1. #1
    oZgoodZ33
    oZgoodZ33's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-28-12
    Posts: 525

    Top 20 Pitcher + Underdog Sagarin System

    I'm sure this has been around for a while, but I just came across it and was wondering if anyone had any experiences or thoughts.

    "To use this baseball gambling system you must first collect the necessary information. Click on MLB Games to get a listing of the daily MLB baseball matchups, starting pitchers, and odds for the day.Make a list of the starting pitchers that are playing for the “underdog” teams.

    Rule 1:
    The starting pitcher must be ranked in the top 20. You determine this by looking at the Sagarin ratings. Click on the National or American League to get a ranking of every pitcher in the league. If Sagarin ranks the starting pitcher in the top 20, proceed to Rule 2.


    Rule 2:
    If the underdog is playing on the road, determine if their road record is above 48%. If the underdog is playing at home, check and see if their record at home is above 48%.

    If the answer to both rules above is yes, place a bet on the underdog.

    How well did this gambling system do in 2010?

    If you would have bet $100 on every underdog team that met the above two rules, you would have won 110 games and lost 91 games for a 54.73% win percentage and a net profit of $4,254.
    What’s most remarkable is that the win% for the home and road dogs in 2010 was almost the same (54.67% and 54.76% respectively.) The home dogs’ record was 41 wins and 34 losses for a net profit of $1,380. The road dogs had 69 wins and 57 losses for a profit of $2,874."

  2. #2
    Chi_archie
    GASPING FOR AIR
    Chi_archie's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-22-08
    Posts: 63,130
    Betpoints: 2368

    this is intriguing

    would like to see it tracked this year

  3. #3
    ACoochy
    Am i serious? Are you serious?
    ACoochy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-19-09
    Posts: 13,949
    Betpoints: 5324

    OP what are minimum number of games here before model comes into signifigance??

  4. #4
    oZgoodZ33
    oZgoodZ33's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-28-12
    Posts: 525

    I would assume it starts in May as the other systems featured on the site I found this one on started in May.

  5. #5
    ACoochy
    Am i serious? Are you serious?
    ACoochy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-19-09
    Posts: 13,949
    Betpoints: 5324

    If this started today then my calculations say it went 2-0 +2.3ish units. Solid start

  6. #6
    Aaron McCrevice
    Aaron McCrevice's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-26-13
    Posts: 669
    Betpoints: 655



    when I'm done pitching to daughter Judy, we'll all hop into my 2010 time machine




  7. #7
    dshawn
    dshawn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 151
    Betpoints: 483

    post plays everyday

  8. #8
    oZgoodZ33
    oZgoodZ33's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-28-12
    Posts: 525

    Quote Originally Posted by ACoochy View Post
    If this started today then my calculations say it went 2-0 +2.3ish units. Solid start
    I'm tracking this system as well as 2 others in a thread called "MLB Tracking: 3 Separate Systems".

    Also, there would have been no plays for this system as the 2 qualifying teams did not have a road records above 48%

  9. #9
    AceofSP2107
    AceofSP2107's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-28-09
    Posts: 717
    Betpoints: 12278

    whats the 3rd system other that this and mlb track

  10. #10
    oZgoodZ33
    oZgoodZ33's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-28-12
    Posts: 525

    Quote Originally Posted by AceofSP2107 View Post
    whats the 3rd system other that this and mlb track
    All 3 systems I'm tracking are in the thread mentioned in my previous post. There's a totals system and 2 dog systems

  11. #11
    AceofSP2107
    AceofSP2107's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-28-09
    Posts: 717
    Betpoints: 12278

    i see sorry thnaks

  12. #12
    Avala7ch3
    Avala7ch3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-04-12
    Posts: 257

    "

  13. #13
    TheCentaur
    TheCentaur's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-28-11
    Posts: 8,108
    Betpoints: 68

    Sounds pretty effective but that same year underdogs with a starting pitcher who had a ranking that ends in 7 (17,27,etc.) who's first child is a daughter pitching on Wednesdays and Fridays had a 59.27% win rate.

  14. #14
    70kgman
    70kgman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 4,354
    Betpoints: 1895

    "

  15. #15
    easyliving
    easyliving's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-25-12
    Posts: 8,876
    Betpoints: 11

    so does anyone actually track these plays?

  16. #16
    oZgoodZ33
    oZgoodZ33's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-28-12
    Posts: 525

    Quote Originally Posted by easyliving View Post
    so does anyone actually track these plays?
    I mentioned in the above post the name of the thread that I am tracking this on. See post #8

  17. #17
    Avala7ch3
    Avala7ch3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-04-12
    Posts: 257

    Quote Originally Posted by 70kgman View Post
    That is stolen from that "bookie buster" PDF file containing a bunch of "systems" and money management strategies. Unless that guys friend "Andrew" is author of the beat the bookie systems (he is not, Frank Belanger is), that is blatant plagiarism.
    It doesn't matter. I am very pessimistic about systems in general, as I think that only constantly good picks with level stakes can be a safe betting system's base. Real good profits could be made only with hard work, "15 minutes each morning" is not enough
    I am still looking for "the perfect system"

Top