[dontknowhowtobet]

Well, I gave it lots of thoughts, and to be honest, I tried several "UNDERS" from the past few games and got burned, and this bet is not an easy one, at least not from the Psychological side of it, but you have to keep in mind that those kind of "low" lines are exactly what Psychology tells you to do.

Here are the previous games between the 2 teams:

Season
08.01.2013 MIA @ IND --> 87-77 (for Indiana)
01.02.2013 MIA @ IND --> 102-89 (for Indiana)
10.03.2013 IND @ MIA --> 91-105 (for Miami)

Playyoffs
22.05.2013 IND @ MIA --> 102-103 (for Miami)
24.05.2013 IND @ MIA --> 97-93 (for Indiana)
And we have the game tonight MIA @ IND

Basically,
Only one game on the 8th of January ended 87-77 (164 pts) and the rest were between 190 to 205!

So why am I picking the UNDER here?

1) Because we had the last 6 NBA games going OVER the line, including all those "Overtimes" you saw coming even if the Spurs were leading by double digit 4-5 minutes before the end of the game, see all latest results here:

http://scores.covers.com/basketball-...-matchups.aspx

2) Because the NBA Script in the Playoffs is seemed to be written completely different between the season and the playoffs, and that is why the line is 181.5 and not 190 or 195 as in regular season.

3) People tend to bet based on previous games, thinking George Hill or Hibbert from Indiana might blast the night with points, and LeBron James would score endlessly, I am still thinking their last Playoffs game ended with 190 points because each one of the first 3 quarters ended exactly on 50 points each!

4) Think about it ... it's pretty easy could be 42 points on the 1st quarter and 40 on the 2nd, and then you kiss the "OVER" goodbye, I don't see an OVERTIME in this one, I see one of the teams (and I have no clue which) simply killing the other by double digits and leaving the game with a small score.

5) The trend in the betting market is favouring the UNDER, the line was 183, and now it's already 181.5 and pinnacle has already reduced it to 181 and other betting websites follow suit.

Here is my betting slip:



I am literally risking the money that I can afford to lose here, it's £761 GBP which in US Dollars terms is:



I wish you all goodluck with your bets tonight!
This is one of the very few times I've decided to post my pick beforehand and before the game starts. It's not so easy for me as I'm working on keeping myself disicplined and whatever the score is I am going to take a break afterwards, just hoping this one would cash of course.

Good luck to all of you!

[strat1x]

burned again lol

[goldengoat]

good luck

[Doughboy22]

Under is "due" right? GL with that bro

[face]

doughboy who are you on tonight?

[Doughboy22]

doughboy who are you on tonight?

I am on the over and Miami. Have some MLB too. Check my thread

[J_On_A_Roll]

Miami is going to kill Indy. More experience on their side, also their shooters are going to open this game up a little in the second or third quarter.

[Xmasteven]

If miami wins in under. If pacers win its over.

[dontknowhowtobet]

burned again lol

Let's see after the game, not beforehand.
Thanks for your 'positive' feedback.

[Bbr]

Am I the only person on Indy???

[face]

I am on the over and Miami. Have some MLB too. Check my thread

ok i will, thanks

[rawzay]

Don't take the under anymore. You won't see many blowouts this deep into the playoffs and you risk the game going to overtime and going over. If your gonna go under go with the first half under.

[dontknowhowtobet]

Don't take the under anymore. You won't see many blowouts this deep into the playoffs and you risk the game going to overtime and going over. If your gonna go under go with the first half under.

Too late.
Bet already placed and I won't change it as I will lose from the juice.
Besides, I'm happy with this bet, so I'm moving forward with it.

Thanks though.

[phillybadboy]

i will tail 5x= 5 us dollars

[bjb7223]

noooooooooooooooooooooooooo

[Seaweed]

Miami Team Total OVER

[TheMoneyShot]

This already lost.

[ramones951]

[TwoWays]

Totals for both these conf. finals have been set so low it's ridiculus.

[Fed_42420]

ouch . live over under at 200 right now

[seaborneq]

dontknowhowtowin. Maybe next time.

[El Nino]

But it was due!

[frankthetank]

yikes!

[Splashingthrees]

Nice write up

[retard]

Best thing anyone can do is go over on every game in this series.. Its going to be just like bulls/nets series 80% of the games in this series will go over or all of them will.


Its the playoffs everyone is giving 100% all the jr bricks arent in the club before the games because its the east/west finals.

[Bbr]

What a disaster.

[Russian Rocket]

[Seaweed]

Miami Team Total OVER

[MrXYZ]

Flawed logic to begin with. Roulette wheel can land on a red number 6 times in a row.

[Laz]

Well, I gave it lots of thoughts, and to be honest, I tried several "UNDERS" from the past few games and got burned, and this bet is not an easy one, at least not from the Psychological side of it, but you have to keep in mind that those kind of "low" lines are exactly what Psychology tells you to do.

Here are the previous games between the 2 teams:

Season
08.01.2013 MIA @ IND --> 87-77 (for Indiana)
01.02.2013 MIA @ IND --> 102-89 (for Indiana)
10.03.2013 IND @ MIA --> 91-105 (for Miami)

Playyoffs
22.05.2013 IND @ MIA --> 102-103 (for Miami)
24.05.2013 IND @ MIA --> 97-93 (for Indiana)
And we have the game tonight MIA @ IND

Basically,
Only one game on the 8th of January ended 87-77 (164 pts) and the rest were between 190 to 205!

So why am I picking the UNDER here?

1) Because we had the last 6 NBA games going OVER the line, including all those "Overtimes" you saw coming even if the Spurs were leading by double digit 4-5 minutes before the end of the game, see all latest results here:

http://scores.covers.com/basketball-...-matchups.aspx

2) Because the NBA Script in the Playoffs is seemed to be written completely different between the season and the playoffs, and that is why the line is 181.5 and not 190 or 195 as in regular season.

3) People tend to bet based on previous games, thinking George Hill or Hibbert from Indiana might blast the night with points, and LeBron James would score endlessly, I am still thinking their last Playoffs game ended with 190 points because each one of the first 3 quarters ended exactly on 50 points each!

4) Think about it ... it's pretty easy could be 42 points on the 1st quarter and 40 on the 2nd, and then you kiss the "OVER" goodbye, I don't see an OVERTIME in this one, I see one of the teams (and I have no clue which) simply killing the other by double digits and leaving the game with a small score.

5) The trend in the betting market is favouring the UNDER, the line was 183, and now it's already 181.5 and pinnacle has already reduced it to 181 and other betting websites follow suit.

Here is my betting slip:



I am literally risking the money that I can afford to lose here, it's £761 GBP which in US Dollars terms is:



I wish you all goodluck with your bets tonight!
This is one of the very few times I've decided to post my pick beforehand and before the game starts. It's not so easy for me as I'm working on keeping myself disicplined and whatever the score is I am going to take a break afterwards, just hoping this one would cash of course.

Good luck to all of you!

-1154.51 US Dollars

[LordVodka]

I hope he hedged his bet.

[El Nino]

Doesn't this guy usually throw in a bunch of tv screen shots and scoreboard updates to his bets?

Let me help a fellow poster out.

[TwoWays]

Suicide watch for dkhtbet. How long can you continue chasing?

[MrXYZ]

He was on here telling everyone he was done with the NBA, closing accounts, blah blah. Some people never learn.

[rake922]

gotta chase again and take under in spurs game on Monday?