1. 08-25-13 04:28 PM #1
    wagerjunkie
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    how do you NOT play the OVER in tonights Dodger - Red Sox game?

    Capuano should get lit the hell up.

    in his last start against Miami he lasted just 5 innings giving up 6 hits and 3 earned

    before that against the Mets he again went 5 innings, 10 hits, 4 earned

    and before that against Tampa Bay he again only lasted 5 inning giving up 10 hits once again for 5 earned runs.


    Boston as a team in their last 5 game are hitting .308, averaging nearly 11 runs per 9 innings against LHP (which Capuano is).

    so far he's been a little lucky as those hits haven't turned into complete disasters as far as runs but look for that to happen tonight.
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  2. 08-25-13 04:32 PM #2
    wagerjunkie
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    scratch that. don't like that the line has moved to 8. with the reverse line movement. fuk it. on Red Sox -1.
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  3. 08-25-13 04:32 PM #3
    riffraff24
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    I'd look at the first 5 over rather than the game
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  4. 08-25-13 04:36 PM #4
    stevenash
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    Red Sox straight up
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  5. 08-25-13 04:41 PM #5
    TonyTall
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    bodog has o25 (-115) where most sites have o26 juiced up

    bodog comes thru again!
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  6. 08-25-13 05:09 PM #6
    riffraff24
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    Quote Originally Posted by TonyTall View Post
    bodog has o25 (-115) where most sites have o26 juiced up

    bodog comes thru again!
    LOL @ bodog comes through again. hahahahah
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  7. 08-25-13 05:18 PM #7
    forthewin
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    Quote Originally Posted by wagerjunkie View Post
    scratch that. don't like that the line has moved to 8. with the reverse line movement. fuk it. on Red Sox -1.
    That may be a good choice, but the Tigers opened up at 8, then dropped to 7.5 and that game went well over.
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  8. 08-25-13 05:20 PM #8
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by riffraff24 View Post
    I'd look at the first 5 over rather than the game
    One of the worst late afternoon shadow parks in the majors pal. 5 pm local time start.

    How dudes don't think about this shit before they wager is fukkin beyond me.
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  9. 08-25-13 05:21 PM #9
    italianbandit
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Red Sox straight up
    That
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  10. 08-25-13 05:48 PM #10
    El Sol
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    Quote Originally Posted by wagerjunkie View Post
    Capuano should get lit the hell up.

    in his last start against Miami he lasted just 5 innings giving up 6 hits and 3 earned

    before that against the Mets he again went 5 innings, 10 hits, 4 earned

    and before that against Tampa Bay he again only lasted 5 inning giving up 10 hits once again for 5 earned runs.


    Boston as a team in their last 5 game are hitting .308, averaging nearly 11 runs per 9 innings against LHP (which Capuano is).

    so far he's been a little lucky as those hits haven't turned into complete disasters as far as runs but look for that to happen tonight.
    Capuano is an Enigma. He can very easily throw a gem. Any pitcher can really, but Capuano is the poster child for unpredictability. Regardless, I do like the over tonight. I have the game finishing over 8 runs over 50% of the time with one or the other getting bombed. I do not predict a pitchers duel.

    I'm predicting 10 - 11 runs
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  11. 08-25-13 05:57 PM #11
    TonyTall
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    Quote Originally Posted by billysink View Post
    One of the worst late afternoon shadow parks in the majors pal. 5 pm local time start.

    How dudes don't think about this shit before they wager is fukkin beyond me.

    good point not a cloud in the sky today
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  12. 08-25-13 06:19 PM #12
    Jayvegas420
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    You're gonna wish you stayed on that OVER!
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  13. 08-25-13 06:25 PM #13
    billysink
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    kids

    http://www.baseball-weather.com/

    Save this link. Click on Dodger Stadium.

    45 minute delay between now and what you are looking at.

    You can see plain as day where this shadow is headed.
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  14. 08-25-13 06:33 PM #14
    wagerjunkie
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    You're gonna wish you stayed on that OVER!
    we'll see. Line movement scared me away.

    Let's go Sox
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  15. 08-25-13 06:39 PM #15
    TonyTall
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    billy what is that aarow the direction of the wind?
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  16. 08-25-13 06:45 PM #16
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by TonyTall View Post
    billy what is that aarow the direction of the wind?
    yes. The speed is at the chart on right. Ballpark dimensions and wall height as well.

    Great tool. Live for all parks with 45 min to 1 hour delay.
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  17. 08-25-13 06:49 PM #17
    TonyTall
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    this could come in pretty fukin handy. but just one question. from what you have seen live on tv (what the announcers are saying) and the wind report from the site, are they the same?

    becuase say you had an arrow blowing 35 mph straight out to centerfield you would be all over the over. but then the announcers might say "winds swirling and changing directions". know what i mean, seems to easy to get an edge here
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  18. 08-25-13 06:53 PM #18
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by TonyTall View Post
    this could come in pretty fukin handy. but just one question. from what you have seen live on tv (what the announcers are saying) and the wind report from the site, are they the same?

    becuase say you had an arrow blowing 35 mph straight out to centerfield you would be all over the over. but then the announcers might say "winds swirling and changing directions". know what i mean, seems to easy to get an edge here
    Dude.

    The announcers are sitting in a booth.


    A baseball is flying through the air @ 60 feet.


    Sometimes I wish the announcers were too.

    fukk the talking heads. look at the flags and the site I just linked you to

    Enjoy and good luck tonight
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  19. 08-25-13 06:55 PM #19
    billysink
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    check the flyball ratios too Ton.

    Shit don't matter if they crammin it into the ground all night.

    http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.asp...rs=0&sort=14,d
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  20. 08-25-13 07:07 PM #20
    MagicDiceFlow
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    Dodgers First Five is the play. No ORTIZ in the lineup is going to have a bigger impact than many will think.
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  21. 08-25-13 07:32 PM #21
    wagerjunkie
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    fkn Middlebrooks.

    again Capuano racking up the hits but escaping without getting burned to bad with by alot of runs. still lots of baseball and we got the early lead tho!
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  22. 08-25-13 07:33 PM #22
    wagerjunkie
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    glad i laid off that OVER with those shadows right now
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  23. 08-25-13 07:35 PM #23
    rake922
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    The sun is in the hitters' eyes until 4th inning or so
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  24. 08-25-13 07:54 PM #24
    wagerjunkie
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    small ball getting it done. Peavy pitching a gem so far. lets keep it up.
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  25. 08-25-13 08:03 PM #25
    jjgold
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    I hate betting overs

    If you win it's usually late in the game

    Things have to go right
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  26. 08-25-13 08:08 PM #26
    wagerjunkie
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I hate betting overs

    If you win it's usually late in the game

    Things have to go right
    I never play full game in MLB. Only 1st five. This was a rare case and changed bet to Red Sox -1, if u read full thread.
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  27. 08-25-13 08:14 PM #27
    agendaman
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    2-0 bosox in 4th
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  28. 08-25-13 08:16 PM #28
    Charlie103
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    Quote Originally Posted by agendaman View Post
    2-0 bosox in 4th
    We know, we know, we know
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  29. 08-25-13 08:16 PM #29
    wagerjunkie
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    first big league RBI!
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  30. 08-25-13 08:22 PM #30
    wagerjunkie
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    fuk. that was a fkn moon shot by A Gon
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  31. 08-25-13 08:54 PM #31
    wagerjunkie
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    Salty goes OPPO! 3 run cushion with the -1. keep it up Peavy.
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  32. 08-25-13 09:07 PM #32
    strat1x
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    I had the team total for boston
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  33. 08-25-13 09:15 PM #33
    wagerjunkie
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    Boooooooommmmmmmm
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  34. 08-25-13 09:38 PM #34
    TonyTall
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    sun in my eyes call a lawyer!!!
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  35. 08-25-13 09:56 PM #35
    TheMoneyShot
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    The Hook
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