1. #1
    LT Profits
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    Boise State +4 Friday

    Got this at -105 at 5 Dimes. So.....last week I criticized Boise State citing their pass protection and Southwick goes out and has the most efficient game in school history completing 27-of-29 passes. Now that I am actually on them this week, watch him get sacked 13 times. But seriously, if Broncos really did figure things out in pass protection, it gives them great balance as they are also averaging 206.7 rushing yards per game. That kind of balance should shred a Fresno State defense that allowed 51 points and 543 total yards to RUTGERS, making Gary Nova look like Peyton Manning (348 passing yards) and then 416 yards to Cal Poly out of the FCS in a non-covering 41-25 win.

  2. #2
    greenhippo
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    Already on the over, thinking about going small on Boise ML. This game as much a tossup as anything even if I'd give a slight edge to Boise. Them at +$ seems like a solid bet.

  3. #3
    No coincidences
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    Why is Boise -- a loveable underdog who was ranked in the Top-25 before getting bitch-slapped by Washington -- +4 against a Fresno team with holes all over the field?

    I'm not taking the bait here. Good luck though LT.

  4. #4
    Jayvegas420
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    I'm going to tail this for the simple reason that, if anyone is due to hit, its LT.

  5. #5
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    I'm going to tail this for the simple reason that, if anyone is due to hit, its LT.
    HUH? Check my record on my game threads that I actually had a play on.

  6. #6
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Why is Boise -- a loveable underdog who was ranked in the Top-25 before getting bitch-slapped by Washington -- +4 against a Fresno team with holes all over the field?

    I'm not taking the bait here. Good luck though LT.
    That's OK, they are not much or a public play tonight, only around 52%.

  7. #7
    PorkChop
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    Love the 1st half under 34.5

  8. #8
    The Prick
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    ah shit

    bad enuff I got a square # now I gotta beat the LT mush

    for the record LT you got a good pick

  9. #9
    Hanson
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    Good luck

  10. #10
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Prick View Post
    ah shit

    bad enuff I got a square # now I gotta beat the LT mush

    for the record LT you got a good pick
    I got to start using more NFL plays in your contest. I am three games under .500 in CFB and 14-3 in NFL and yet have made TWO NFL picks in two weeks in Beat the Prick.

  11. #11
    tony_come
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    Good

  12. #12
    BIGDAY
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    Agreed.

  13. #13
    Killer_Demo
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    Fresno wins SU

  14. #14
    artyfudgepacker
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    well trends all point to boise . so it worth a sm play . bol

  15. #15
    tyloxx420
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    Do you guys like the Over 68 or under?

  16. #16
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Killer_Demo View Post
    Fresno wins SU
    Fine as long as it is by 3.

  17. #17
    tony_come
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    The over is the play

  18. #18
    artyfudgepacker
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    got it at 4 .wish i could got a half point. up or down

  19. #19
    hankcream
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    I debated taking Boise St +4 also, but decided to take Fresno -2.5 1st half @ -115. Boise has started slow in the 2 real games they've played and Fresno should be jacked up. GL on the play

  20. #20
    Believeland
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    Why do you credit southdick on playing well against airforces defense and then proceed to discredit Fresno on playing crappy opponents? Not too mention Air Force was down 4 at half. Atleast Fresno dominated and then took their foot off the pedal... Not too mention no Carr has beat Boise David or Derek, if you don't think Fresno didnt have this game circled as there bowl game so to say you're crazy

  21. #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by Believeland View Post
    Why do you credit southdick on playing well against airforces defense and then proceed to discredit Fresno on playing crappy opponents? Not too mention Air Force was down 4 at half. Atleast Fresno dominated and then took their foot off the pedal... Not too mention no Carr has beat Boise David or Derek, if you don't think Fresno didnt have this game circled as there bowl game so to say you're crazy
    Fresno can circle all they want, Boise has the far superior running game and a much better defense, two traits you love to see in an underdog. And Air Force is better than the two teams that Fresno has beaten.

  22. #22
    Believeland
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    OK and Fresno has the far superior Pass offense playing in their home stadium, which in turn the last time Boise defense faced off against one had Washington go for 300+ on that defense. Not to mention that great 27-29 performance by southwick had only 1 TD and 1 interception. Which tells me he was throwing the ball short in screens, dump offs, and short routes. Completing those to far superior athletes compared to what AirForce has on defense. Their pass protection looked better probably due to outweighing airforces dline by a ton and wearing them down. Seeing as the first half was close.

    Also I dont think too many people would agree with you on saying Airforce is better that Rutgers.

    Obviously you may be right and goodluck, I just think you're putting too much into Boise looking good against AF and knocking Fresno for allowing a 25-11 2nd half when they already had the game won.

  23. #23
    72'RoseBowlChamp
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    Fresnos D and running Game is terrible!

  24. #24
    Regul8er
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    68.5 is a dang high number. A few scoring lulls, and good luck hitting anywhere near this number.

    Most were on Clemson/NC State over last night, and they were lucky to hit 40.

  25. #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by Believeland View Post
    Obviously you may be right and goodluck, I just think you're putting too much into Boise looking good against AF and knocking Fresno for allowing a 25-11 2nd half when they already had the game won.
    I assume you are referring to Cal Poly. OK toss the FCS game out, but look at how Fresno made a pedestrian Rutgers offense with an erratic quarterback look like world-beaters. I just do not see how the Bulldogs can stop a balanced offense like Boise has assuming the Broncos' improved pass-blocking was not a mirage. And yes, Fresno has the superior passing game, no debate there, but the Bulldogs are totally one dimensional. And good luck to you too.

  26. #26
    Killer_Demo
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I assume you are referring to Cal Poly. OK toss the FCS game out, but look at how Fresno made a pedestrian Rutgers offense with an erratic quarterback look like world-beaters. I just do not see how the Bulldogs can stop a balanced offense like Boise has assuming the Broncos' improved pass-blocking was not a mirage. And yes, Fresno has the superior passing game, no debate there, but the Bulldogs are totally one dimensional. And good luck to you too.
    One dimensional...lol ok guy

  27. #27
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Killer_Demo View Post
    One dimensional...lol ok guy
    Huh? What are you questioning? Fresno hasn't had a good running game for several years now and it looks like same old, same old this year averaging 3.9 YPC.

  28. #28
    bobaphet
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    I teased BS +10 and U 74.5 for one unit, I think it will cash.

  29. #29
    LT Profits
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    I have no feel for the total at all here.

  30. #30
    Killer_Demo
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Huh? What are you questioning? Fresno hasn't had a good running game for several years now and it looks like same old, same old this year averaging 3.9 YPC.
    last year Fresno had Rouse...all time Fresno Rushing leader. Have u even watched this team in 2 years? last year they led the nation for defensive turnovers.

  31. #31
    etothep
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    Arguing with homers never gets you anywhere

  32. #32
    kevin101
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    Quote Originally Posted by bobaphet View Post
    I teased BS +10 and U 74.5 for one unit, I think it will cash.



    That's a tickle.

    That's funny.












    I like the over.

  33. #33
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Killer_Demo View Post
    last year Fresno had Rouse...all time Fresno Rushing leader. Have u even watched this team in 2 years? last year they led the nation for defensive turnovers.
    And the team was still right at 4.0 yards per carry, just like the previous two or three years. And this year they are 96th in the country in rushing average even with a stats-padding game vs. Poly. Like I said, they do not run the ball well. But the biggest concern for tonight's game is the defense finding a way to slow Boise down. I just don't see them doing that at all. But Good Luck to You.

  34. #34
    Tony Truong
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    FRESNO ST - 4 vs BOISE ST thought !

    FRESNO STATE - 4

    FRESNO ST / BOISE ST UNDER 69

    That is my thought . If you like take it . If you dont FADE it .

    GLTA
    T.T

  35. #35
    Beetlejuice
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    It's ok LT. I'm on this play too.

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