1. #1
    Big Bear
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    Question for you $50 per unit Bettors????

    I've never bet just $50 per game. In fact i have horrible money management and i usually end up doing parlays or betting sometimes $500-$1000 on 1 game...

    I have a tendency to always swing for the home run. But ... this can lead to being broke pretty quick i know...

    now i have been fortunate and made about $1,500 profit in 2013.


    I have set aside 2k for the football season.

    If I only bet $50 per game and i never bet more than that on a game....


    What is a reasonable goal of how much profit i can make in an NFL season?

  2. #2
    Big Bear
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    on a side note do yall think Collin Cowherd will hit about 70% again this year?

  3. #3
    jjgold
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    I can tell you long term you will lose 2.5% or so on total volume

    Best your going to do is about $800 profit

  4. #4
    greenhippo
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    Good thread, I'm almost always in that same boat. Bet big when I like a game until I bet too big and lose.

  5. #5
    hotelis
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    Quote Originally Posted by greenhippo View Post
    Good thread, I'm almost always in that same boat. Bet big when I like a game until I bet too big and lose.
    1st loser on SBR?

  6. #6
    Smoke
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    Good thread. Im down about 5K this year and will be down about 15 after nfl is over
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  7. #7
    teaserpleaser
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    oh boy

  8. #8
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by greenhippo View Post
    Good thread, I'm almost always in that same boat. Bet big when I like a game until I bet too big and lose.
    yep... keep riding the hot streak until i get too greedy and then it's back to square 1.
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  9. #9
    mbs4
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    Bout -2k

  10. #10
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    Good thread. Im down about 5K this year and will be down about 15 after nfl is over
    maybe this will be your year smoke! maybe this is the year you tea-bag that bookie and start making it rain in the clubs and start drving foreign cars

  11. #11
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by mbs4 View Post
    Bout -2k
    that sounds about right unfortunately

  12. #12
    Otters27
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    It will be very hard to keep to just $50 per game. I tried something like that once and made it to about mid OCT before going all in and losing. The thing is when you are winning the $50 per game seems like not enough and when you are losing it is very tempting to make a big bet to cover the losing steak
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  13. #13
    hotelis
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    Quote Originally Posted by mbs4 View Post
    Bout -2k
    same here! high five! why dont we fade ourselves?

  14. #14
    oooonnoooo
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    ive learned my lesson by losing huge twice on heavy ML favs. Sticking to 50 or 100 per bet max 3/4 bets a day has worked for me.
    Last edited by oooonnoooo; 07-20-13 at 02:59 PM. Reason: chill

  15. #15
    Smoke
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    Guys you cant win at gambling

    Is your name billy walters?????? NO

    You win you give it back

    The books welcome all of our action

    We are fukkin lemons like a bad car

    Either book the action or become a tout

  16. #16
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    I've never bet just $50 per game. In fact i have horrible money management and i usually end up doing parlays or betting sometimes $500-$1000 on 1 game...

    I have a tendency to always swing for the home run. But ... this can lead to being broke pretty quick i know...

    now i have been fortunate and made about $1,500 profit in 2013.


    I have set aside 2k for the football season.

    If I only bet $50 per game and i never bet more than that on a game....


    What is a reasonable goal of how much profit i can make in an NFL season?
    broke dikk fukk

  17. #17
    ApricotSinner32
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    Keep gambling boys you may hit it big one day

  18. #18
    jjgold
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    lifetime most people lose 2.5% of their volume

    its proven

  19. #19
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    lifetime most people lose 2.5% of their volume

    its proven
    what does that mean?

  20. #20
    hubie69
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    I think unless you vary your bet size you'll be in trouble. Flat bettors usually are. I would vary your bet size based on EV. As well, are you planning on betting College or NFL? NFL betting is typically extremely efficient where college football you can find some edges.

  21. #21
    Sam Odom
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    Quote Originally Posted by hubie69 View Post

    I think unless you vary your bet size you'll be in trouble.

    Vary in relationship to one's bankroll...



    I would vary your bet size based on EV.

    (sorry)

    Only 0.05% of SBR posters know when they TRULY HAVE a 2.5% or 4% EV on a wager - Others are just guessing/wishing

  22. #22
    hubie69
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Odom View Post
    Vary in relationship to one's bankroll...





    (sorry)

    Only 0.05% of SBR posters know when they TRULY HAVE a 2.5% or 4% EV on a wager - Others are just guessing/wishing


    You're absolutely correct Sammy, on both accounts.

  23. #23
    jjgold
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    what does that mean?
    If your total volume is $100,000 expect lose about $2500

  24. #24
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    If your total volume is $100,000 expect lose about $2500
    so are you saying its best to pick spots and go big?

  25. #25
    byronbb
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    so are you saying its best to pick spots and go big?
    He's saying bookies make money from people like you.

  26. #26
    jjgold
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    No I am just giving you stats
    Bet what you like
    Safe way to bet is not playing with bet sizes
    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    so are you saying its best to pick spots and go big?

  27. #27
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    No I am just giving you stats
    Bet what you like
    Safe way to bet is not playing with bet sizes
    JJ next time i bet i'm gonna do $1,000 one game.

    Can you PM me if you make one of your big isolated plays? i dont want to miss the next one.

  28. #28
    samdapatriotsfan
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    lifetime most people lose 2.5% of their volume

    its proven

    Exactly!!! People are labeled as degens because they really think they can make money betting sports

    The only real way for an average person to come out + in betting is the lottery, slot machines or the lottery.

    Granted most won't win the lottery or a slot jackpot big enough to cover all of your losses. But I bet there are more of these types of winners then there are sports bettors who actually make money.

    Don't fool yourself and just realize that the amount of your bets are relative to the excitement you want to get from watching the game or checking the results.

  29. #29
    artyfudgepacker
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    i have two goals in gambling to start the day .one is win big .two is get my money back . two strait bets big and small .two parleys big and small . using 5% of my bR .it works for me long term

  30. #30
    jjgold
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    Quote Originally Posted by samdapatriotsfan View Post
    Exactly!!! People are labeled as degens because they really think they can make money betting sports

    The only real way for an average person to come out + in betting is the lottery, slot machines or the lottery.

    Granted most won't win the lottery or a slot jackpot big enough to cover all of your losses. But I bet there are more of these types of winners then there are sports bettors who actually make money.

    Don't fool yourself and just realize that the amount of your bets are relative to the excitement you want to get from watching the game or checking the results.


    BigBear settle down and stick to $50 wagers, if I have a big play I will let you know

    I bet your 6-5, 297

  31. #31
    hotelis
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    Quote Originally Posted by artyfudgepacker View Post
    i have two goals in gambling to start the day .one is win big .two is get my money back . Two strait bets big and small .two parleys big and small . Using 5% of my br .it works for me long term
    how does it taste mot**f**ker???? haha

  32. #32
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post


    BigBear settle down and stick to $50 wagers, if I have a big play I will let you know

    I bet your 6-5, 297
    lol nah just liked to have the name "big" in my name just like big deemer, big boy dan, i'm sure there are others Big Day, Benny "Big" Nuts....

    and my dogs name is bear.

    i'm 5 foot 2 and 140 pound pounds i am an amatuer jockey at the local horse track

  33. #33
    jjgold
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    Man that is cool

    I wish you were a pro jockey we can make money

    Bear can you ever become one???

  34. #34
    artyfudgepacker
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    i stop trying to get rich off this long time ago . if i win money to get gift cert to keep wify happy .and get me some new tools or fishing stuff im good

  35. #35
    artyfudgepacker
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    Quote Originally Posted by hotelis View Post
    how does it taste mot**f**ker???? haha
    it taste pretty good some days . then there are bad day .wtf ???

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