[RonPaul2008]

Does anyone have percentages that games hit certain run totals in baseball? 9 is obviously the most.
Especially 11,10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5.

[RonPaul2008]

Does anyone know where these numbers can be found? I tried searching for it but have not had success.

[matthew919]

> sum(Totals==10)/n
[1] 0.07051282
> sum(Totals==9)/n
[1] 0.1023606
> sum(Totals==8)/n
[1] 0.07712658
> sum(Totals==7)/n
[1] 0.1123321
> sum(Totals==6)/n
[1] 0.07478632
> sum(Totals==5)/n
[1] 0.1005291

[RonPaul2008]

That does not look like percentages that each number hits.

% of time it lands on 9
% of time it lands on 8
etc....

Not percent of time it gos over a number.

> sum(Totals==10)/n
[1] 0.07051282
> sum(Totals==9)/n
[1] 0.1023606
> sum(Totals==8)/n
[1] 0.07712658
> sum(Totals==7)/n
[1] 0.1123321
> sum(Totals==6)/n
[1] 0.07478632
> sum(Totals==5)/n
[1] 0.1005291

[hockey216]

years ago during steroid era 9 maybe... but lines have come down. now theres lot more 8s i think.

[hockey216]

> sum(Totals==10)/n
[1] 0.07051282
> sum(Totals==9)/n
[1] 0.1023606
> sum(Totals==8)/n
[1] 0.07712658
> sum(Totals==7)/n
[1] 0.1123321
> sum(Totals==6)/n
[1] 0.07478632
> sum(Totals==5)/n
[1] 0.1005291

using matlab or R?

[RonPaul2008]

years ago during steroid era 9 maybe... but lines have come down. now theres lot more 8s i think.

Not a chance. The odd numbers are better. 9 has the most combinations (of numbers up to 9).
9 and 7 are the most likely without a doubt. Anyhow, there has to be info on how often these numbers hit.

[Gee]

Runs	#	%
7	2405	10.88%
9	2289	10.36%
5	2008	9.09%
11	1765	7.99%
8	1726	7.81%
6	1519	6.87%
10	1505	6.81%
3	1261	5.71%
13	1198	5.42%
12	1130	5.11%
4	988	4.47%
15	807	3.65%
14	789	3.57%
16	495	2.24%
17	460	2.08%
1	384	1.74%
2	369	1.67%
18	282	1.28%
19	221	1.00%
20	161	0.73%
21	133	0.60%
22	65	0.29%
23	8	0.04%
25	36	0.16%
24	35	0.16%
26	16	0.07%
27	15	0.07%
28	9	0.04%
31	6	0.03%
29	3	0.01%
30	2	0.01%
32	1	0.00%
34	1	0.00%
33	1	0.00%
35	1	0.00%
36	1	0.00%
22,095 Total Games

After one google search. Doesn't say what year this was done, but most are in consensus that 7, 9 and 11 are the keys because of the number of games that are 3-3, 4-4 and 5-5. If it is old, I don't think things have changed much.

[RonPaul2008]

Runs	#	%
7	2405	10.88%
9	2289	10.36%
5	2008	9.09%
11	1765	7.99%
8	1726	7.81%
6	1519	6.87%
10	1505	6.81%
3	1261	5.71%
13	1198	5.42%
12	1130	5.11%
4	988	4.47%
15	807	3.65%
14	789	3.57%
16	495	2.24%
17	460	2.08%
1	384	1.74%
2	369	1.67%
18	282	1.28%
19	221	1.00%
20	161	0.73%
21	133	0.60%
22	65	0.29%
23	8	0.04%
25	36	0.16%
24	35	0.16%
26	16	0.07%
27	15	0.07%
28	9	0.04%
31	6	0.03%
29	3	0.01%
30	2	0.01%
32	1	0.00%
34	1	0.00%
33	1	0.00%
35	1	0.00%
36	1	0.00%
22,095 Total Games

After one google search. Doesn't say what year this was done, but most are in consensus that 7, 9 and 11 are the keys because of the number of games that are 3-3, 4-4 and 5-5. If it is old, I don't think things have changed much.

Thanks!

[matthew919]

That does not look like percentages that each number hits.

% of time it lands on 9
% of time it lands on 8
etc....

Not percent of time it gos over a number.

That is the % of times it landed on each number. From 2009 to 2012.