1. #1
    TheCentaur
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    Anyone else have Aston Villa/Fulham under 2.5?

    0-0 through 60 minutes

    Live bet over 2.5 is near +1000

    In the 86th minute score is 1-2

    About the 4th time that's happened to me in a month

    Starting to think live betting medium-long shots live is a good bet. Maybe a lot of people looking for what appears to be a live sure thing are creating value on the other side?

  2. #2
    GiveMeaBJ
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheCentaur View Post
    0-0 through 60 minutes

    Live bet over 2.5 is near +1000

    In the 86th minute score is 1-2

    About the 4th time that's happened to me in a month

    Starting to think live betting medium-long shots live is a good bet. Maybe a lot of people looking for what appears to be a live sure thing are creating value on the other side?
    They need to protect themselves for people who are willing to go out and hammer sure things. I mean the odds look right for this situation. Do you know the odds on over 1.5?

  3. #3
    TheCentaur
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    Quote Originally Posted by GiveMeaBJ View Post
    They need to protect themselves for people who are willing to go out and hammer sure things. I mean the odds look right for this situation. Do you know the odds on over 1.5?
    I saw it but I don't remember. I was just checking the 2.5 to see how much of a favorite I was because I had under 2.5

  4. #4
    GiveMeaBJ
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheCentaur View Post
    I saw it but I don't remember. I was just checking the 2.5 to see how much of a favorite I was because I had under 2.5
    Maybe value in the spot going o1.5? Just curious.

  5. #5
    TheCentaur
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    Quote Originally Posted by GiveMeaBJ View Post
    Maybe value in the spot going o1.5? Just curious.
    Normally I would say no, because hedging is -ev, better off just sitting on ur bet that is winning

    If the over 1.5 is +ev then yes there is value, but it's live so hard to figure for sure

  6. #6
    GiveMeaBJ
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheCentaur View Post
    Normally I would say no, because hedging is -ev, better off just sitting on ur bet that is winning

    If the over 1.5 is +ev then yes there is value, but it's live so hard to figure for sure
    True depends on odds. Think it would be +.

  7. #7
    onemoregoal
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    over 1.5 at around 60 0-0 would have been about +275ish as a guess.

  8. #8
    professionalAD
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    lol

  9. #9
    barca12
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    I think odds on over 1.5 in that minute are between 2.50-3.00, live betting is defintely there for the taking once you get some experience, lines can be way off, even in top leagues. Most of the times they dont even adjust the lines, meaning favorite team stays the favorite to score the next goal even if the other team is playing way better. I could write a book on live betting..over 0.5 at 1.40-1.50 is the worst thing you can do, or the team to score next at the same odds is also a mistake..there are exceptions of course, but after years of losing in live betting I finally know what Im doing

  10. #10
    TheCentaur
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    Under 3 Bayern Munich/Man United

    Live odds before the scoring wave about -900

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