[VegasInsider]

Someone give me a reason to not go all in on UNC/Texas Over on anything less than 145

This game should be a shootout IMO

I can't wait for the totals to come out!

I'm hoping they hang a high-130s out there, but I doubt it. 145 and I'm happy

[chalk46]

I thought the same thing about a week ago when high scoring Boise State came to UK. Had the makings of a 93-75 game. I'll be dammed if they didn't come up in Rupp Arena and hold the ball for big parts of the game. 70-55 final & missed by like 35 points. Never know what kind of tactics a double digit road dog might resort to.

[VegasInsider]

That's an interesting game to bring up, chalk. I watched that game and was surprised with how Boise approached it. Texas has historically had strong guard play and usually feels comfortable, as a program, running up and down the floor. Roy would love nothing more than a shootout and this might be a good spot. I'm praying they hang a decent number out there. Anything over 150 and it's a no play. Anything under 140 and it's Pound Town.

[chalk46]

As an avid UK fan and knowing the trends of how they play mid-majors at home, I was bit shocked at how that one turned out .Boise conceded the loss & just tried to keep it close. One positive about UNC at home, is they don't necessarily need the other team to get the over. I think they're capable of scoring 86-90 tomorrow. That place will be rockin, that's for sure.

[Cuse0323]

I'd feel better about it if UNC could shoot the 3 at all. But, this year you can rely on FT's to get you there though they don't shoot particularly well there either. Texas has a pretty poor FG% as a team as well. I mean it should be an up and down game with lots of points but could get ugly and together they only give up 135 on average a game. Those are just some reasons not to go on it from the other side of it, but I wish you well

[VegasInsider]

The number means everything here. It's one of those games where a soft total could really be taken advantage of. It could go from All-In to no play with a hard total. I'm really looking for anything 145 or less. I'd kill for 138-139

[chalk46]

I think 139 would almost scare me off, personally. lol. I had the game on Saturday, but couldn't follow that closely because of a Christmas party going on around me, but I didn't really like how that game was called with. It went over and I felt like there was a lot of points left out there on no-calls..that would be assuming that UK could cash in on free throws, which is a moot point.

[jjgold]

Game flow hard to predict
You do not know a game plan heading into a game

A slower paced game might favor one team in a matchup

[MickeyMan]

If you are going all in on a play shouldn't you have a good idea on what the line will be? You have mentioned anywhere from high 130's to low 150's as your guesses.....sounds like you have no clue

[Cuse0323]

Not the number you wanted. 148, I'd roll under here if I had to.

[ctny85]

Game flow hard to predict
You do not know a game plan heading into a game

A slower paced game might favor one team in a matchup

You can bank on Roy Williams and Carolina coming out to run but the team has only one consistent shooter in Marcus Paige.

[DAVEYCROCKET]

still like it at 149? I am passing for now to see where line goes

[VegasInsider]

If you are going all in on a play shouldn't you have a good idea on what the line will be? You have mentioned anywhere from high 130's to low 150's as your guesses.....sounds like you have no clue

I stated right in the first post that 145 and I'd be happy. I just said that I hoped they would throw 138-139 out there, which didn't happen. The posted total came out pretty much as to be expected. I still think it's a decent play at 149, but not worthy of hammer time, which would have been the case at 140. I think the books are seeing the same thing I am here. I'm banking on a lot of possessions and shots, which will outweigh the terrible shooting percentages of these two on average.

[VegasInsider]

still like it at 149? I am passing for now to see where line goes

I made a small play at 148 when it opened at 5dimes. I think it's only going to creep into the 150's

[Doughboy22]

Took it at 148 as well. Fast start

[VegasInsider]

15 points the first first 2.5 minutes.

Why the fukk am I a pussy?!

[VegasInsider]

21 in 3 minutes

Fukk me. No balls.

[Doughboy22]

These guys can't shoot free throws huh vagas? It's pathetic.

[Doughboy22]

Almost 40 pts in 6 mins

[VegasInsider]

64 points in 12 minutes. Texas did EXACTLY what I thought they would.

It's a nice feeling when you handicap a game correctly.

[Doughboy22]

64 points in 12 minutes. Texas did EXACTLY what I thought they would.

It's a nice feeling when you handicap a game correctly.

Not there yet but this was very well capped. Nice work VI

[Cuse0323]

Good shit, more offensive rebounds for Texas than UNC has total.

[VegasInsider]

Texas is one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the country. KenPom has then ranked 28th in offensive rebound percentage

[TwoWays]

Vi very sharper than the line 2x

[Doughboy22]

Here comes the sweat

[Doughboy22]

6 pts in 4 minutes.

[pattymayo]

Here comes the sweat

lol you need 40 points in the last 15 min

why is there a sweat?

[VegasInsider]

No sweat at all. Just think about how many FT's there will be down the stretch when UNC makes their run.

[VegasInsider]

Vi very sharper than the line 2x

[Doughboy22]

lol you need 40 points in the last 15 min

why is there a sweat?

I hear you bro. Now I need 40 in 13 minutes. As they go another 2 scoreless.

[Doughboy22]

No sweat at all. Just think about how many FT's there will be down the stretch when UNC makes their run.

Think about how many they have missed

[Doughboy22]

Let's just get some pts and finish this thing.

[Doughboy22]

34-60 on fts

[VegasInsider]

It's over now. Scoring picked up in 4 minutes

[tatddy]

Allin? I thought you were broke. Gl man.