~These Are Three Distinct Techniques of Handicapping~ I Incorporate In My Formulas~
NFL handicapping is the art of making predictions about individual NFL matchups to determine which team has the greatest chance of winning a specific game, thus profiting from these predictions. When it comes to professional football, there are three distinct techniques of handicapping I incorporate in my formulas SBR members that I like to share with you. Fundamental, Situational, and Technical. From A fellow Handcapper,I know personally Allen Moody.Believe me his record in NFL betting speaks for itself.[ Not as good as mine!!! Just kidding Allen!!!!]. I use a 75-percent Fundamental (Statistical) Handicapping, 15-percent Situational Handicapping, and 10-percent Technical Handicapping breakdown, electing to give more weight to the predicted statistical output like he does, which I use in my NFL formulas.So this a synopsis what Allen Moody is saying SBR members,when you are handicapping games.
'' Fundamental Handicapping (aka Statistical Handicapping)" Use of statistics, power ratings, and personnel match-up to make selections.Typically, this method of handicapping takes the most consideration into NFL weather report, football injuries, and game time temperature. Since the NFL has fewer games in a season, compared to that of other sports league's the team is less prone to emotional components. This makes statistics more accurate as a team is ready, motivated, and prepared to play each week. However, this does mean there are less statistics to examine.
"Situational Handicapping" All about assessing let down factors, scheduling, motivation, revenge games, and non-mathematical systems. Breaking NFL news is a critical component in situational handicapping .It concentrates on how teams fare in particular situations, such as being the underdog or title of some sort at stake.This form of handicapping is more prevalent in college football because of the maturity level of the players. It can be presumed that professional NFL players are less susceptible to mood swings and are more level-headed. (not always, of course)".
"Technical Handicapping" Investigates the technical circumstances of each team and game looks for the historical trends.Good for taking the coaching into consideration, as their game plan can be taken into account.Typically the method of handicapping which carries the least weight. While some might be partial to specific method of handicapping, there’s a lot to be gained from a combination of Fundamental, Situational, and Technical handicapping. Professional NFL handicappers, such as I am SBR members is being expert in finding the balance and capitalizing on sports betting. The look for the best NFL matchups as represented by the NFL odds and football lines each week.
These philosophies I use are from are from stat's, information power rating analysis from J.J.Bascus power rating[ Cal-Neva Resort Spa and Casino lake Tahoe N.V..] considered the best 80% true. I have been diligent in my philosophy, Just betting one game at each week [Some exceptions applied Monday & Thursday Night games] I never bet spreads over 10, Never a road team, getting 7 more points, Never home steam giving up 7 more points I work off a spreadsheet. Use money lines as a evaluation, with and against the point spreads, Weather,injures, Power ratings, Defense and Offense analyzes, Team coaches comparisons. I never!! never!! bet 1st week in NFL season. My betting style press one time on 2nd win and will go back to a Original bet after the press Win Or Lose... One Bet at time ...You can't win? if you don,t press once. I believe my record does speak for itself as the single strongest winning formula I use in my NFL game prediction. SBR members you can always find me at Caesars palace sportsbook, Las Vegas N.V.on the strip where I bet. Would love to see you all.!!!!!!!
NOTE Technical analysis has come under scrutiny by fundamental handicappers and some sports betters due to the fact that anybody searching a database randomly for patterns will find situations that have produced very good results. However, the key is to look for situations that make sense. I don't use trends such as "The Steelers are 13-2 in week number 7" (Do they actually know that week 7 is their week and gain confidence from it?) or "bet on home dogs from +2 to +4 if it's a weeknight MAC game" (the more narrow the point spread range is the more likely it is a random occurrence and not a true indicator of a real pattern).
Mr.Hårr¥THëHÄT PS. I am always open to constructive criticism of my threads & discussions!!! Thanks for reading my thread SBR members[ Very good luck to you all in NFL season. When I win, you win too!!!!!!!! All my threads & predictions are on SBR sports Forum. PSS. Information of Fundamental, Situational, and Technical NFL techniques was taken from Allen Moody philosophies, which I respect as a NFL handicapper.
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~These Are Three Distinct Techniques of Handicapping~ I Incorporate In My Formulas~
NFL handicapping is the art of making predictions about individual NFL matchups to determine which team has the greatest chance of winning a specific game, thus profiting from these predictions. When it comes to professional football, there are three distinct techniques of handicapping I incorporate in my formulas SBR members that I like to share with you. Fundamental, Situational, and Technical. From A fellow Handcapper,I know personally Allen Moody.Believe me his record in NFL betting speaks for itself.[ Not as good as mine!!! Just kidding Allen!!!!]. I use a 75-percent Fundamental (Statistical) Handicapping, 15-percent Situational Handicapping, and 10-percent Technical Handicapping breakdown, electing to give more weight to the predicted statistical output like he does, which I use in my NFL formulas.So this a synopsis what Allen Moody is saying SBR members,when you are handicapping games.
'' Fundamental Handicapping (aka Statistical Handicapping)" Use of statistics, power ratings, and personnel match-up to make selections.Typically, this method of handicapping takes the most consideration into NFL weather report, football injuries, and game time temperature. Since the NFL has fewer games in a season, compared to that of other sports league's the team is less prone to emotional components. This makes statistics more accurate as a team is ready, motivated, and prepared to play each week. However, this does mean there are less statistics to examine.
NOTE Technical analysis has come under scrutiny by fundamental handicappers and some sports betters due to the fact that anybody searching a database randomly for patterns will find situations that have produced very good results. However, the key is to look for situations that make sense. I don't use trends such as "The Steelers are 13-2 in week number 7" (Do they actually know that week 7 is their week and gain confidence from it?) or "bet on home dogs from +2 to +4 if it's a weeknight MAC game" (the more narrow the point spread range is the more likely it is a random occurrence and not a true indicator of a real pattern).
PS. I am always open to constructive criticism of my threads & discussions!!! Thanks for reading my thread SBR members[ Very good luck to you all in NFL season. When I win, you win too!!!!!!!! All my threads & predictions are on SBR sports Forum.
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