[jjgold]

I am -2 on road

Going against my theory

[dfish]

signing in pal

[DiggityDaggityDo]

[LT Profits]

Tennessee is the best eight-loss team in the country, they could easily win this game at home. Seven of the Vols' eight losses have been by single-digits, and the one blowout was at Florida, which they are trying to avenge here. Besides the wipe-out at Florida, the next worse Tennessee loss this year was by nine points to Wichita State, who oh by the way will probably end the regular season undefeated. Tennessee is 14th in the country in offensive efficiency vs. a schedule ranked 44th in SOS, Florida is 23rd in offensive efficiency vs. an SOS ranked 73rd.

[WVUsuperfan]

I am on Florida tonight, 1st H and for the game. Vegas cant be setting up these traps all the time, they know the public will catch on eventually. i think this Florida game they want you to think its a trap

[labones00]

Florida is 2-8 SU in their last 10 games when playing @ Tennessee

[WVUsuperfan]

ok, so that was their last ten games. what does that have to do with tonight? What were they the 10 games before those 10 games?

[THam12]

ok, so that was their last ten games. what does that have to do with tonight? What were they the 10 games before those 10 games?

Florida has struggled historically at Tennessee. I think that has a lot to do with this line. I don't now if Tennessee has enough to win, but I think Florida has definite weaknesses and will have a tough time tonight.

[Bustedu]

I am -2 on road

Going against my theory

72% on Flordia

[BoS_010]

This game seems like Tennessee + the points or pass, IMO. I'm personally passing but would consider Tennessee +1 1H.

[derekjetr02]

I'm on Tennessee +2. I was on Kansas St and WVU last night. TEN's offense and turnover rate has drastically improved since getting smoked by Florida. They also shoot 48% from 3 at home which is just absurd. Billy Donovan had his best defensive peformance ever in their first meeting. Ten was 1-for-19 from 3. I'm betting against that happening again. I think they get hot and stay hot from long distance and ride to a 8-10 win. I haven't checked the numbers, but I'm guessing at least 70% of the money is on FLA. They're due for a loss and this game will likely decide whether TEN will make the tournament. This is TEN's Super Bowl and FLA arguably has a bigger game on Satuday at Kentucky. Take the Vols and the free 2 points.

[irish1]

ON the Gators for 100/110. That "D" is smothering and Young, Finney-Smith and Yeguete can bag with the bigs on Tennessee. Frazier and Wilbekin are capable of hitting the threes, while Prather drives to the hoop. Can't wait to watch this one! Should be a great game.

[labones00]

FLORIDA IS 2-8 SU AND 3-7 ATS IN THESE GAMES.

DATE	HOME	PTS	AWAY	PTS	SU RESULT	H LINE	ATS RESULT	O/U	O/U RESULT
02/26/2013	TENN	64	FLA	58	L	8	L	125	U
01/07/2012	TENN	67	FLA	56	L	7½	L	144½	U
01/11/2011	TENN	75	FLA	81	W	-3½	W	138½	O
01/31/2010	TENN	61	FLA	60	L	-8	W	143	U
01/31/2009	TENN	79	FLA	63	L	-3½	L	154½	U
02/05/2008	TENN	104	FLA	82	L	-9½	L	156½	O
02/27/2007	TENN	86	FLA	76	L	4½	L	151	O
01/21/2006	TENN	80	FLA	76	L	0	L	157	U
02/12/2005	TENN	73	FLA	84	W	5	W
01/31/2004	TENN	65	FLA	63	L	3½	L	150	U

[shayman23]

Tennessee is the best eight-loss team in the country, they could easily win this game at home. Seven of the Vols' eight losses have been by single-digits, and the one blowout was at Florida, which they are trying to avenge here. Besides the wipe-out at Florida, the next worse Tennessee loss this year was by nine points to Wichita State, who oh by the way will probably end the regular season undefeated. Tennessee is 14th in the country in offensive efficiency vs. a schedule ranked 44th in SOS, Florida is 23rd in offensive efficiency vs. an SOS ranked 73rd.

It is really hard to read this and not at least add Tennessee into a teaser. Hard to imagine them losing by more than 8 tonight on their home floor

[derekjetr02]

No major injuries or changes to the game, but Public juiced TEN up to +2.5.

Added some TEN -ML at +120

[Joe D. 416]

Got Vols at +4 local. I like Ohio St. and OK St. too

[destingator]

ON the Gators for 100/110. That "D" is smothering and Young, Finney-Smith and Yeguete can bag with the bigs on Tennessee. Frazier and Wilbekin are capable of hitting the threes, while Prather drives to the hoop. Can't wait to watch this one! Should be a great game.

Good assessment, not to mention that UF thoroughly stomped UT without Chris Walker, who could get lots of minutes tonight and have a very positive impact.
That said, UF should be the better team tonight.

[cane]

I am on Florida tonight, 1st H and for the game. Vegas cant be setting up these traps all the time, they know the public will catch on eventually. i think this Florida game they want you to think its a trap

The public will always take the third ranked team in the country laying a small number to a non ranked team, they always have and they always will. Vols +2.5 for me.

[DCRiBBZ]

The Public Are Fish Boys

[BIGDAY]

I'm on Tennessee.

[Ambition]

Forget a side. Take the under.

[jarvol]

Florida is 2-8 SU in their last 10 games when playing @ Tennessee

Bruce Pearl is gone.

[aman86]

so you think tennessee wins by 8-10 but you don't play the moneyline???

I'm on Tennessee +2. I was on Kansas St and WVU last night. TEN's offense and turnover rate has drastically improved since getting smoked by Florida. They also shoot 48% from 3 at home which is just absurd. Billy Donovan had his best defensive peformance ever in their first meeting. Ten was 1-for-19 from 3. I'm betting against that happening again. I think they get hot and stay hot from long distance and ride to a 8-10 win. I haven't checked the numbers, but I'm guessing at least 70% of the money is on FLA. They're due for a loss and this game will likely decide whether TEN will make the tournament. This is TEN's Super Bowl and FLA arguably has a bigger game on Satuday at Kentucky. Take the Vols and the free 2 points.

[anthonydiamondLC]

Some really good insight in this thread. I'm with the against the grain play on Tenn. Looks like a lot of the public is on Florida.

[LT Profits]

so you think tennessee wins by 8-10 but you don't play the moneyline???

He did, read Post 15

[ringemup]

FLA -2 IS THE PLAY IN THIS SPOT.

It does smell trap but the line is fair based on Tennessees recent play at home. Based on my scouting of both teams FLA has length quickness n athleticism to make Vols struggle from outside. Off. Gators have inside/out balance Young n Wilbekin the leaders n sharing the load impressively. VOLS are desperate to win here as a bubble team yet pressure can impact teams play negatively and i see FLA asserting their dominance early n often. Side with FLA tonite.

[BradlyBear]

I am on Florida tonight, 1st H and for the game. Vegas cant be setting up these traps all the time, they know the public will catch on eventually. i think this Florida game they want you to think its a trap

Agree with this

[GHSCREW]

lets go gators.

[Bustedu]

FLA -2 IS THE PLAY IN THIS SPOT.

It does smell trap but the line is fair based on Tennessees recent play at home. Based on my scouting of both teams FLA has length quickness n athleticism to make Vols struggle from outside. Off. Gators have inside/out balance Young n Wilbekin the leaders n sharing the load impressively. VOLS are desperate to win here as a bubble team yet pressure can impact teams play negatively and i see FLA asserting their dominance early n often. Side with FLA tonite.

Keep taking the public side and you will lose

[ROFLcopter]

Not even sure what to think here. You say it's a trap but you're taking it

[smitch124]

Got Vols at +4 local. I like Ohio St. and OK St. too

Gotta love locals that stick it to the guys that like to bet the high seeds.

[killawookie]

All im seeing for the Vols defense is conspiracy theories.. lmao.

[ringemup]

Keep taking the public side and you will lose

My play based on scouting not public opinion, GL with TENN. u may need it. GAME ON.

[Mitchell88]

GL JJ but this is a stay way the hell away from game for me, I don't know who is going to win but I hope you do. cheers

[boss_of_um]

So a team loses by 20+ points. The winning team is getting a stud recruit who did not play in the first game. And the line is -2.5? The line is TELLING you to take Tennessee which is what I have done.