1. #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Troy +8 Thursday Seems Like A Lot...

    ...for what could very well be a game where the team that has the ball last wins. Besides, in college anyway, when two good offenses face each other and one is a passing team and one is a running team, I am usually partial to the better passing team. And getting more than a touchdown does not hurt.

  2. #2
    Ari Gold
    Ari Gold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-24-09
    Posts: 412
    Betpoints: 286

    Corey Robinson is the name people need to know. 30/32 319 and a tuddy vs UAB in a win then comes back with a dominating performance against Sav with 17/19 180 and 4 tuddys.

    Gus Malzahn is back at Auburn.

    Give me the points please and thank you!

  3. #3
    billysink
    billysink's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-09
    Posts: 5,172

    So you favor a road team because they are a passing team and discount a home team that controls the ball.

    Not sure I follow your logic.

  4. #4
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by billysink View Post
    So you favor a road team because they are a passing team and discount a home team that controls the ball.

    Not sure I follow your logic.
    Both teams' defenses are liabilities but Troy should be able to score faster and seems like the team more capable of building a quick lead. If that happens, Arkansas State may be taken out of its comfort zone and be forced to throw more. Of course if Red Wolves get the lead, they seem more capable of protecting it and milking clock while simultaneously getting good yardage. That is where Robinson becomes key. No I don't expect another game with 94% completion pct, but do enough to put points on the board.

  5. #5
    billysink
    billysink's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-09
    Posts: 5,172

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Both teams' defenses are liabilities but Troy should be able to score faster and seems like the team more capable of building a quick lead. If that happens, Arkansas State may be taken out of its comfort zone and be forced to throw more. Of course if Red Wolves get the lead, they seem more capable of protecting it and milking clock while simultaneously getting good yardage. That is where Robinson becomes key. No I don't expect another game with 94% completion pct, but do enough to put points on the board.
    I am going to see Troy play a road game before I get too giddy about the kid or the team's ability to move the ball in another venue. Arkansas State is a big step up in competition from Savannah State and to a lesser extent UAB.

  6. #6
    Jaug
    1 in 2.7 mill
    Jaug's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-11-09
    Posts: 3,086
    Betpoints: 2977

    On it

  7. #7
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Code:
    Rk 	Date          	School	Opponent          		Cmp 	Att 	Pct 	Yds 	TD 	Int 	Rate 
    1	9/3/2011   	Troy 	@ 	Clemson 	L               	24	42	57.1	258	1	1	111.8
    2	9/17/2011 	Troy 	@ 	Arkansas 	L               	36	63	57.1	373	3	1	119.4
    3	9/24/2011 	Troy 		Middle Tenn State 	W 	24	38	63.2	348	3	1	160.9
    4	10/1/2011 	Troy 		Alabama-Birmingham 	W 	30	49	61.2	349	0	1	117
    5	10/8/2011 	Troy 	@ 	Louisiana-Lafayette 	L 	38	53	71.7	322	2	1	131.4
    6	 10/15/2011	Troy 		Louisiana-Monroe 	L 	19	34	55.9	129	0	2	76
    7	10/25/2011	Troy 	@ 	Florida International 	L 	17	31	54.8	203	0	2	96.9
    8	11/5/2011 	Troy 	@ 	Navy 	L                       	19	26	73.1	152	1	0	134.9
    9 	11/12/2011	Troy 		North Texas 	L       	27	39	69.2	267	4	1	155.5
    10	11/19/2011	Troy 		Florida Atlantic 	W     	32	48	66.7	396	3	1	152.4
    11	11/26/2011	Troy 	@ 	Western Ky 	L       	18	33	54.5	303	2	2	139.6
    12	12/3/2011 	Troy 	@ 	Arkansas State 	L       	32	52	61.5	311	2	2	116.8
    Rk 	Date          	School	Opponent          		Cmp 	Att 	Pct 	Yds 	TD 	Int 	Rate 
    1	9/1/2012   	Troy 	@ 	Alabama-Birm 	W     	11	20	55	164	2	0	156.9
    2	9/8/2012   	Troy 		LA-Lafayette 	L       	46	70	65.7	485	2	1	130.5
    3	9/15/2012 	Troy 		Mississippi St 	L       	32	45	71.1	343	0	2	126.2
    4	9/22/2012 	Troy 	@ 	North Texas 	W      	29	42	69	274	2	1	134.8
    5	9/29/2012 	Troy 	@ 	So Alabama W            	15	24	62.5	223	0	3	115.6
    6	10/11/2012	Troy 		Western Ky 	L       	6	11	54.5	106	1	0	165.5
    7	10/27/2012	Troy 	@ 	Florida Atlantic 	L       	15	32	46.9	211	1	1	106.3
    8	11/3/2012 	Troy 	@ 	Tennessee 	L               	30	46	65.2	393	1	0	144.2
    9	11/10/2012	Troy 		Navy 	W                     	25	28	89.3	322	1	0	197.7
    10	11/17/2012	Troy 		Arkansas State 	L       	26	35	74.3	417	1	0	183.8
    11	11/24/2012	Troy 	@ 	Middle Tenn State 	L 	22	36	61.1	183	1	1	107.4
    He has passed for about 10,000 yards and completed over 60% of his passes in his first three years. There are logs for the last two years, he has had some good road games vs. major conference teams.

  8. #8
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Sorry for the parsing but you can probably figure it out

  9. #9
    billysink
    billysink's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-09
    Posts: 5,172

    Yes readable and thanks. Have seen him play a lot over his career including his last at Arky St in 11.

  10. #10
    firedawg
    firedawg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-08-08
    Posts: 39,219
    Betpoints: 1066

    don't count anything from the savannah st game. my kids high school team would merk them

  11. #11
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by firedawg View Post
    don't count anything from the savannah st game. my kids high school team would merk them
    Understood and I am not. Pretty obvious that Robinson has ability tossing that game aside.

  12. #12
    joco
    joco's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-24-11
    Posts: 3,242
    Betpoints: 8045

    Ark st coming off that pathetic loss. They will redeem themselves. Let Troy have the 8. Ain't worried bout it

  13. #13
    BlitzTheBooks
    BlitzTheBooks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-05-12
    Posts: 472
    Betpoints: 1212

    Troy +9 locked and loaded via Cantor a few days ago . Dropped to 7.5 at some books. I'll take being on the right side all day.

  14. #14
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Locked and loaded at +8 -102

  15. #15
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    LT I am tailing here

    Was not going to bet college tonight but saw this thread

    Troy plus the number

  16. #16
    irish1
    Update your status
    irish1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-25-12
    Posts: 4,837
    Betpoints: 5081

    I do like troy to cover if not win. Ark St. is an overrated team and troy can put up the points. +8 looks attractive.

  17. #17
    Brock Landers
    Forever in Debt to your Priceless Advice
    Brock Landers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-30-08
    Posts: 45,360
    Betpoints: 8792

    +8 is the ONLY play here...

  18. #18
    pavyracer
    MOLON LABE
    pavyracer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-12-07
    Posts: 82,188
    Betpoints: 292

    Off course the team that has the ball last wins. That's why the kneel down on the last play of the game. Have you ever seen a team kneel down while losing?

  19. #19
    BroncosBettor
    BroncosBettor's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-13
    Posts: 79
    Betpoints: 120

    It does seem like a lot and I love taking fat numbers. From what I understand sharp money moved this line from Troy +10.5 to Troy +8. Seems like a good value play but some value has been sucked out coming down through the key number 10. Wish I could have gotten down earlier at +10 or higher. Still worth a look though.

  20. #20
    Bet10Heinekens
    Bet10Heinekens's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-13
    Posts: 10,567
    Betpoints: 5044

    1 possession game, got to take the points

  21. #21
    carolinacapper
    carolinacapper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-22-11
    Posts: 452
    Betpoints: 8766

    Thoughts on Troy ML + 245?

Top