Florida State looks unbeatable right now but they have notoriously come out lame at least once a year for the past 10 seasons or so. Maybe that has all changed with the confident QB Winston but something tells me they play flat tonight.
A lot of this is based on gut feelings and public perception so take that for what it's worth. But right now everyone loves Florida State and seems them as the team that can win a national title (where were those opinions 3 weeks ago???) and meanwhile perception is down on a Miami team that came out hot but has struggled lately, barely escaping upset losses to Wake Forest and UNC.
This game just strikes me as being a lot closer than expected. I think Miami stays within the 3 td number and actually has a shot to win this game. Taking the ML +1050 is worth the shot.