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Public perception is a little skewed being that its only the start of the season. I trust Pekka in the pipes over Varlomov, Nashville is a tuff matchup for the Avs, IIRC Preds have hoganated the last 10 barring an OT loss last year, that number is too juicy and inflated a bit due to the 1st game of the season in my humble opinion.
One more reason although nothing earth shattering....the intial move on pinnacle slightly favors the Preds, so someone out there agrees with me or is just a loon.
third game I'm looking at:
Kings @ Jets - I'm torn here, some conflicting data. Kings were very good last year in B2Bs going 5-3 (3-3 on the road). However, the stats for a team coming off a road win and playing another road game the following night are NOT good. In the last two years, teams in that situation have only won 35% of the second game. It's a worse scenario than coming off a road loss. Kings also went to SO last night so an even longer game. However, with their good record in B2Bs last year I am timid to bet them. Leaning Jets.
I am also taking a look at the under here. With Kings strong D I look for them to save their legs and play some lockdown D without pressing too much. Think if they get caught pressing they may be too tired to get back. Think they play conservative and with a strong D I don't see many goals. Also, in their B2B games last year the under 5.5 hit in 5/8 games (4/6 on the road).
preds lost 2/3 last year, both of their losses coming at home (one was in OT). just wanted to give ya a heads up. Definitely agree with you on the juice involved with avs because of their first game though!Originally Posted by Ra77er
last lean would be Flames/Avs over. The Flames B2B games last year hit over5.5 goals 6/9 games
Did you mean Flames/Blue Jackets or Predators/Avalanche? I'm riding over 5 tonight in Columbus match.
sorry, flames/avs!
thanks for catchin
Well, you did it again! I guess you meant Flames and Jackets
here is what I'm working with today:
gl with your plays!
Well, you did it again! I guess you meant Flames and Jacketssorry, work just got real crazy for the last few hours. broker needs a proforma asap, mind was all mixed up. yes FLAMES JACKETS OVER.
you too rush. how confident are you in redwings? i'm intrigued - like the price for a good teamhere is what I'm working with today:
gl with your plays!
I certainly liked what I saw from them in game 1...but the season is still young - proceed with caution
Official Picks 10/4:
Avs -.5 in reg (+112) vs Preds -- 2*
Blue Jackets -5. in reg (-117) vs Flames -- 2*
Blue Jackets vs Flames O5.5 (-110) -- .5*
Jets -.5 in reg (+135) -- 1*
Jets vs Kings U5.5 (-120) -- .5*
Redwings -.5 in reg @ Hurricanes (+139) -- 1*
Big card, get after it Hucker!
thanks nino!Big card, get after it Hucker!
if I don't do well today it may be down to half unit bets for me haha been a rough start in both NHL and football. Have narrowed football to just SEC where I've been pretty decent, hoping that helps. Gotta get this turned otherwise i'll have to start betting psi. hoping for a good weekend
Here's a thought I'm having for entire day already... Detroit and Carolina over 5.5. Detroit will have some good chances as well as Carolina as they boosted their 1st and 2nd attacking line. Carolina's D was among the worst in the league last year and I believe they could be stuck in the same hole this season. With Ward in the net, I don't know, I just don't trust the guy to save the day. I can see the over is at +104, could be worth a shot. What do you guys think?
i definitely like your reasoning. already have enough units on the line tonight so i'm gonna hold off but I like your take and think you should role with it!
Looks like Spezza should play for Ottawa. Going to go with a bet against bad teams and mainly do -.5. Had Bruins, Blues, Caps and Phoenix last night. Fading Lundqvist and the Rangers early. Plays so far for tonight.
Blue Jackets -.5 -117
Joey McDonald for the Flames, goalie mismatch and Flames back to back on the road, though early season this should not matter as much.
Ottawa -.5 +129
Spezza in and while Miller scares me a little Buffalo not very good. Home ice should not matter much at all here, good value at plus money.
Last edited by odog11; 10-04-13 at 03:30 PM.
like your takes. Good luck tonight odog, lets cash that blue jackets bet
man just getting crushed right now. if you're playin dogs early you are doing really well
well 3-3. I'll take it. Picked up a little cause of the +$ wins but was the opposite yesterday so I'll just call the day even. Heading in the right direction and think I had a better feel for tonight.
Had to come and thank you for telling me about draft kings. Addicted to that shit now lol
haha it's great isn't it
Oh yeah man. Do NHL ones everyday lol
Overall Record:
6-9 for -5 units.
Didn't get to play any this weekend. Have stopped on football cause was getting slaughtered. Going to focus full time on hockey now. What's everyone thinking tonight?
I like it in the Kings game but am worried about the Devils-Oilers game. Oilers has given up quite a few goals, so have the Devils. Think they get back to D here?
im seeing broduer being broduer like in this game and the devils win this 3-1/4-1. i dont see the oilers doing much damage. im playing the under in the kings game only though
Hey Huck. How's it going man?
Theres some better games tomorrow (Tuesday). Card kinda short tonight. Some good games coming up this week to pound
blackhawk how ya been? ya man i didn't get picks in tonight. was gonna do some research after work but weather here in dallas was too good. went and played some tennis. Saw the big card tomorrow and decided to wait. Plus you know how I like those B2B plays lol. Will be studyin hard tomorrow.
Picks for tonight:
Panthers ML (+140) -- 1*
Panthers @ Flyers Over 5.5 (-110) -- .5*
Wild ML (+105) -- 1*
Devils ML (+150) -- .5*
Rangers @ Sharks Under 5.5 (+105) -- 1*
Penguins 1P -.5 (+130) -- 1*
could you please explain why you pick panthers on tonight?
thanks
and what do you think about penguins ml?
sorry for not posting reasons. I like the Panthers because they played well at Dallas and Philly is in a bit of turmoil right now. I also like the value at +140. Think the line should be much lower. Both teams not the best on D, think goals will be plenty in this one.
Wild have lost in two close games, think they get their first here. I like them at +$.
Devils I'm just taking a shot at here. Think with Schneider in net they get their first W. Like the +$ here as well, think line is too high.
Rangers and Sharks I just expect a low scoring game. Sharks play tight at home and I don't see Rangers scoring another 4 goals tonight.
Penguins seem to always come out hot. Like them to go into the 1P with a lead.
If I were to take the penguins it'd be in regulation, not ML. too much juice with the ML
Thanks for all this explanations. I've been tailing you since previous nhl season
And how to understand in regulation not ml?
What do you think about parlay: panthers ml, penguins ml, buffalo u5.5, sharks u5.5 ?
thanks
no problem. they have bets you can do where a team must win in regulation versus winning in overtime. You get a better price. For example, Pittsburgh is a -215 ML (meaning they can win in regulation or overtime/shootout) but you can get them to win in regulation for like -136 (meaning they must win in 3 periods).Thanks for all this explanations. I've been tailing you since previous nhl season
And how to understand in regulation not ml?
What do you think about parlay: panthers ml, penguins ml, buffalo u5.5, sharks u5.5 ?
thanks
don't do parlays much but don't like the panthers in that parlay. I normally do parlays combining teams that are heavier faves. Would to a three team and leave that one out.
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