1. #1
    cockblocker
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    Buying the hook vs not. Hook is worth it.

    Using a sample size of 20 bets in basketball where the hook is involved betting 55 and juiced to 60. I had 5 games that pushed which save me 275 if I would have left the hook on. Say if your a 55 % capper and you go 11-9 your only losing $45 in juice from buying the hook. You only need 1 push to make up for that.

    As tight as these numbers a lot times the hook comes into play during these games.
    Last edited by cockblocker; 04-06-13 at 04:05 PM.

  2. #2
    Chi_archie
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    oh

    think tank this!

  3. #3
    Smoke
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    Always buy the hook

  4. #4
    ramones951
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    Quote Originally Posted by cockblocker View Post
    Using a sample size of 20 bets in basketball where the hook is involved betting 55 and juiced to 60. I had 5 games that pushed which save me 275 if I would have left the hook on. Say if your a 55 % capper and you go 11-9 your only losing $45 in juice from buying the hook. You only need 1 push to make up for that.

    As tight as these numbers a lot times the hook comes into play during these games.
    I stopped reading at "sample size of 20 bets".

  5. #5
    k13
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    Can't remember last time I lost by the hook, maybe 1 or 2 out of a 100 games.

  6. #6
    cockblocker
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    Quote Originally Posted by ramones951 View Post
    I stopped reading at "sample size of 20 bets".
    200 bets and you go 110 -90. The you lose 450 juice. I have pushes every week. I know the games I'm betting it saves my ass more than enough buying it.

  7. #7
    tto827
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    Let's ignore long discovered push rates, and half point values, and just go off a sample size of 20 plays.... what could go wrong?

  8. #8
    tto827
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    Quote Originally Posted by cockblocker View Post
    200 bets and you go 110 -90. The you lose 450 juice. I have pushes every week. I know the games I'm betting it saves my ass more than enough buying it.
    If you buy a half point, why not make it a full point, how about 2 points, when does it stop?

  9. #9
    cockblocker
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    Quote Originally Posted by tto827 View Post
    If you buy a half point, why not make it a full point, how about 2 points, when does it stop?
    Because the juice is only -120 on a half pt. I just have knack for picking the games that involve the hook.

    I saved $110 just last night on the Atl total. 191.5 bought down to 191 and the juice is only -116 on the spreads. It was a push.

    I used 20, because you only need 1 push in 20 bets if you 55% capper.
    Last edited by cockblocker; 04-06-13 at 05:41 PM.

  10. #10
    ramones951
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    Quote Originally Posted by cockblocker View Post
    200 bets and you go 110 -90. The you lose 450 juice. I have pushes every week. I know the games I'm betting it saves my ass more than enough buying it.
    I flipped a coin 5 times today, 4 times it landed on heads and once on tails. So if I flip it 500 times I can expect there to be 400 heads and 100 tails?

  11. #11
    tto827
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    Quote Originally Posted by cockblocker View Post
    Because the juice is only -120 on a half pt. I just have knack for picking the games that involve the hook.

    I saved $110 just last night on the Atl total. 191.5 bought down to 191 and the juice is only -116 on the spreads. It was a push.

    I used 20, because you only need 1 push in 20 bets if you 55% capper.
    It's either that or variance, I wonder which is more likely?

  12. #12
    easyliving
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    Quote Originally Posted by cockblocker View Post
    I just have knack for picking the games that involve the hook.
    and I have a knack for picking games that are nowhere close to the hook so I never buy the hook.

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