1. #1
    stevenash
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    Strong play tonight

    I love the under 74 in the Oklahoma / Baylor tilt tonight.

    I am not dismissing the offensive powers of both teams, but what most are missing is the fact that both these teams have elite defenses, not good defenses, but elite.

    Both are top ten in the nation in total defense, (well #10 and #11 if you want to get technical).
    http://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs/current/team/22
    Public is getting brainwashed as to how potent these two teams are on offense, but both squads are equally as good on defense.

    I'm not going to get long winded here, this is my reasoning for my strong opinion on the under.

    Good defenses will always neutralize good offense, if not beat them.
    74 is a gigantic number to bet over with these two defenses.
    Nobody is saying both teams won't get some, the absolutely will, but there will be three and outs tonight, there will be one first down, 7 play, drive stalled and punt series tonight.
    Yes, there will be scoring, but I don't see 74 total.

    If one is expecting a 41-35 game here, I think one is in for a rude awakening.

    I don't even think the 74 will be in jeopardy tonight.
    To get to 74, you are going to need a minimum of 8 TD's, that is not happening
    Baylor gets this, in a good one, 31-27

    UNDER 74 LARGE

  2. #2
    pavyracer
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    It makes more sense to take Oklahoma +17 if you think the final score is going to be 31-27.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
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    175 pts

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    175 pts

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  3. #3
    billysink
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    Baylor 9th and Okie 19th in rushing attempts per game.

    Tick tock, clock will be running.

  4. #4
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by billysink View Post
    Baylor 9th and Okie 19th in rushing attempts per game.

    Tick tock, clock will be running.
    egg-zact-ly

  5. #5
    t-wizzle
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    Ballsy play.


    Funny to call an Under on a 74 pt total "ballsy" but when it comes to Baylor games taking an Under is pretty gutsy.

  6. #6
    jayc88
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    I took all favs on the spread
    Ull -13.5
    Baylor -16.5
    Oregon-9.5
    Not sure how anyone could find value with the dogs at these prices
    Bol with the under nash

  7. #7
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
    Ballsy play.


    Funny to call an Under on a 74 pt total "ballsy" but when it comes to Baylor games taking an Under is pretty gutsy.
    T, when I do bet an under, I first, well duh, look at the number, then I try to figure out how both teams can get to 74.
    74 means you are going to have to get scores on at least 14 possessions, (8 TD's and then some)
    Not with these defenses.

  8. #8
    DLucky1
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    I'm with you on the under! I fell for that one with UCLA/Oregon Over and that went no where!

  9. #9
    jjgold
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    Good luck Nashy

    I am on Okl

  10. #10
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by DLucky1 View Post
    I'm with you on the under! I fell for that one with UCLA/Oregon Over and that went no where!
    I am flattered, your first post ever here, and it's in one of my dopey threads.

    I think I am going to like you just fine.

  11. #11
    You mad bro
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    lol actually wanted to play the under with you .. but i feel like baylor can sometimes score 75 on their own

  12. #12
    Eric22174
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    We can cash this bitch

  13. #13
    JuicedUp
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  14. #14
    DLucky1
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I am flattered, your first post ever here, and it's in one of my dopey threads.

    I think I am going to like you just fine.

    Cheers buddy! Under is looking great, I'm only kicking myself for not putting more on it! Took OK +17

  15. #15
    Rainman10
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    stevenash I'm rather new to this board but I can say that you and pinnicle420 are my favorite to follow. This under is looking great right now, thanks.

  16. #16
    epics
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    Damn hot pick if I ever seen one.

  17. #17
    Louisvillekid1
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    Lets not count our chickens yet but the pick is def the right side.

    Nasher did you play the First Five ?

  18. #18
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rainman10 View Post
    stevenash I'm rather new to this board but I can say that you and pinnicle420 are my favorite to follow. This under is looking great right now, thanks.
    Thank you very much for that.
    Best of luck

  19. #19
    jjgold
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    Nashy call me when you get a chance

    I forgot to tell you something from the the other night

    Thanks Steve

  20. #20
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    Lets not count our chickens yet but the pick is def the right side.

    Nasher did you play the First Five ?
    No

    Under 74 (LARGE, for me anyway)
    First half under (medium)
    OK +16.5 (I missed the 17 boat) small

  21. #21
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post

    I forgot to tell you something from the the other night
    I did not win PoW for the 142nd consecutive week?

  22. #22
    DLucky1
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    thinking about under 35 2nd half, thoughts?

  23. #23
    jjgold
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    Baylor is explosive

    How do we know they are not best team in the land??

  24. #24
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by DLucky1 View Post
    thinking about under 35 2nd half, thoughts?
    Lay off

  25. #25
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Baylor is explosive

    How do we know they are not best team in the land??
    Because FSU is

  26. #26
    BeatTheJerk
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    Solid piece of capping by you sir on this one !

  27. #27
    You mad bro
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    game isnt over yet .. baylor could still put up 4 tds in 4 minutes lol

  28. #28
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by You mad bro View Post
    game isnt over yet .. baylor could still put up 4 tds in 4 minutes lol
    Shhhhh
    you'll rooooon it
    lol

  29. #29
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk View Post
    Solid piece of capping by you sir on this one !
    Thank you sir, I appreciate that.
    Glad to help

  30. #30
    jayc88
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    Nice win
    Congrats

  31. #31
    Big Bear
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    damn how did i miss this thread

  32. #32
    You mad bro
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Shhhhh
    you'll rooooon it
    lol
    good call pal

  33. #33
    jjgold
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    He probably paid for it, he pays for everything in life.

    Let him have it

    Guys we are not like him

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