside Magick View Post
    Orioles is a sucker bet this afternoon

    [966] Boston Red Sox +133 vs Baltimore Orioles
    I'd never bet Boston because they've been a bankroll burner all year long, but don't you think it's odd you're getting a guy who's 14-4 for a team that's 85-59 against a guy who's 1-8 for a team that's 63-82 at -130? I wouldn't touch Baltimore with a 100-foot pole today.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 09-10-14 09:22 AM #10
    Sam Odom
    Sam Odom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-05
    Posts: 58,063
    Betpoints: 37

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post

    I'd never bet Boston because they've been a bankroll burner all year long, but don't you think it's odd you're getting a guy who's 14-4 for a team that's 85-59 against a guy who's 1-8 for a team that's 63-82 at -130? I wouldn't touch Baltimore with a 100-foot pole today.

    You think the books are laying a trap ?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 09-10-14 09:28 AM #11
    Darkside Magick
    Black Box Algorithm
    Darkside Magick's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-28-10
    Posts: 12,586
    Betpoints: 1258

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I'd never bet Boston because they've been a bankroll burner all year long, but don't you think it's odd you're getting a guy who's 14-4 for a team that's 85-59 against a guy who's 1-8 for a team that's 63-82 at -130? I wouldn't touch Baltimore with a 100-foot pole today.
    No coin... I been burnt by boston all season long too...have not bet them since they gave up 5 runs in the ninth to Seattle awhile back but my gut is feeling this play!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 09-10-14 09:33 AM #12
    Sam Odom
    Sam Odom's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-05
    Posts: 58,063
    Betpoints: 37

    Quote Originally Posted by Darkside Magick View Post

    I been burnt by boston all season long too...have not bet them since they gave up 5 runs in the ninth to Seattle awhile back but my gut is feeling this play!

    Sammy likes gamblers who bet on their gut feelings...

    But Darker , Sammy is leaning strong the other way
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 09-10-14 09:36 AM #13
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    If you are a batter vs pitcher guy, you gotta like the red sox in this spot
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 09-10-14 09:37 AM #14
    ithinkiamgood
    ithinkiamgood's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-30-13
    Posts: 2,211
    Betpoints: 3411

    Taking Boston 1st five innings +120 , Also auto playing braves and over vs strasburg this has been money this season. 6-0 in 3 games to be exact but Strasburg pitching 4 good games in last 5 worries me just a little.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 09-10-14 09:37 AM #15
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Odom View Post
    You think the books are laying a trap ?
    Normally I would say the line is fishy, but look at this entire series. Free money for Baltimore across the board.

    Given it's a day game and given how well the public has done in general with favorites so far in September (very odd compared to the usual), I wouldn't go to the well again with the O's today. Be content with the two-game ATM Balty has been in this series and just pass on this one if you're leaning Orioles. You're asking for it if you take them again.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 09-10-14 09:38 AM #16
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    If you are a batter vs pitcher guy, you gotta like the red sox in this spot
    There are plenty of statistical reasons to like Boston from that perspective, if you like to put money on heartless, gutless, disinterested, corpse-like teams.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 09-10-14 09:40 AM #17
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    There are plenty of statistical reasons to like Boston from that perspective, if you like to put money on heartless, gutless, disinterested, corpse-like teams.
    it's not a must win game for the orioles anyway. they pretty much have division locked and I doubt they can take first place overall. Buck will have the guys ready though.

    I'm just saying that all of Red Sox in the lineup who have seen Chen more than a couple of times had great success and his day/night split is awful.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 09-10-14 09:40 AM #18
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by Darkside Magick View Post
    No coin... I been burnt by boston all season long too...have not bet them since they gave up 5 runs in the ninth to Seattle awhile back but my gut is feeling this play!
    Boston couldn't be worse ATS if they were the Black Sox themselves.

    W-L Units Home Away Day Night
    ML 63-82 -2807 31-43 32-39 17-24 46-58
    ATS 60-85 -3132 21-53 39-32 18-23 42-62
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 09-10-14 09:41 AM #19
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    it's not a must win game for the orioles anyway. they pretty much have division locked and I doubt they can take first place overall. Buck will have the guys ready though.

    I'm just saying that all of Red Sox in the lineup who have seen Chen more than a couple of times had great success and his day/night split is awful.
    At 14-4, Chen's record is an inflated joke.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 09-10-14 09:45 AM #20
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I'd never bet Boston because they've been a bankroll burner all year long, but don't you think it's odd you're getting a guy who's 14-4 for a team that's 85-59 against a guy who's 1-8 for a team that's 63-82 at -130? I wouldn't touch Baltimore with a 100-foot pole today.
    -130 on the road is a pretty standard line for this scenario. This is why baseball is one of the easiest sports to beat. The bookies are allowing home field advantage to factor too much into the line here.

    perhaps the Orioles get complacent here and take the foot off the gas pedal bc they already got the AL east locked up? its possible... you see it all the time. Teams with big leads tend to lose momentum heading into the playoffs.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 09-10-14 09:47 AM #21
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    -130 on the road is a pretty standard line for this scenario. This is why baseball is one of the easiest sports to beat. The bookies are allowing home field advantage to factor too much into the line here.

    perhaps the Orioles get complacent here and take the foot off the gas pedal bc they already got the AL east locked up? its possible... you see it all the time. Teams with big leads tend to lose momentum heading into the playoffs.
    You contribute nothing to this discussion or the board in general.

    Go away.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 09-10-14 09:48 AM #22
    Pauulzcappin
    Pauulzcappin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 20,295
    Betpoints: 568

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    At 14-4, Chen's record is an inflated joke.
    He is a product of a home run hitting team. Much like 2011 (I think) Phil Hughes. I can't wait for playoffs so I can fade the fukk out of these shitters.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 09-10-14 09:49 AM #23
    konck
    Listen the toilet is flushing
    konck's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-17-06
    Posts: 12,551
    Betpoints: 2311

    When the public is on the only 2.early games And they are both chalk dont psrlay
    Last edited by konck; 09-10-14 at 05:44 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 09-10-14 09:55 AM #24
    Atreyu
    Atreyu's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-13
    Posts: 163
    Betpoints: 0

    Im on it.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 09-10-14 10:11 AM #25
    azsportswin
    azsportswin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-03-13
    Posts: 625
    Betpoints: 11188

    Quote Originally Posted by goduke View Post
    this is moronic at its best. Did you happen to do any real analysis? Look at Strasburgs numbers against Atlanta. They arent great.
    But then you have Harang pitching for Atlanta...this guy is a dog! He tires out at the end of the season. I'm not saying this one's easy, but if I'm leaning, I'm leaning toward Stausburg, who has pitched well since his last loss to the Braves, at home vs Harang who has not been pitching well because I believe he's running out of gas. NATS -1/2 1st 5 innings looks like a solid play here.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 09-10-14 10:49 AM #26
    PorkChop
    PorkChop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-08
    Posts: 8,193
    Betpoints: 601

    Workman hasn't allowed a run to Baltimore in 10+ innings
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 09-10-14 10:51 AM #27
    MoMoneyMoVaughn
    Down but not out
    MoMoneyMoVaughn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-08-14
    Posts: 14,988
    Betpoints: 4547

    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Workman hasn't allowed a run to Baltimore in 10+ innings
    So he's fukkin due then!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 09-10-14 10:53 AM #28
    mcdonae101
    mcdonae101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-02-14
    Posts: 3,646
    Betpoints: 2617

    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Workman hasn't allowed a run to Baltimore in 10+ innings
    chen has won 2 straight against red sox, and since workman's win against them, he is 0-8 in 9 starts with a 6+ era. nod goes to baltimore
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 09-10-14 10:54 AM #29
    redking
    redking's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-25-10
    Posts: 62
    Betpoints: 2734

    Public seems to be big on Baltimore, but it doesn't seem like the line moves are matching up. Maybe the books know something??
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 09-10-14 10:55 AM #30
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by redking View Post
    Public seems to be big on Baltimore, but it doesn't seem like the line moves are matching up. Maybe the books know something??
    Public hammered Balty in Games 1 and 2 of this series, there was a ton of "RLM," yet the O's rolled in both games.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 09-10-14 10:57 AM #31
    Rixsaw
    Rixsaw's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-08
    Posts: 4,532
    Betpoints: 96

    Normally I would take any team trying to avoid a sweep. But it makes no sense to back a team that has flown south for the winter. As always, the best play is no play.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 09-10-14 10:59 AM #32
    mcdonae101
    mcdonae101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-02-14
    Posts: 3,646
    Betpoints: 2617

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Public hammered Balty in Games 1 and 2 of this series, there was a ton of "RLM," yet the O's rolled in both games.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 09-10-14 11:09 AM #33
    Bbfromgpt
    Cappin
    Bbfromgpt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-24-12
    Posts: 6,115
    Betpoints: 4429

    Quote Originally Posted by azsportswin View Post
    But then you have Harang pitching for Atlanta...this guy is a dog! He tires out at the end of the season. I'm not saying this one's easy, but if I'm leaning, I'm leaning toward Stausburg, who has pitched well since his last loss to the Braves, at home vs Harang who has not been pitching well because I believe he's running out of gas. NATS -1/2 1st 5 innings looks like a solid play here.

    Careful Harang has dominated the Nats hitters. The real value in this is game is on ATL and/or the +1.5. Just depends if you wanna gamble or not
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 09-10-14 11:11 AM #34
    BeanTownClown88
    BeanTownClown88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-08-13
    Posts: 1,961
    Betpoints: 4131

    Baltimore has the better pitcher/bull pen...if Baltimore has a significant amount of players with higher OBP's than Boston's line up, Baltimore is the play. -130 is fair for an away pitcher at Fenway under these circumstances..definitely shouldn't be higher.

    Not to mention Pedroia is out
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 09-10-14 11:11 AM #35
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    If one game loses it will be Wash

    Put more on Balt
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
1234 Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »