1. 10-28-13 05:45 PM #1
    No coincidences
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    This can't be right

    Most Popular Bets View All

    Seahawks-NFL 10-28-13 / 8:45 PM -14.0pts
    Seahawks-NFL 10-28-13 / 8:45 PM -1000
    Cardinals-Series Prices 10-31-13 / 8:05 PM even
    Rams-NFL 10-28-13 / 8:45 PM 14.0pts
    Red Sox-Series Prices 10-31-13 / 8:05 PM -120
    Cardinals-MLB 10-28-13 / 8:10 PM -130


    At sportsbook.ag.

    Are you telling me that they've taken more bets on the Seahawks at -1000 than the Rams +14? Who lays -1000 in an NFL game?

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  2. 10-28-13 05:47 PM #2
    ACoochy
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    Brock
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  3. 10-28-13 05:48 PM #3
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Who lays -1000 in an NFL game?



    Yesterday. But to be fair it's the only time I've ever done it.
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  4. 10-28-13 05:48 PM #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by ACoochy View Post
    Brock
    To be fair, he said he got it at -650 earlier in the week or something like that. LOL.
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  5. 10-28-13 05:49 PM #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post


    Yesterday. But to be fair it's the only time I've ever done it.
    jesus tat, how much did you put on the game if you were laying 1:10?
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  6. 10-28-13 05:55 PM #6
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    jesus tat, how much did you put on the game if you were laying 1:10?
    10K or so. There was zero chance the Niners lost unless the whole team simultaneously died on the field. Plus was hungover and didn't wanna deal with laying points/backdoor etc.
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  7. 10-28-13 05:58 PM #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    10K or so. There was zero chance the Niners lost unless the whole team simultaneously died on the field. Plus was hungover and didn't wanna deal with laying points/backdoor etc.
    I got ya.

    Well I'd never lay -1000 under any circumstances, but to me, taking the Niners over the Jags is a hell of a lot different than backing the Seahawks on the road against a divisional foe on MNF. I'm not saying Seattle loses by any means, but it's not nearly the same slam-dunk bet as far as I'm concerned.

    The gap between the Niners/Jags and Seahawks/Rams isn't anywhere near the same to have identical odds.
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  8. 10-28-13 06:02 PM #8
    djmano
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    10K or so. There was zero chance the Niners lost unless the whole team simultaneously died on the field. Plus was hungover and didn't wanna deal with laying points/backdoor etc.
    this is the most badass quote ive ever seen on SBR.
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  9. 10-28-13 06:05 PM #9
    tatddy
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    Coiner like I posted yesterday the true ml on the Niners game should have been -3000. They had zero chance. No refs, players or god could have intervened enough to help.
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  10. 10-28-13 06:08 PM #10
    Renegades
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    Haha the jags!
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  11. 10-28-13 06:09 PM #11
    Renegades
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    Jags are moving to conf usa next year. They open home vs southern miss. Game is a pick
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  12. 10-28-13 06:11 PM #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Coiner like I posted yesterday the true ml on the Niners game should have been -3000. They had zero chance. No refs, players or god could have intervened enough to help.
    I can't argue with that at all.
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  13. 10-28-13 06:12 PM #13
    easyliving
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    I only layed -800
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  14. 10-28-13 06:20 PM #14
    Vinnie Paz
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    Bet -470 or something on saints yesterday. Took them ats too. Something just clicked in ny head like "man why not just hammer the saints straight up, fukk grinding out 6 games, ending up 4-2 and barely over a unit..fukk all that, let's have some fun"

    Ended up still grinding out 6 ATS but if the saints hit the rest was just icing on the top, or at least insurance for a disaster.
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  15. 10-28-13 06:57 PM #15
    pattymayo
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    10/28/13 6:53pm $690.00 $100.00 Pending 10/28/13 8:40pm Reduced Football 231 Seattle Seahawks -690* vs St. Louis Rams
    don't give a fukk.

    games like this is how you build a bankroll
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  16. 10-28-13 07:12 PM #16
    vyomguy
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    10% return with greater than 80% probability.

    Read the above statement again and show me how many investments you can make in real life to get that kind of return.

    Obviously people are going to jump on that.
    Last edited by vyomguy; 10-28-13 at 07:16 PM.
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  17. 10-28-13 08:23 PM #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by vyomguy View Post
    10% return with greater than 80% probability.

    Read the above statement again and show me how many investments you can make in real life to get that kind of return.

    Obviously people are going to jump on that.
    Anyone willing to lay -1000 in this spot hasn't really watched these two teams play much this year.

    Should it hit? Yes. Will it hit? ....

    I don't share the numbers you share, vyom re: the probability of ROI.
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  18. 10-28-13 08:50 PM #18
    Smoke
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    Quote Originally Posted by vyomguy View Post
    10% return with greater than 80% probability.

    Read the above statement again and show me how many investments you can make in real life to get that kind of return.

    Obviously people are going to jump on that.
    no coin buried by the lion
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  19. 10-28-13 08:53 PM #19
    pavyracer
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    Did a -1000 NFL ML play lose this year?

    When was the last time a -14 lost straight up in the NFL?
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  20. 10-28-13 08:54 PM #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    no coin buried by the lion
    No one "buried" anyone, moron. It's just my opinion of this matchup vs. his. No one is necessarily "right" or "wrong" on the probability of this ML hitting -- we just have how we cap the game compared to the number the books give us.

    You can't grasp any concepts re: gambling other than losing or copying other people's picks, though, so I wouldn't expect you to understand.
    Last edited by No coincidences; 10-28-13 at 08:58 PM.
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  21. 10-28-13 08:57 PM #21
    Smoke
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I didn't "bury" anyone, moron.
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  22. 10-28-13 08:58 PM #22
    TwoWays
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    Goofball Clemons screwing us
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  23. 10-28-13 09:01 PM #23
    rm18
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Did a -1000 NFL ML play lose this year?

    When was the last time a -14 lost straight up in the NFL?
    this one was over -600
    http://scores.espn.go.com/nfl/boxscore?gameId=331007001
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  24. 10-28-13 09:03 PM #24
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by rm18 View Post
    this one was over -600
    http://scores.espn.go.com/nfl/boxscore?gameId=331007001
    Yes -600 lose.

    But -1000 don't. I can't remember the last time a -14 fav in the NFL lost straight up. Maybe in the 80's.
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  25. 10-28-13 09:07 PM #25
    rm18
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Yes -600 lose.

    But -1000 don't. I can't remember the last time a -14 fav in the NFL lost straight up. Maybe in the 80's.
    the line was only -650 or so at pinnacle, sportsbook.ag must of has the highest ML in the world
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  26. 10-28-13 09:08 PM #26
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Most Popular Bets View All

    Seahawks-NFL 10-28-13 / 8:45 PM -14.0pts
    Seahawks-NFL 10-28-13 / 8:45 PM -1000
    Cardinals-Series Prices 10-31-13 / 8:05 PM even
    Rams-NFL 10-28-13 / 8:45 PM 14.0pts
    Red Sox-Series Prices 10-31-13 / 8:05 PM -120
    Cardinals-MLB 10-28-13 / 8:10 PM -130


    At sportsbook.ag.

    Are you telling me that they've taken more bets on the Seahawks at -1000 than the Rams +14? Who lays -1000 in an NFL game?

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  27. 10-28-13 09:11 PM #27
    Crate Mayne
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    Shoulda just waited for the live-play... Grabbed -200 for Seahawks beginning of 2nd quarter
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  28. 10-28-13 09:11 PM #28
    Dutch
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    The gap between the Niners/Jags and Seahawks/Rams isn't anywhere near the same to have identical odds.

    This.
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  29. 10-28-13 09:17 PM #29
    Smoke
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    Nice edit loser

    You weren't fast enough though
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  30. 10-28-13 09:18 PM #30
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by rm18 View Post
    the line was only -650 or so at pinnacle, sportsbook.ag must of has the highest ML in the world
    Something doesn't add up. The Falcons were -9.5. The Seahawks are -13.5. Why are the ML's almost the same?
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  31. 10-28-13 09:20 PM #31
    TheLock
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    LOL I hope the Rams win outright
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  32. 10-28-13 09:24 PM #32
    Smoke
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    Must be those fat cheetos fingers
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  33. 10-28-13 09:26 PM #33
    PAULYPOKER
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  34. 10-28-13 10:31 PM #34
    Bet10Heinekens
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    Seahawks ml backers shitting their pants now
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  35. 10-28-13 10:33 PM #35
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bet10Heinekens View Post
    Seahawks ml backers shitting their pants now
    You can get 'em for -130 live now.
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