[CapmeSpartan]

Lets win some $. PLAIN AND SIMPLE.

[CapmeSpartan]

4/25/14 10:10pm MLB Baseball 963 Colorado Rockies/Los Angeles Dodgers Over 7 -130*

(J Lyles - R must Start J Beckett - R must Start)

[icecapper]

I like the overs idea. Prediction machine almost exclusively plays overs, seems like there is an edge.

[Dirty Sanchez]

Analysis?

[CapmeSpartan]

The main reason for the over play here is Josh Beckett. He is posting a 2.57 ERA this season but only after pitching at the 16th and 24th ranked ballparks in ESPN's "2014 MLB Park Factors". Today he will be pitching at Chavez Ravine, the 10th ranked ballpark for highest runs in a game given up.
Beckett's ERA against the rockies batter's is also skewed due to the fact that he's only pitched to 3 of the 11 listed rockies over 5 times; where he's only pitched to 4 of the 11 under 3 times.
The Rockies are coming off a series in San Francisco( the same time zone, and a 30 minute flight), in which 2 of the 3 games hit the OVER IN att&t park.
Over is the play here.

[Dirty Sanchez]

Good stats...and reasons

[CapmeSpartan]

Good win
Final total hit the OVER with 9 runs.
1-0
Tomorrows play

4/27/14 4:05pm Reduced Baseball 979 Cleveland Indians/San Francisco Giants Over 8½ +107*

(D Salazar - R must Start R Vogelsong - R must Start)

[CapmeSpartan]

Everything was pointing towards the over in the Indians/Giants game, especially with both pitchers posting ERA's over 5 but the play didn't hit.
1-1
Today's play 5/2/2014 7:10 PM Reduced Baseball 907 Los Angeles Dodgers/Miami Marlins* Over 7½ -120
J Beckett - R Listed T Koehler - R Listed

[RollinDo]

This was going to be my Under play for the day.
What's the angle?

[HardCore]

This was going to be my Under play for the day.
What's the angle?

Becketts not as good as his early season numbers and miami is a over cashing machine especially at home.

[RollinDo]

Becketts not as good as his early season numbers and miami is a over cashing machine especially at home.

Ok thanks.

[Mase of Base]

Yes! Got to love those unlikely cashes! I had stopped watching then tuned back in at the perfect time in the bottom of the 7th. Stoked to see Marmol come out knew it was a chance with him in relief after Miami scored a bunch.

[CapmeSpartan]

This was going to be my Under play for the day.
What's the angle?

Sorry about not replying, had work. But for the most part Hardcore had it covered. Fading Beckett will be a trend throughout the season for me. Surprisingly,he pitched well today, and the, as of late, shaky dodgers bullpen really helped here. Either way, good win
with the total hitting the OVER with 9 runs
2-1

[RollinDo]

Really hurt me tonight. I has D'backs Under 3 and then since they won, had the Under 8.5 in the Marlins game...thought for sure it would hit but then a slew of runs came.
One of those off night of mine in which I catch no breaks.
Lost Mariners ML too in extras...Fortunately a parlay to cut down juice, but would have been a nice profit there with Rockies.

[CapmeSpartan]

Yeah with king felix on the mound, the mariners game almost looked like a lock.
I'm looking at the dodgers marlins game again tomorrow but still waiting to lock something in!

[jjgold]

I hate betting overs because you rarely win until late in the game

in bases I think weather means something as far as wind

[CapmeSpartan]

5/5/2014 10:05 PM MLB Baseball 965 Seattle Mariners/Oakland Athletics* Over 7½ -110
C Young - R Listed S Kazmir - L Listed

With the wind blowing out to right field at 25mph, ima go ahead and hit the over.
I hate to hit this with the mariners hitting a combined .143 against kazmir but in kazmir's starts the mariners average 6.66 runs.
Although the a's are hitting a mere .211 against young, young has given up an average of 5.66 runs in 3 of his last 5 starts.
Something has got to give, I think it'll be the over that does.