1. 04-09-13 11:56 AM #36
    MoneyLineDawg
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    All I meant was get the best number you can on the side you like in big, national games....Lines will jump but it all could mean different things

    Line movements mean more in the smaller, less bet on games IMO
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  2. 04-09-13 12:01 PM #37
    TheMoneyShot
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    +3.5, +4, +4.5, +5, spreads don't matter, just pick a winner.

    oh yeah, line moves don't matter...lol
    With all due respect.... two books in Vegas went to -4.5. Then back to -4. Regardless.... books covered up the winner really well. Half a point really isn't a huge difference to a novice player... and to the general public. Michigan up by 12 and couldn't hang on. Again, clearly that movement didn't signify a Louisville cover. Seems like the books were a little confused as well. There's times in football where it moves to -4.5 at game time from -4 and the dog covered with ease.
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  3. 04-09-13 12:09 PM #38
    k13
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    I'm just saying the spread only matters like ~20% of the time. Yet people worry about it like it matters 50% + of the time.
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  4. 04-09-13 01:38 PM #39
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    I'm just saying the spread only matters like ~20% of the time. Yet people worry about it like it matters 50% + of the time.
    If this is true we should all be winning more money.
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  5. 04-09-13 04:27 PM #40
    GamblerSpirit
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    If this is true we should all be winning more money.
    I agree the spread matters often.
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  6. 04-09-13 06:05 PM #41
    TheMoneyShot
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    It does matter. Not saying it didn't. But basically line opened up -4 everywhere. Wynn moved it to -4.5 at around Noon. Then back to -4 at around 6pm. And stayed. MGM Mirage was at -4 and moved it to -4.5 at around 7PM or so and didn't go back down. Don't know what other books did? But that half a point move doesn't seal the deal for me to take Louisville. If they moved it to -5... that's a signal to me.
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