[NYSportsGuy210]

Going into the wild card weekend we all think we have a pretty good picture of what to expect and how the NFL playoffs for the 2013-14 season should pan out. I myself admit that I have somewhat of my own idea of what to expect as I have already picked what to expect this wild card weekend and next weekend as weekend as a result.

But here is some information I read regarding what the past post season play off since the late -90's till last season has shown us. I thought sharing this with SBR would be helpful.


(1) In the last 8 postseasons, Tom Brady, Peyton Manning and Drew Brees are a combined 19-16 win-loss record and have two total Superbowl rings between the three.

In the last 8 postseasons, Joe Flacco, Eli Manning and Mark Sanchez are 21-9 win-loss record with a combined three Superbowl rings between the three.


(2) From 2000-2006, there were only three times total when an NFL team faced off against another NFL team in the playoffs, where one of the teams were 4 games or more worse in the regular season than their opponent: Viking vs. Eagles in 2004, Steelers vs. Jets in 2004 and Bears vs. Seahawks in 2006. In all three meetings the team with the better regular season record won.

From 2007- 2011, this same type of scenario occurred in the playoffs 14 times! The outcome? 7 games were won by the vastly superior team and 7 games won by the vastly inferior team....including two teams who won in the postseason who finished under .500 in the regular season but still won their division and those games (2010 Seahawks and 2011 Broncos).


(3) In the last 8 NFL playoffs, three teams have won the Superbowl without ever hosting a playoff game in that year they won the Superbowl (2007 Giants, 2005 Steelers & 2010 Packers). From 1966-2004 in the NFL playoffs, this only happened twice.

(4) Since the 2005-2006 NFL season, the team with the best AFC record has only faced off with the team with the best NFC record in the Superbowl once (2009 Saints vs. 2009 Colts).

(5) Since 2006, underdogs have covered six of the last seven Superbowls match ups and have won four of them outright. From 1990-2006, only four underdogs total had ever won the Superbowl outright.

(6) From 1998 -2004,teams that had a first-round bye in the NFL playoffs won the Superbowl 6 out of those 7 years. From 2006-2012, teams that have had a first round bye in the NFL playoffs have won the Superbowl only 2 of those 7 years.

(7) Since 1966, dome teams are 3-22 when playing an NFL play off game outdoors and the weather is 35 degrees or colder.

(8) From 2005-06 season till 2012-13 NFL season, we have had one monster upset in round 2 of the NFL postseason every year: (2005 Steelers +9.5 at Colts; 2006 Patriots +4.5 at San Diego, 2007 Chargers +11.5 at Colts, 2008 Cardinals +10.5 at Panthers, 2009 Jets +9.5 at San Diego, 2010 Jets +10 at Patriots, 2011 NY Giants +8.5 at Packers and the 2012 Ravens +9 at Broncos).


Final Conclusion: The NFL has been a parody league where it doesn't matter what record you finish or what seeding you have in the post season as long as you make it in somehow. Home field advantage has meant nothing the past seven NFL seasons after meaning a lot the past 30 seasons. In gambling, road dogs are hitting in the NFL playoffs a ton over the past seven years as well. Wild card teams seem to have a better shot off making the Super Bowl than the top 3 seeds from either conference. The "No One Believes In Us" teams like Green bay or San Diego have a combined 55% liklihood of one of those two teams making it to the Big Dance (yikes!)

Do we continue on this path to mayhem and total randomness when betting and trying to predict Superbowl bound teams for the 2013-14 NFL playoffs or do we "buck the trend" this year and return back to the good old days of the 1985-2005 playoff seasons?

[lakerboy]

thanks bill simmons

[NYSportsGuy210]

thanks bill simmons

Yes I do thank him. It was extremely informative.

[innovation]

keep playing last weeks winning lotto numbers this week.


useless

[NYSportsGuy210]

keep playing last weeks winning lotto numbers this week.


useless

Really? So you don't think this is relevant to describing the way the NFL has been going or is heading towards? Interesting....

[C-Gold]

You can look at history all you want but you will always be a stinky Persian

[easyliving]

Final Conclusion: The NFL has been a parody league where it doesn't matter what record you finish or what seeding you have in the post season as long as you make it in somehow. Home field advantage has meant nothing the past seven NFL seasons after meaning a lot the past 30 seasons. In gambling, road dogs are hitting in the NFL playoffs a ton over the past seven years as well. Wild card teams seem to have a better shot off making the Super Bowl than the top 3 seeds from either conference. The "No One Believes In Us" teams like Green bay or San Diego have a combined 55% liklihood of one of those two teams making it to the Big Dance (yikes!)

I think the word you're thinking of here is parity. Big difference between a parody and parity between the teams.

[MickeyMan]

[slacker00]

I guess these stats mean fade Drew Brees? Otherwise, I can't connect any relevance.

[C-Gold]

So the OP can't even spell the first word in his title correctly and he copied and pasted the entire article.

Bomb Iran.

[NYSportsGuy210]

I think the word you're thinking of here is parity. Big difference between a parody and parity between the teams.

There are so many dummies on SBR that say ignorant things all the time....my spelling should be the least your concerns.

[crustyme]

good info.

[C-Gold]

There are so many dummies on SBR that say ignorant things all the time....my spelling should be the least your concerns.

Get out of your parents basement and go look in the mirror.

[jjgold]

stats are useless

any pro gambler does not even look at them

[Kermit]

Fukk all of that noise, I got Nick Foles over 21 completions.

[indio]

I rolled dice 100 times. Between the 1rst roll and the 70th roll, I rolled snake eyes and box cars combined 1 time (1.43%). From the 71rst roll to the 100th roll, i rolled snake eyes and box cars combined 8 times (26.67%).

Final conclusion - Since short term variance will produce all sorts of streaks and numerical oddities, we can safely conclude that this doesn't mean a $%&*ing thing, just like the long winded useless original post.


I hope you enjoyed my parity, oh excuse me, parody, of the thread starting post.

[NYSportsGuy210]

I rolled dice 100 times. Between the 1rst roll and the 70th roll, I rolled snake eyes and box cars combined 1 time (1.43%). From the 71rst roll to the 100th roll, i rolled snake eyes and box cars combined 8 times (26.67%).

Final conclusion - Since short term variance will produce all sorts of streaks and numerical oddities, we can safely conclude that this doesn't mean a $%&*ing thing, just like the long winded useless original post.


I hope you enjoyed my parity, oh excuse me, parody, of the thread starting post.

So you are comparing betting football to rolling dice? I see....that explains a lot. In fact, it shows you agree with the conclusion of the original post.....but just too stubborn and bitter to admit it.

Probably just another bitter ghost account of some shady douche like Opie, Guacho or All About the Anus.....or one of the many "can't cap for crap but I am a looney character" on SBR who get all the views. Same boring schtick under a new username.

[Smutbucket]

your stats are arbitrary, random, and completely useless. exactly how you surmise gambling on the nfl to be. go figure. heres a start for you. try using some meaningful numbers. heres the trick though, you need to figure out which ones are meaningful for yourself. no handicapper is gonna share their secrets with you. you seem to regurgitate bullshit quite well so I don't think theres much hope for you

[NYSportsGuy210]

your stats are arbitrary, random, and completely useless. exactly how you surmise gambling on the nfl to be. go figure. heres a start for you. try using some meaningful numbers. heres the trick though, you need to figure out which ones are meaningful for yourself. no handicapper is gonna share their secrets with you. you seem to regurgitate bullshit quite well so I don't think theres much hope for you

I don't need a handicapper to share their secrets with me. I cap better than 90% of SBR dude. You live under a friggin rock. Again all you do is name call....you don't post anything of substance, just insults cause you probably never graduated past the 10th grade. No wonder America is going down hill and $15 trillion in debt.

[Reno_Thor]

My nut sack has 146 hair follicles therefore I shall bet the Chiefs.

[TheAntFather]

Who do you like today NY?

[NYSportsGuy210]

Who do you like today NY?

You can view SBR and find out. I have posted some plays.

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...s-weekend.html

[opie1988]

Beore

Parody

Persians

[New England Pats]

I rolled dice 100 times. Between the 1rst roll and the 70th roll, I rolled snake eyes and box cars combined 1 time (1.43%). From the 71rst roll to the 100th roll, i rolled snake eyes and box cars combined 8 times (26.67%).

Final conclusion - Since short term variance will produce all sorts of streaks and numerical oddities, we can safely conclude that this doesn't mean a $%&*ing thing, just like the long winded useless original post.


I hope you enjoyed my parity, oh excuse me, parody, of the thread starting post.

This.

[tto827]

stats are useless

any pro gambler does not even look at them

[MoneyLineDawg]

Burial

[TheAntFather]

You can view SBR and find out. I have posted some plays.

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...s-weekend.html

How do you feel about the Chiefs with that huge line movement? They are at -2.5 now I believe.

[Smutbucket]

I don't need a handicapper to share their secrets with me. I cap better than 90% of SBR dude. You live under a friggin rock. Again all you do is name call....you don't post anything of substance, just insults cause you probably never graduated past the 10th grade. No wonder America is going down hill and $15 trillion in debt.

yes calling a spade a spade is "name-calling"

posts like these piss me the fuk off probably 2nd most to posts along the lines of "public is betting...." ... need to stamp them out and call them for the shit they are. your numbers are so random its ridiculous. we cant all just mindlessly agree with each other. all in good fun though don't take it personally

[sweep]

unreal.

we have a serial plagiarist on our hands sbr

[vanc143]

"PARODY"

hahaha what a moron

[indio]

So you are comparing betting football to rolling dice? I see....that explains a lot. In fact, it shows you agree with the conclusion of the original post.....but just too stubborn and bitter to admit it.

Probably just another bitter ghost account of some shady douche like Opie, Guacho or All About the Anus.....or one of the many "can't cap for crap but I am a looney character" on SBR who get all the views. Same boring schtick under a new username.

You have about as much comprehension of basic math principles (essential to long term gambling success) as the scumbag communist child killer you have as your icon. The question is, which is worse, your math skills or your English skills? I guess you wanted to find a picture of somebody who closely resembles a monkey, since you could probably pass for a simian yourself.

[lakerboy]

[No coincidences]

your stats are arbitrary, random, and completely useless. exactly how you surmise gambling on the nfl to be. go figure. heres a start for you. try using some meaningful numbers. heres the trick though, you need to figure out which ones are meaningful for yourself. no handicapper is gonna share their secrets with you. you seem to regurgitate bullshit quite well so I don't think theres much hope for you

This all day long.

[No coincidences]

Burial

You expecting anything less? It's redundant at this point.

[zooom]

why does everyone hate this guy?