1. #1
    stevenash
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    Miami (Turner) -119 over New York Mets (Hefner)

    Been watching this Jacob Turner all season as well as Jose Fernandez.
    The guy is a totally different animal since last year when the Tigers gave up on him. OK, he was getting hit by the AL big boys, but was 21 last year, just starting out. But since coming to the NL East, brilliant.

    Kid (22 years od) has been rock solid steady all season.
    Last 10 starts have been brilliant. Allowing 3 earned runs or less in nine of those past ten, and eight of the last ten he's allowed two earned runs or less.
    He did walk four Brewers and Carlos Gomez rocked him for a tater in a 2-0 loss, and the Cards got to him for four earned on seven hits in that loss, but know this, the Met line up isn't the Card line up tonight.
    Like I said, the other 8 starts, outstanding 2 earned runs or less

    Overall he's 3-3 2.49 ERA with an attention grabbing 1.17 WH/IP ratio and will strike out a little over 6 or per 9 innings. Nice numbers.

    First time he faced the Mets this season he shut them out on 5/31 on 5 hits, one walk across seven effortless innings as the Marlins swept the Mets.

    The Mets two best hitters, David Wright is an ugly 0 for 8 against Turner, and Daniel Murphy is 2 for 8 on two scratch singles.

    He also beat the Mets last season on 10/2 going 7 innings giving up 3 hits, 1 earned run, walking two.

    Metropolitan starter Jeremy Hefner's last two outing have been garbage. Total trash.
    Braves hammered him 8-2, Heffner never got out of the fifth inning, gave up three gopher balls, five earned, six hits.
    Start before that was uglier.
    Phillies got to Hefner for 10 hits in two innings, never saw the end of the third inning, yeilding 8 earned.
    I was never big on Hefner even when he was on that five game winning streak. Four of those five wins were by one run and could have gone either way.

    Both line ups will not scare many pitchers, but I like the Marlins in this spot.
    Turner is the better starter, Marlins are at home, and the Mets can't beat the Fish.
    That's just a fact, they can't beat Miami, they could tonight, but I don't see it.

    Hey, I ain't perfect, I thought the Giants would crush that lefty Cub pitcher the other night with Bumgarden, that did not happen, I faded Westbrook last week, that blew up on me, nobody is perfect, but I am turning a two year profit though. (Apologies if that comes across egotistical)

    I love the Fish at home, with Turner in this spot. There is a reason the Fish are a -119 favorite.

    I really love this play tonight.

    Pass, fade, or tail, it's all good to me. Just putting my thoughts out there for you all.

    Best of luck.

  2. #2
    El Nino
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    Only of the only plays I really like on the board.

  3. #3
    rcene
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    Good luck tonight on the Fish!

  4. #4
    Big Bear
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    nashy poo and benny big testicles on the same play

    might have to pound

  5. #5
    Smoke
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    You're not worried about the RLM at all?

  6. #6
    hubie69
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    Good Luck Nashy

  7. #7
    stevenash
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    Haven't seen Benny Testicle's write up yet Big Bear
    Demented minds do think alike.

    Fishy, fishy



  8. #8
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    You're not worried about the RLM at all?
    Too early Smokey

  9. #9
    Vinnie Paz
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    Its at -120 now? Fukk saw 110 earlier but let it go...

  10. #10
    artyfudgepacker
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    good write up nashy . i tailed u last week it won .its all good

  11. #11
    Vinnie Paz
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    -118 for 2U

  12. #12
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    You're not worried about the RLM at all?
    you said your self not to worry about that in baseball.

  13. #13
    stevenash
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    -130 at the good old SBR sports book.
    After all, it's where dream come true don't ya know?

  14. #14
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Haven't seen Benny Testicle's write up yet Big Bear
    Demented minds do think alike.

    Fishy, fishy


    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-b...gotta-get.html

  15. #15
    GUMMO77
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    On it. Bet the house, wife included.

  16. #16
    stevenash
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    Gummo in da house.
    It's always a treat when Gummo pops up in a Nashy thread.
    See ya at 7pm on the felt table big boy.

  17. #17
    konck
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Gummo in da house.
    It's always a treat when Gummo pops up in a Nashy thread.
    See ya at 7pm on the felt table big boy.
    Nah Gummo is currently 3rd in the 3pm we have been booted a few times though the site is messing up

  18. #18
    stevenash
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    Holy crap
    Miami is now -127
    10 cent increase

  19. #19
    You mad bro
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    My book has -131 .. Little to high

  20. #20
    GUMMO77
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Gummo in da house.
    It's always a treat when Gummo pops up in a Nashy thread.
    See ya at 7pm on the felt table big boy.
    GL, Nasher! Konck is right: I was in the 3 p.m.

    Quote Originally Posted by konck View Post
    Nah Gummo is currently 3rd in the 3pm we have been booted a few times though the site is messing up
    Booted 3 times in that tourney. Was a rough one for everyone.

  21. #21
    stevenash
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    @YouMad
    bought it at 9:30 this morning at -119 (5Dimes)


    You can get -119 at Heritage, it's as hight as -134 right now at bookmaker

  22. #22
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by GUMMO77 View Post
    GL, Nasher! Konck is right: I was in the 3 p.m.



    Booted 3 times in that tourney. Was a rough one for everyone.
    I was playing O/8 last night, got booted like 10000 times

  23. #23
    You mad bro
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    @YouMad
    bought it at 9:30 this morning at -119 (5Dimes)


    You can get -119 at Heritage, it's as hight as -134 right now at bookmaker
    Only bet with a local .. Wanna take the rl but I think this could easily be a 1 run game

  24. #24
    BennyBigNuts
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    Me and Nasher with the same writeup?
    This is SBR gold right here.

  25. #25
    HardCore
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    If the muts when I hope it teaches y'all a lesson. I can't beleave I'm actually hearing GOING BIG and MARLINS in the same sentence like WTF is going on on sbr today.

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