1. #71
    Deol
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    Quote Originally Posted by Deol View Post
    I think today's games are gonna be close, hence this lotto parlay (range +5000 to +6000) 0.25units each = total 1 at risk

    CIN (-280) / SF-2 (-120) / IND WM1-6 / NO WM1-6
    CIN (-280) / SF-2 (-120) / KC WM1-6 / NO WM1-6
    CIN (-280) / SF-2 (-120) / IND WM1-6 / PHI WM1-6
    CIN (-280) / SF-2 (-120) / KC WM1-6 / PHI WM1-6

  2. #72
    face
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vinnie Paz View Post
    Even more games are decided by a FG though. If you're gonna go down that route may as well take the ML. How often are football games decied by 2? I almost never bet 2.5, if I lose by 2 then so be it but ill almost always take ml . GL either way. Anything for NBA?
    it's 8%, 8% of games are won by 1 or 2 points, actually pretty high
    15% by 3 pts
    http://www.marasoft.com/nfl-margin-victory.php

  3. #73
    ThaTopMoron
    Body-Bags
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    trust me bro. i am on saints +2.5. guaranteed they will lose now.

  4. #74
    jjgold
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    Just take underdogs and you'll go to the bank

  5. #75
    k13
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    Getting off that 7 is a real move..

    Those are nasty long term vs a solid 7

  6. #76
    ChiLLx
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Getting off that 7 is a real move..

    Those are nasty long term vs a solid 7
    Will the niners get off the super juiced 3 to -3.5??

  7. #77
    k13
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    Pk to -3,-3.5

    Steam wins again.

    People will say how the public won but that was sharp money hitting that early.

  8. #78
    ChiLLx
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Pk to -3,-3.5

    Steam wins again.

    People will say how the public won but that was sharp money hitting that early.
    Should win...but Kap just threw an int.

  9. #79
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Steam moves mean nothing

    10 year average is like 50% like all other betting sytems

    Clueless as usual.

  10. #80
    SoonerC
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    Quote Originally Posted by tto827 View Post
    People who chased steam won or tied

    morons who followed the steam after the number moved lost

    Another prime example to show who wins and who loses long-term.. if you took the Chiefs as a favorite, I guarantee you are not a long term winner.

    People with a clue were getting at least a point and a half on whichever side they liked. Books probably got their shit middled on this one.
    Oh BS, total BS. Chiefs were the play in the game and were up 28 even without a ton of key players that went down. Do you really think they lose if Charles and the rest hadn't gone down? I took it at -1.5 and I'd bet it again if they played today.

  11. #81
    jjgold
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    Chiefs win easy if players stayed healthy during that game

    Kc was right side

  12. #82
    ChiLLx
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    Another steam winner.

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