Originally Posted by
statnerds
1. Trust your original instinct. If a line jumps out at you, check mark that bitch. Do your capping and if you find more reason to like it, play it. If you find info to give you pause, consider not playing it, or dropping the value. Never change your bet.
2. Fukk Parlays.
3. No NFL team is as good as everyone thinks and no NFL teams is as bad as everyone thinks. You must accurately gauge each team and ignore the flavor of the week/month that talking heads will tell you is the best/worst team ever. Ex: Any Pats line in '07 starting with -24 vs Phi and after.
4. Never tease college football...ever. If you tease NFL, learn some Wong and pay attention to those key numbers.
5. Use multiple accounts, giving you multiple outs and always shop for your best line.
6. Bet with your head, not your heart. Sorry, some of these are cliches, but they are built on truth. So we should just include bet with your head not over it as well. you never want to be out of the game. the house will never be out of the game, their BR is infinite, your's is not.
7. Never double down and don't bet a game just cause it is on TV. Sure these were mentioned, no need to write em up, but they cannot be ignored.
8. Fade Lang.
9. Find cappers that are better than you to follow. I am only good in football, and pretty much only NFL. So i figure there have got to people like me, just with their strength in a different sport.
10. ALWAYS, ALWAYS REMEMBER you do not know everything. learn everything you can. find successful cappers/bettors and ask questions. cruise any page here and you will find threads based on ego, driven by ego and tons of posts clouded by ego. the hardest thing to do is admit you need help. i expect if anyone reads this post, there will be some that bash it. they are also the ones that are broke or reload every few months. we are engaged in an ultimate version of "i told you so." but if your main ambition is to be able to prove someone else wrong, you will not win long term.
only 10? think i could double that list.
GL all