1. #1
    MR.HARRYtheHAT
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    ~Theory About Sports Ratings Systems~

    Theory about Sports ratings systems use a variety of methods for rating teams, but the most prevalent method is called a power rating. The power rating of a team is a calculation of the team’s strength relative to other teams in the same league or division. The basic idea is to maximize the amount of transitive relations in a given data set due to game outcomes. For example, if A defeats B and B defeats C, then one can safely say that A>B>C. Jeff Sagarin’s systems, the NY Times system, and the Dunkel Index, are some good examples. I personal use J.J. Bascus power rating systems. I incorporated his system with my evaluation of my threads in NBA forum and was 5-0 "with" and "against" spread in NBA Championship games[ all my threads posted if you care to check?]

    Rating systems can not ignore “throw-away” games. These are games where teams have already earned a post-season bid and have secured their playoff seeding before the end of the regular season, and want to rest/protect their starters by benching them for those remaining regular season games. This usually results in unpredictable outcomes, but without a mechanism to ignore such games (which runs counter to the goals of such systems), this will unintentionally skew the outcomes of rating systems.

    Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT
    PS.If you are recreational bettor please disregard this post.

  2. #2
    killawookie
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    If you think your age and senseless ramblings make you anything more than a recreational gambler.. you sir need to wake the fu.ck up.

  3. #3
    High3rEl3m3nt
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    With football in mind, A might have defeated B because they match up better, and if B beats C, it might have been due to turnovers.

    I'd argue that power ratings are more effective in sports where frequency of scoring is higher (more possessions) and a freak turnover has less of an effect on the total outcome.

    Is the NFL where your bread and butter is made? A rare bird if so.

  4. #4
    MR.HARRYtheHAT
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    Quote Originally Posted by killawookie View Post
    If you think your age and senseless ramblings make you anything more than a recreational gambler.. you sir need to wake the fu.ck up.
    I KNOW THIS IS OPEN FORUM, SO I EXPECT LOT'S OF IRRELEVANT COMMENTS[ Unrelated]. THAT I HAVE TO WEED OUT, HOWEVER THERE IS SOME GREAT MEMBERS SBR SPORTS FORUM THAT BELIEVE IN SHARING IDEAS AND INFORMATION ON THREADS.

  5. #5
    High3rEl3m3nt
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    Harry, check out the "ThePredictiontracker dot com." It's a not for profit site that has information that'd be right up your alley.

  6. #6
    MR.HARRYtheHAT
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    Quote Originally Posted by High3rEl3m3nt View Post
    With football in mind, A might have defeated B because they match up better, and if B beats C, it might have been due to turnovers.

    I'd argue that power ratings are more effective in sports where frequency of scoring is higher (more possessions) and a freak turnover has less of an effect on the total outcome.

    Is the NFL where your bread and butter is made? A rare bird if so.
    No Sir I do not put all my bread and butter in one basket. Thank you for constructive criticism of a reply, its always welcome.

  7. #7
    High3rEl3m3nt
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    If you enjoy looking at all of the different power ratings, thepredictiontracker has most of the major ones for the NFL and CFB.

  8. #8
    MR.HARRYtheHAT
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    Quote Originally Posted by High3rEl3m3nt View Post
    Harry, check out the "ThePredictiontracker dot com." It's a not for profit site that has information that'd be right up your alley.
    This is good example High3rEl3m3nt of J.J. Bascus Power Rating and Stats & Information I incorporated for my Superbowl Thread that posted in SBR sports forum. High3rEl3m3nt J.J. Bascus had game at -6 Seattle, but I waited and knew spread would go from +2 1/2 to +3 because I was at the Vegas Book for the Superbowl talking to A lot of wiseguys//LOL. >> http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-betting/2790452-history-national-football-league-its-said-defense-wins-championships.html

  9. #9
    MR.HARRYtheHAT
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    Quote Originally Posted by MR.HARRYtheHAT View Post
    This is good example High3rEl3m3nt of J.J. Bascus Power Rating and Stats & Information I incorporated for my Superbowl Thread that posted in SBR sports forum. High3rEl3m3nt J.J. Bascus had game at -6 Seattle, but I waited and knew spread would go from +2 1/2 to +3 because I was at the Vegas Book for the Superbowl talking to A lot of wiseguys//LOL. >> http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-betting/2790452-history-national-football-league-its-said-defense-wins-championships.html
    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-bettin...pionships.html

  10. #10
    jjgold
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    Harry from all this stuff out it's a numbers game

    Math experts hold their own and they cannot name one sports player

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