1. 02-14-13 09:59 AM #1
    BigDeem5
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    Miami-OKC line

    We all know its 4.5-5 depending where you get it...

    How does this make any sense?

    I'd say 3 points is fair to give based on home court.. So on a neutral court, Thunder are 1.5-2 points better than the Heat?

    Truly laughable. I already locked in Miami, but I am thinking about hedging, there is no reason for this to be 5... Should be -3 at best!

    OkC is great ATS, but both teams will bring it day before all star break. These guys love going at each other (wade, lbj, Westbrook, durant)

    If this game was in Mia, it would only be -1? I highly doubt that.

    Fishy line.

    I'm on Heat +5 for the simple reason that Lebron is better than Durant and Wade is playing better and better. There is no Harden from the OkC bench, Martin isn't anywhere near Harden.

    I think heat should win about 101-98..ill stick to the +5 though in case of funny business.
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  2. 02-14-13 10:09 AM #2
    vasilli07
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    Okc is 11-1 ATS this season coming of a loss.
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  3. 02-14-13 10:11 AM #3
    BigDeem5
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    That's all fine and dandy.. But lebron is historic rate and the Heat have won 6 straight.
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  4. 02-14-13 10:15 AM #4
    innovation
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    my 2 cents

    OKC has a excellent home power rating and a potential 5.5 home court advantage.

    Miami could do the books a huge favor by starting the break early by showing up but not giving 110%.

    This would help the books in the post season when Miami would be questioned @ OKC just like they will Indiana.

    Honestly Miami could care less about this game they would rather take the game @ OKC in the finals

    For me the only play here is OKC ML

    One last thought the Northwest home rating is about 6 points better than Southeast on the road. I know Miami is the only real contender in the southeast but still NW at home is dominant.
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  5. 02-14-13 10:18 AM #5
    RudyRuetigger
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    deemer hedging a straight bet?

    ive seen it all now
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  6. 02-14-13 10:30 AM #6
    leetreaper
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    Okc rolls, no other outcome possible...
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  7. 02-14-13 10:31 AM #7
    BIGDAY
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  8. 02-14-13 10:37 AM #8
    brigade125
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    That's all fine and dandy.. But lebron is historic rate and the Heat have won 6 straight.
    big deem ... dont be influenced by that streak in miami....streak come to an end... . okc blew them out last year in the regular season.. and miami returned the favor in miami later on the season...these guys are pretty good defending their home court... so okc -5 is the play...
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  9. 02-14-13 10:37 AM #9
    SteelRain
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    70% of the public is on Miami +5
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  10. 02-14-13 10:40 AM #10
    TheMoneyShot
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    Deemer... I thought the same thing. Especially the -1 theory in Miami. But, you can't mind fuk this... TNT... only 2 games on the board. There's going to be a few people taking OKC -5 at home... trust me. A lot of LeBron haters all over the world that will pound it back to 50%
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  11. 02-14-13 10:48 AM #11
    brigade125
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheMoneyShot View Post
    Deemer... I thought the same thing. Especially the -1 theory in Miami. But, you can't mind fuk this... TNT... only 2 games on the board. There's going to be a few people taking OKC -5 at home... trust me. A lot of LeBron haters all over the world that will pound it back to 50%
    it will be going to 80% on miami by game time... has nothing to do about lebron haters .... the public all over miami because of how miami been playing at home... and a winning streak...and okc coming off a loss in utah...
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  12. 02-14-13 11:04 AM #12
    TheMoneyShot
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    OKC -5.5

    Shi$ we're in trouble now.
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  13. 02-14-13 11:06 AM #13
    brigade125
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    it aint game time yet...but we will see after the game...
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  14. 02-14-13 11:17 AM #14
    konck
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    OKC is 43/46 % public the line has pushed the public on the Heat of course.
    I like OKC here its a fake .5 raise right now they do that sometimes it will
    be 5 or lower at game time. One thing you have to realize is to OKC this
    game means something to the Heat it doesnt mean much. I like both home
    teams tonight. Lakers are 37% and cant afford to lose any home games to
    make the playoffs because they are a very weak road team OTR 11-18.
    Public will pound both road teams you wont lose taking both homers!
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  15. 02-14-13 11:18 AM #15
    innovation
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    OKC loss in Utah says it all. OKC was clearly looking forward.

    Utah is allowing 98 shots per game and 24 FTA.

    OKC the highest scoring team averaging 98.8 shots per game and 26.8 FTA

    OKC took a total of 83 shots in Utah and went 13 for 23 at the line.

    Talk about looking ahead. I know it's not fixed but it's damn hard to predict when a team is going to bring it on any given night.
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  16. 02-14-13 11:29 AM #16
    brigade125
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    playing in utah . is one of the toughest place to play... doesnt utah have one the best record at home...miami lost in utah too...
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  17. 02-14-13 11:34 AM #17
    innovation
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    I'm a Jazz homer. Historically it's a tough place to play but when a team like the Bulls shreds us offensively. It's obvious especially with Hayward out we have defensive issues. I am just saying they really didn't press the issue. They hit something like 56% from the field but and 13-23 from the line? It was strange to me.
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  18. 02-14-13 11:36 AM #18
    GGForcer
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    Quote Originally Posted by brigade125 View Post
    playing in utah . is one of the toughest place to play... doesnt utah have one the best record at home...miami lost in utah too...
    utah had been playing like crap before that game and utah shot like 43 percent in the first half and they were still basically tied at half.... okc just got out rebounded and fouled a lot



    OP take the 5 points and consider them a gift
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  19. 02-14-13 11:41 AM #19
    Shipcity
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    Quote Originally Posted by konck View Post
    OKC is 43/46 % public the line has pushed the public on the Heat of course.
    I like OKC here its a fake .5 raise right now they do that sometimes it will
    be 5 or lower at game time. One thing you have to realize is to OKC this
    game means something to the Heat it doesnt mean much. I like both home
    teams tonight. Lakers are 37% and cant afford to lose any home games to
    make the playoffs because they are a very weak road team OTR 11-18.
    Public will pound both road teams you wont lose taking both homers!
    This isnt a true home game for the Lakers. Thats just what it says on paper.
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  20. 02-14-13 11:41 AM #20
    brigade125
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    ok. so often does okc play 2 bad games in a row... okc will be ready tonight...
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  21. 02-14-13 11:58 AM #21
    nosniboR11
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    good read

    great thread, give props to deemer for starting
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  22. 02-14-13 12:02 PM #22
    konck
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shipcity View Post
    This isnt a true home game for the Lakers. Thats just what it says on paper.
    Home game is a Home game period. But any ways I like the fade here with the Lakers being 37% public
    and Kobe coming off maybe his worse game of the year. He shold be fired up here.
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  23. 02-14-13 12:21 PM #23
    ThaWoj
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    i was leaning miami, after reading this thread im not so sure. Maybe teasing the heat with some ncaa is best (dont want to tease lakers bc theres blowout potential)
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  24. 02-14-13 12:41 PM #24
    BigDeem5
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    Both teams play in the staples center, there is no home team..
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  25. 02-14-13 01:06 PM #25
    nbafanatic2012
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    Miami +5.5 is value.....
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  26. 02-14-13 01:13 PM #26
    mysterio619
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  27. 02-14-13 01:14 PM #27
    StevenSuarez
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    Quote Originally Posted by BMyers7 View Post
    Take OKC -5, bookies are making the public eat this up. They even through in a .5 increase in the line to make it look like the public is hitting OKC hard.

    Smart money goes on OKC -5 tonight!

    As far as the LAL vs. LAC - take points at home, public favoring Clippers by 65% - 35%
    Don't listen to any of this garbage reasoning please.
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  28. 02-14-13 08:50 PM #28
    Shipcity
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    Quote Originally Posted by konck View Post
    Home game is a Home game period. But any ways I like the fade here with the Lakers being 37% public
    and Kobe coming off maybe his worse game of the year. He shold be fired up here.
    no its not, they both play in the same arena you idiot. yea fade the public, good strategy
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  29. 02-14-13 08:52 PM #29
    TheMoneyShot
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    I still say this was a strange line. No need for an opening line to be OKC -5 or -5.5. Books should of just left it at OKC -4.5
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  30. 02-14-13 08:55 PM #30
    BigDeem5
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    How sharp was OKC?
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  31. 02-14-13 09:01 PM #31
    innovation
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    I was 100% wrong. Can't believe books gave back willingly.
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  32. 02-14-13 09:03 PM #32
    underal
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    We all know its 4.5-5 depending where you get it...

    How does this make any sense?

    I'd say 3 points is fair to give based on home court.. So on a neutral court, Thunder are 1.5-2 points better than the Heat?

    Truly laughable. I already locked in Miami, but I am thinking about hedging, there is no reason for this to be 5... Should be -3 at best!

    OkC is great ATS, but both teams will bring it day before all star break. These guys love going at each other (wade, lbj, Westbrook, durant)

    If this game was in Mia, it would only be -1? I highly doubt that.

    Fishy line.

    I'm on Heat +5 for the simple reason that Lebron is better than Durant and Wade is playing better and better. There is no Harden from the OkC bench, Martin isn't anywhere near Harden.

    I think heat should win about 101-98..ill stick to the +5 though in case of funny business.
    the ml here was even more ridiculous. heat +180 means the books giving the heat a 36% chance of winning this game.
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  33. 02-14-13 09:08 PM #33
    Jayvegas420
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    This game changes everything I thought I knew about who was gonna come out of the west.
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  34. 02-15-13 02:17 AM #34
    sweep
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    Deems- You bi-polar cuzzo?
    Will the Books ever adjust to the Thunder?

    BigDeem5
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