Week 10 plays
Eagles -1 WIN
Denver -7 WIN
Dallas +7 Loss
Tampa +2.5 WIN
Atlanta Loss
3-2 ATS
My best bet last week was Tampa and it won. My sucker bet was Atlanta and lost - turns out Seattle really was a gift, it happens sometimes. I liked small road favorites but couldn't decide who to play, Philly was my best bet so I took them, I liked Detroit but layed off, and I liked Cincy but layed off because I thought a weaker Baltimore would be motivated and might win - they did. Dallas was an overall bad pick. 49ers/Carolina was low scoring like I said. Overall I feel like I had a good pulse on the market.
Thursday night football
Colts -3 @ Titans
After beating Seattle, Denver, @ San Francisco the Colts have people's attention this year. People think the Colts are very good, and then they go out and get smashed against the Rams. People are thinking the strong Colts team bounces back at this point. I don't watch a lot of Titans football, but they just lost to the Jags, how is that even possible? Of course the Colts will beat this team that just lost to the Jags, or will they?
Already I see a huge percentage of betters on the Colts. This game is "too easy" but is it? To me this game is Titans or no play, no play for me. So the Titans winning is completely unimaginable, but let's look at some of the facts.
- Colts are on a short week, which is always tough.
- Colts have a rookie QB, ok 2nd year QB on a short week, which is even tougher.
- Colts are a dome team, playing outside on grass
- This is a divisional game - Game in Nashville went to OT last year.
- I was never a big Locker fan, I don't think they are "losing much" going to their backup Fitzpatrick. Fitz is a seasoned vet, and a very smart guy.
- Nationalized TV game for a Titans team going nowhere this year, the game means more to them.
If the Colts could get blow out at home to Kellen Clemens, they could lose on the road to Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Colts offense hasn't been the same without Reggie Wayne. This Whalen guy sucks. TY Hilton is the only dependable receiver and he seems to be a deeper threat compared to a move the chains guy. Trent Richardson has been a failure. Think about it, this Colts team was a 1-15 team 2 years ago.
Play the Titans +3 or nothing.