1. #106
    thetrinity
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    too early in the week to worry about what the line IMO could easily go back down

  2. #107
    Ernie Mccracken
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    FSU is the play. They will hang around for a couple quarters, but there is a much bigger talent gap than most seem to realize.

  3. #108
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
    I think most rec bettors are on or are going to be on Clemson. It will probably be close to split though come Saturday. I think most sharp money is on FSU.
    I would agree but real SQUARES will see Florida State at 5 and giving only 3 and say, Clemson is never that good

  4. #109
    thetrinity
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    probably be fairly split money. im a little surprised this is -3 fsu i thought itd be a pickem

  5. #110
    t-wizzle
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    Quote Originally Posted by TPowell View Post
    I would agree but real SQUARES will see Florida State at 5 and giving only 3 and say, Clemson is never that good

    True which is why I said I think it will be virtually split come Saturday. You have the squares who will just look at the higher-ranked team with a lot of hype this year getting points and then you have the squares who automatically think FSU is the play and who love betting faves.

    Which is why I will just watch the line at Pinnacle and see what they do. Also will keep an eye on the Greek.

  6. #111
    JabooFootball
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    Squares think Clemson dog at death valley... thats it. Squares love a home team ranked higher getting +... Think about it, Squares dont bet on Monday but the line moved .5 signaling money on FSU. FSU has been cashing tickets all year.

  7. #112
    M.W.
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    The line didn't move. It opened at three, and it's three now. Looks like Pinnacle took a side and asked for FSU money. They got it and moved their number. To match everybody else.
    Last edited by M.W.; 10-15-13 at 09:12 PM.

  8. #113
    pavyracer
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    So basically a freshman QB can't win in Death Valley at night. I suppose is past his bedtime.

  9. #114
    TPowell
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    So basically a freshman QB can't win at Death Valley at night. I suppose is passed his bedtime.
    common Paver

  10. #115
    Noles1992
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    This is a stay the away game for myself. FSU hasn't won there in 6 tries and when we did win there 6 in a row 1988-2000 era with "great teams" the games were very very close. I used to say the same when we played down in Miami back in the day, and if we were favored I actually would take the Canes, hoping like hell I would lose my $ but never did. GL in what you guys chose! GO NOLES!

  11. #116
    thetrinity
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    like wizzle said youll get square money that never takes points and square money that takes the points with the higher ranked team at home, even the squares are gona be divided on this game

  12. #117
    Noles1992
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    Quote Originally Posted by thetrinity View Post
    id feel much better about laying 10 with fsu at home

    cant wait to hear what musberger says u know hell bring up fsu being favored during this one
    Couldn't agree more Trinity, about laying that number in Tally would be better than 3 in Death Valley!
    Thinking Musberger will mention the spread more than once , especially if there is a score at the end that benefits the betters in one way or another!

  13. #118
    King000
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    Quote Originally Posted by JabooFootball View Post
    Currently trying to find, and if i cant find, compile a decade long history of FSU ATS on college gameday games... not because i think such a hokey stat would be indicative of the games outcome (although theres a 50% chance i could claim it did and act sharp like some people in the forum) but because i've got nothing to do tonight. This is what happens when I dont take action for a night.
    Lmao! Really? Thats how u feel

  14. #119
    King000
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    LeBron will be attendance,

    Just watched Tajh Boyd Interview on CFB Daily

    Just zero chance I could bet FSU here
    Miami Heat have preseason home game 10/19 730 pm

  15. #120
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quote Originally Posted by King000 View Post
    Miami Heat have preseason home game 10/19 730 pm
    On CFB Daily they were making a big deal out of it for w/e reason was just sharing the info

  16. #121
    Jaug
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    FS from -3 to -3.5 Something is up here for sure. Close to pulling the trigger on FS -3.5

  17. #122
    k13
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    public home dog, very rare, even more so in a big game like this.

  18. #123
    suicidekings
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jaug View Post
    FS from -3 to -3.5 Something is up here for sure. Close to pulling the trigger on FS -3.5
    Assuming sharp money pushed it up there in the first place, remember that the sharp money wasn't laying -3.5. That's a very different bet than -2.5.

    This game reeks of line manipulation.

  19. #124
    Huckleberry Pig
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    public home dog, very rare, even more so in a big game like this.
    line looks like a trap but i took the bait. on clemson +pts at home


  20. #125
    Huckleberry Pig
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    Quote Originally Posted by suicidekings View Post
    Assuming sharp money pushed it up there in the first place, remember that the sharp money wasn't laying -3.5. That's a very different bet than -2.5.

    This game reeks of line manipulation.


  21. #126
    KiDBaZkiT
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    Winston is a Freshman only on paper. Kid imo has the biggest upside or NFL credentials in Ncaff. Well 2nd to Mariota, that kid is just different. Some of the throws he's made I have never seen a freshman make. Not even Manziel. Winston has NFL touch, he has better placement and feel than prob 5 a the NFL starters. Lmao he kinda reminds me of Favre to be honest. Not saying he throws picks on 3rd n long but his arm.

  22. #127
    thebestthereis
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    smart people got this game at 2.5 or 3 max then went to the buffet. they are no longer looking at fsu at 3.5 period. they are napping after stuffing their face.

  23. #128
    JabooFootball
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    If you didn't jump on fsu prior to 3 I'd reccomend the over. FSU is gonna win by lighting up the scoreboard, but Clemson will keep it close.

  24. #129
    TexasJayhawk
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    Squares all over FSU right now.....

  25. #130
    JabooFootball
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    Quote Originally Posted by TexasJayhawk View Post
    Squares all over FSU right now.....
    You really don't know what you're talking about do you? Early line jump indicates sharp money on noles. 70% of public on Clemson. Sharp ass public

  26. #131
    TexasJayhawk
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    70% of what...quantity of bets? Those numbers don't mean s**t. It's the not the qty of the bets, its the $$ behind those bets...which you and I will never really know.

    But I guess that was sharp money on Louisville when it got bet up from 12.5 to 14....right?

  27. #132
    TexasJayhawk
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    Quote Originally Posted by JabooFootball View Post
    You really don't know what you're talking about do you? Early line jump indicates sharp money on noles. 70% of public on Clemson. Sharp ass public
    70% of what...quantity of bets? Those numbers don't mean s**t. It's the not the qty of the bets, its the $$ behind those bets...which you and I will never really know.

    But I guess that was sharp money on Louisville when it got bet up from 12.5 to 14....right?

  28. #133
    15805
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    I'm not betting this game but rooting for Fla. St. because:

    Future Wager 09/03/13 00:09 ET
    bet 20.00 to win 200.00 Result: Pending
    2013 Heisman Trophy - Odds To Win (All Bets Action)
    Jameis Winston (Florida St) 12/07/13(19:00 ET)
    +1000

    Internet / -1 Sep 1003:28 PM TNT ODDS TO WIN THE ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE
    [89116] FLORIDA STATE +175
    30 / 53

  29. #134
    k13
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    -5.5 now

    Should be interesting.


  30. #135
    hustlehard617
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    Line jumped to -4.5 at herritage

  31. #136
    jjgold
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    squares all over Flor St

    We are on Clemson

  32. #137
    Smoke
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    Squares like no coin on clemson

    Sharp money moved line

    Fl st by 6

  33. #138
    JabooFootball
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    Quote Originally Posted by TexasJayhawk View Post
    70% of what...quantity of bets? Those numbers don't mean s**t. It's the not the qty of the bets, its the $$ behind those bets...which you and I will never really know.

    But I guess that was sharp money on Louisville when it got bet up from 12.5 to 14....right?
    no no genius I was talking about the initial line movement on Monday. That was sharps moving the line. This retarded climb now is the public squares which heard that fsu was a sharp play but got in way too late. Fun fact - games between these two have only been decided by less than 6 twice in the last decade

  34. #139
    Simon Gruber
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    asdkjsaldj
    Last edited by Simon Gruber; 10-19-13 at 03:29 PM.

  35. #140
    JabooFootball
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    14 point dog 12 point dog and 7 point dog all won in the last 24. Anyone who tells you they know what's gonna happen in Death Valley is smoking bleach. Gonna be a good one tonight fellas. BoL to all! (But go noles- not where my money is where my heart is)

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