1. #1
    Goat Milk
    Goat Milk's Avatar SBR PRO
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    My NBA Plays

    Small bets to start until rhythm established. Most bets will be between $100 and $200 with the occasional big bet. Won't have much time to diagnose film until late December.

    I paid MexicanStallion to record all my plays last year. I am going PRO again so it will be easy to transfer him/someone else daily tokens. Secretstash didn't forget about you either.

    FUTURES

    LAKERS MAKE PLAYOFFS +260 RISK $50

    BROOKLYN REG SEASON WINS OVER 52.5 -115 RISK $115

    MIAMI HEAT VS. LA CLIPPERS FINALS MATCHUP +1100 RISK $70

    CHRIS PAUL MVP +1300 RISK $40

    ________________________________________ ________________________________________ _____
    Play #1: MIAMI -5 -110 Risk $55 to win $50

    Weak arguments for backing Bulls include "they are going to be pissed watching MIA get there rings." Betting the NBA is all about match up analysis. The Bulls do matchup quite well with MIA actually with the improvement of Jimmy Butler. Him and Deng are a solid duo to try and limit Wade and James. Word in MIA is Wade is back to his 2010 form when he and James came together. MIA picked up Oden and Beasley to add to their already potent bench. I think that the Bulls are going to be a little over-aggressive in this game and that's going to hurt them. MIA is going to draw quite a few fouls, and will also go with several small sets with James at the 4 and that's definitely going to hurt Chicago. Thibs like to toy with the idea of putting Gibson on James for some time and that won't work. I also think that Rose is gonna struggle to find his game late in the 4th quarter of this game. He's going to just try and do too much. Which will lead to some blown defensive assignments and poor ball movement offensively.

    I don't want to assess games from a matchup perspective so early in the year. Those analyses will come later. Just want to see what teams are doing these first couple weeks. Will be betting a lot of underdogs. Books have no clue what they're doing til they get their data.
    Last edited by Goat Milk; 10-29-13 at 02:22 AM.

  2. #2
    bjb7223
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    good luck this season Goat.

  3. #3
    Seto
    Jose Mourinho: simply the best
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  4. #4
    dirtycash66
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    best bet on this game is heat 1st half bulls 2nd half

  5. #5
    oldscho0led
    home dogs
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    looking forward to a great season. GL Goat

  6. #6
    upscope
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    lol....that didn't take long. The Mia auto bet machine is back after it. No need for a thread pal, it's just Mia auto bet every single night.

  7. #7
    Flagrant1
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    Goat, looking forward to your analysis of games this season.

  8. #8
    davopnz
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    can you post your thoughts on the other 2 matches even if you don't bet? always like your insight

  9. #9
    alamo
    Why R.E.M. and not The Go-Betweens
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    For those that are Goat Haters on here...Unless you are one of the few SBR posters who either records an honest record or takes time out to post detailed write ups (That Goatmilk does) then please get your negative energy out of here. Win or lose at least this guy takes time out to write up detailed opinions.

    Good luck on the season GM.

  10. #10
    blackeyeshamus
    swampdog stomp!
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    Bol, GM.

  11. #11
    Hereindallas
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    Good luck Goat....I am playing your picks, only with smaller bets by necessity.

  12. #12
    colout
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    Good luck buddy!

  13. #13
    MrXYZ
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    Good luck with your NBA plays Goat.

  14. #14
    JR007
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    ah, I knew it......welcome back goat......fading you is a moneymaker, (with those detailed write-ups) good luck with that rhythm
    Last edited by JR007; 10-29-13 at 09:33 AM.

  15. #15
    JR007
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    hey Alamo, the only time goat has kept "an honest record" is when Mexi kept it for him last year........he" forgets" the losers

  16. #16
    imarkp
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    I'm here to make money, hopefully the personal stuff is kept to a minimum, to much bs just wastes time and energy that's better spent trying to win. gl goat. like your early thoughts already. like you've said before nba is about matchups and anyone with sense can learn a lot from your write ups. only have 1 book so don't always get best lines. can someone recommend a good book for bball? a pt or even a 1/2 here and there can make or break a night.

  17. #17
    retire/early
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    Best of Luck on the "NEW" season.....I will tail you and look forward to you insights....I am going to throw in a teaser with heat, pacers and clips just to start with......BOL

  18. #18
    agendaman
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    analysis ok-over analysis is not not just you goat-milk everybody incl. myself gl

  19. #19
    mwhelan11
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    I think heat is the clear play. I might take them ML to be safe. Just like RG3, Rose is ready but not regular season going against Heat ready. Yes he is dominating pre season but Heat will shut him down.

  20. #20
    Goat Milk
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    Much thanks for the wishes guys. GL to all as well.

    Quote Originally Posted by davopnz View Post
    can you post your thoughts on the other 2 matches even if you don't bet? always like your insight
    The Lakers are going to be a pretty poor defensive team this year. They will most definitely struggle, particularly in the pick and roll and transition d, two things the Clippers are probably the best at in the NBA. You don't want to get into an up-and-down kind of game with the Clips especially without Bryant. I can't say much about the Lakers though until I see what Bryant looks like when he returns. Paul has more shooters this year and I think the Clippers are primed to make a deep run this year. I'm not willing to put money on the Lakers without Bryant because they turn into an up-tempo team and they just don't have the roster to run that PHX style of offense with an aging Nash.

  21. #21
    TwoWays
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    teach us

  22. #22
    flyboy
    Let's go racing!!
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    good post!

  23. #23
    Goat Milk
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    PLAY 2: BLAKE GRIFFIN OVER 19 POINTS -110 Risk $55 to win $50

  24. #24
    davopnz
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    dang wish i listened to you on the heat, do you like the over in the clips game with the lakers having a poor d?

  25. #25
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by davopnz View Post
    dang wish i listened to you on the heat, do you like the over in the clips game with the lakers having a poor d?
    I'm not sure if the Lakers will score more than 90ish, so I don't know on that total.

  26. #26
    miss_sbets
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    Quote Originally Posted by dirtycash66 View Post
    best bet on this game is heat 1st half bulls 2nd half
    Nice! You should start a thread

  27. #27
    Goat Milk
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    play 3: Knicks ml/raptors ml/okc ml +135 risk $50

    play 4: Pacers +2 -115 risk $57

  28. #28
    TwoWays
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    goatmilk, is it ever chris paul's fault that the team underperforms?

  29. #29
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by TwoWays View Post
    goatmilk, is it ever chris paul's fault that the team underperforms?
    Paul usually gives 100% so I don't ever put any blame on him. I would say that the blame would be on Reddick Dudley and Barns last night as the Clipps struggled to guard LA's wing players. Also, that game was just really not indicative of what you'll see from the Clips going forward. Sometimes it's just the other teams night, and when Jordan Hill is banking jumpers, you're done lol.

  30. #30
    larry040681
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    play 3: Knicks ml/raptors ml/okc ml +135 risk $50

    are these parlays?

  31. #31
    davopnz
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    obviously

  32. #32
    TheMLBKing
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    why are pacers underdogs here?

  33. #33
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by larry040681 View Post
    are these parlays?
    it's a 3 team parlay yeah.

  34. #34
    JabooFootball
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    Bol man will be checkin out your analysis.

  35. #35
    larry040681
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    it's a 3 team parlay yeah.

    I followed it... nice payout...

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