1. #1
    Jayvegas420
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    Streak Bets for Today!

    I am going to try something new. it has little logic attached to it but, here it is. I know that betting with or against a streak is a fairly arbitrary way to bet. It's kinda like betting Odd /Even on roulette or tossing a coin but, the way I see it....Even though the event itself is a random and undetermined event, the lines are attached to the games by linemakers. So when I see a streak I tend to think maybe that streak will continue but if it does the books are gonna take a hit because they should have adjusted the line accordingly.
    All that said, I am going to try to find as many streaks as I can in today's match ups and bet against them.
    I am willing to guarantee that I do better than 50%.
    Some of the matchups will have heavy streaks going into the game some lesser streaks.
    For example, the Grizz & the Sixers are playing :

    76ers last 4 games playing on 1 days rest, all UNDERS,

    76ers last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, all UNDERS

    Grizz Under is 7-0 in Grizzlies last 7 Monday games.
    PICK: OVER 178

    This game had streaks of 4 games & 5 games & 7 games. I'd say fairly strong streaks.

    This next game is an example of a matchup where the streaks not plentiful nor strong but are streaks none the less.

    Wiz have covered the spread in their last 10 games
    Kings have lost 4 straight ATS

    PICK: KINGS +8

    The list continues below:

    Orlando's last two games have been unders.
    The last 4 meetings between these two teams have been unders.

    Brooklyn

    • UNDER is 4-0 in Nets last 4 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

    PICK: OVER 194

    Bulls last five games have been 5 straight UNDERS.
    Last four meeting between these tow teams have been UNDERS
    UNDER is 4-0 in Bobcats last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
    UNDER is 4-0 in Bobcats last 4 Monday games.

    Under is 5-0 in Bulls last 5 games as a home underdog.
    Under is 3-0-1 in Bulls last 4 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
    Under is 5-0 in Bulls last 5 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater.

    PICK: OVER

    James Madison's last 8 straight games have been UNDERS
    The last 7 meetings between these two teams have been UNDERS
    James Madison

    • Under is 6-0 in Dukes last 6 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
    • Under is 4-0 in Dukes last 4 road games.
    • Under is 6-0 in Dukes last 6 games following a S.U. win.
    • Under is 5-0 in Dukes last 5 games following a ATS win.

    OVER

    J Hawks last 5 games have been unders
    Kansas

    • Under is 7-0 in Jayhawks last 7 Monday games.
    • Under is 5-0 in Jayhawks last 5 games following a S.U. win.
    • Under is 5-0 in Jayhawks last 5 vs. Big 12.

    PICK: OVER 130

    Eastern Washington
    • Under is 6-0 in Eagles last 6 overall.
    • Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
    • Under is 6-0 in Eagles last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
    • Under is 6-0 in Eagles last 6 vs. Big Sky.
    • Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games following a ATS loss

    PICK: OVER

    Phoenix
    Over is 4-0 in Coyotes last 4 home games.
    Over is 6-0 in Coyotes last 6 overall.
    Over is 6-0 in Coyotes last 6 vs. Western Conference.
    Last 4 meeting between these two teams have all been UNDERS

    PICK: UNDER
    5.5

    Edmonton Under is 4-0 in Oilers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
    Under is 12-0 in Oilers last 12 games as a home underdog of +150 to +200.
    Colorado's last 3 games have been unders
    Last 4 meetings between these two teams have been UNDERS

    PICK: OVER 5.5

    Canucks/Kings over 5




    Don't know how effective this is gonna be but I welcome any bets that say I do worse than .500


    Good Luck

  2. #2
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Looks like you are playing the contrarian angle. Usually do not like to bet when a streak will end. Prefer to wait until it ends and then start fading for a bit if the situation is right. GL.

  3. #3
    tto827
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    GL dude. I'm with easy rider, that guessing when it will end is tough. But hopefully it turns out well.

  4. #4
    Jayvegas420
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    My book still hasn't posted O/U for the E.Washington or James Madison games yet.

  5. #5
    Jayvegas420
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    I broke these 9 games down into 5,6,7,8 & 9 game parlays for twenty cents each.
    I figure these are barely favourites, even with the point & a half I bought on most of them so, why not parlay them to see if going 50%+ is profitable.
    Bet Confirmation - JX5112145320I - Internet Time of bet: 01/28/2013 13:09:45 Print
    Selections
    No. Selections Event Event Date E/W Terms Odds Result
    1 Over 130.0 Kansas @ West Virginia
    (Game Totals)
    01/28/2013 None -130 To Run
    2 Under 5.5 NAS Predators @ PHX Coyotes
    (Game Totals)
    01/28/2013 None -130 To Run
    3 Over 5.5 COL Avalanche @ EDM Oilers
    (Game Totals)
    01/28/2013 None +105 To Run
    4 Over 5.0 VAN Canucks @ LA Kings
    (Game Totals)
    01/28/2013 None -130 To Run
    5 Over 184.5 CHA Bobcats @ CHI Bulls
    (Game Totals)
    01/28/2013 None -130 To Run
    6 Over 193.5 ORL Magic @ BKN Nets
    (Game Totals)
    01/28/2013 None -130 To Run
    7 SAC Kings +8.5 SAC Kings @ WAS Wizards
    (Point Spread)
    01/28/2013 None -130 To Run
    8 Over 178.0 MEM Grizzlies @ PHI 76ers
    (Game Totals)
    01/28/2013 None -105 To Run
    9 Under 48.5 BAL Ravens vs SF 49ers
    (Game Totals)
    02/03/2013 None -140 To Run
    Parlays
    Wager Type No of Bets Unit Risk Risk To Return Returns
    5 Play Parlays 126 0.20 25.20 493.92

    The 6 play parlay pays $600
    The 7 play parlay pays $460
    The 8 play parlay pays $344
    and the 9 play pays $166

  6. #6
    vikesbills24
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    I tailed your parlay for shits and giggles for the games today. Put 1.00 down to win 50. Works for me, I don't really care about losing this bet.

    I agree with everyone else in the fact that it is incredibly challenging to guess when a streak stops. But...I also think your logic is actually pretty sound.

    Looking forward to this. I doubt it hits, but we shall see. GL.

  7. #7
    Jayvegas420
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    2-2 so far
    Last edited by Jayvegas420; 01-28-13 at 10:16 PM.

  8. #8
    Jayvegas420
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    I guess trying to predict when a streak is going to end isn't the best strategy!
    I went 3-4-1
    This is a fairly small sample but I can afford to run this 10-20 more times.
    I never did see a line for those two NCAAB games?
    If I had to guess I'd have won one & lost one.
    Maybe the streaks have to be more obvious?
    Maybe I should take riders advice and wait for the streak to end then take the other end for 5-6 games straight?
    I don't know?
    Points Awarded:

    vikesbills24 gave Jayvegas420 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  9. #9
    vikesbills24
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    Your play was just guesswork. It was a good try.

  10. #10
    PAULYPOKER
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  11. #11
    Jayvegas420
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    Really?
    Nearly 2 weeks later you troll my threads, where I carefully explain that this is an experiment & was just giving it a try with some small cash.
    What I bet in this thread by the way is more than Pauley has bet this year!
    Now that's something to laugh about.
    If I were like Pauley, I would have finished this thread by saying something like
    "Boy did I ever fool everybody! I picked the teams I thought were going to lose to trick everyone"
    "It's after the fact now so, I can basically say whatever I want."
    "If these games had have won I'd be the huge hero and brag & brag & brag."


    Until you start posting screen shots of your wagers I think I am going to have to stop feeding into your $H|T.


    Is this really what you want Pauley?

    You're slowing losing followers.

    I'm losing patience.


    It's your call....Start showing some balls or everyone is just gonna treat you like the joke you are.
    Try to regain some credibility here.
    Stop posting your air bets. Stop waiting till after the games to tell members whether you were really picking or just kidding.
    You're not 12.
    You can do better.
    If you don't you might find yourself in that basement!

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