1. 09-29-13 12:14 AM #1
    BigDeem5
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    Can You Bet an Under in NCAAF?

    It is literally unfathomable.

    Someone give me the % of games that are going over this year...

    Some of these teams cover the total by themselves, I beat the closers by 2 pts+ in 3 games this weekend, all went over ( I was on under)

    Line movement doesn't mean shit when you don't huddle.
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  2. 09-29-13 12:16 AM #2
    pinnacle420
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    yes they can be beat... example bama game was under very easy deem.. you missed a couple but rule of thumb is you hit your next couple..
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  3. 09-29-13 12:21 AM #3
    k13
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    50% like always....
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  4. 09-29-13 03:23 AM #4
    Marigold HD
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    Lost 2 over games by half a poInt today. Fcuking gross
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  5. 09-29-13 03:42 AM #5
    raydog
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    It is literally unfathomable.

    Someone give me the % of games that are going over this year...

    Some of these teams cover the total by themselves, I beat the closers by 2 pts+ in 3 games this weekend, all went over ( I was on under)

    Line movement doesn't mean shit when you don't huddle.
    you cant nit pick a few games and cry when beating the closers lose...play 90% of the card and let me know how you do if you beat all the closers...
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  6. 09-29-13 11:44 AM #6
    artyfudgepacker
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    yea its tough to figer it out demm .i played 4 under in coll fb hit 3 so far .conf play may be harder im thinking ?
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  7. 09-29-13 11:48 AM #7
    Sam Odom
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    Deemer... Put 10.00 on OVER on all college games next Saturday

    Get back to us
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  8. 09-29-13 12:43 PM #8
    frogsrangers
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    I was 0-2-1 on totals yesterday, all unders... Buffalo and UConn somehow learned how to score, Oklahoma/Notre Dame went over surprisingly. Pushed on the UCF/South Carolina under.
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  9. 09-29-13 01:10 PM #9
    jjgold
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    I bet i under and lost

    strange but its comes out to like 51% or so either way long term
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  10. 09-29-13 01:33 PM #10
    govolz
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    stiff karma bigscheem5
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  11. 09-29-13 01:37 PM #11
    BriGuy
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    I don't think it's as bad as people think... Oregon won 55-16 yesterday, and that was still comfortably under the total of 82.
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  12. 09-29-13 02:16 PM #12
    gojetsgomoxies
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    i have OVER as 231-218 so far this year.... was yesterday good for OVER? might be as i had an idea that UNDER had been good this year before yesterday......

    ok i see yesterday as 24-18 OVER.... 48-36 as O/U contribution as there are 2 teams.... so it was 183-182 OVER before yesterday...
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  13. 09-29-13 03:48 PM #13
    Louisvillekid1
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    Quite often
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  14. 09-29-13 04:40 PM #14
    BigdaddyQH
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    The biggest problem with taking the unders is that if the game is teid at regulation, who knows how many points can be scored in all of the overtimes.
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  15. 09-29-13 04:59 PM #15
    ZetaPsi808
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    It is literally unfathomable.

    Someone give me the % of games that are going over this year...

    Some of these teams cover the total by themselves, I beat the closers by 2 pts+ in 3 games this weekend, all went over ( I was on under)

    Line movement doesn't mean shit when you don't huddle.
    only 51.59%

    you make it sound like 75% of games are going over

    covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncf/trends/league/season.html
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  16. 09-29-13 05:12 PM #16
    Louisvillekid1
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    By this logic might as well not even bet the NFL
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  17. 09-29-13 05:56 PM #17
    gojetsgomoxies
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    thank you. i had seen that page on covers. been wondering about something like that for awhile...

    even this last 7 days is just 52% OVER..............

    the one thing the OP might think about is it is hard for a game (esp. low total game) to go UNDER by tons of points. so the distribution is skewed. alot of games are under by 10 points and under and then the over games are more spread out. in other words, the points vs. total is not a normal distribution.......

    for some reason UNDER fits my eye better. maybe i'm pessimistic... nothing also more exciting than 3-0 early in 2nd quarter when you have the UNDER. i'm sure 21-14 feels the same for OVER
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