Originally Posted by
SportsPedagogy
Play 11 Bulls -1.5 -115 (2.2 Units to win 2): Everybody seems to be really excited about the Wizards, but truth is, they are 3-3 in their last 6! Okay, they are also 6-3 in their last 9, which is good for a team that only has 10 wins. That being said, I like the Bulls because they are big and physical. I am not big on John Wall. I watched him at Kentucky all the time and he drove me nuts. Has to put up way too many shots to get the amount of points he scores. He shoots a career .417 on FG's, I expect that number to be lower tonight and Bulls will dominate the boards. LOSE
Play 12 Nets ML +155 (1 Unit to win 1.55): The Rockets are in turmoil. They are 2-8 in their last 10 games, whilst the Nets are 8-2. I havent watched alot of the Nets, but I have watched a lot of the Rockets because they interest me. If somebody does not get hot behind the 3-Pt line, the Rockets will struggle, James Harden is trying to do it all on his own and he is not capable of doing that. He relies to much on trying to get fouled. If the whistles do not blow and the 3's do not drop, long night for the Rockets. LOSE
Play 13 Matuushenko +425 (1 unit to win 4.25): Vlad has power and years and years of wrestling experience. I think Bader will try and stand with him, but eventually look for a takedown. Bader maybe younger and more athletic, but Vlad is alot more experienced. I think he defends Baders takedowns and eventually gets a good shot and finishes with a TKO. LOSE
Play 14 Wiman +125 (2 units to win 2.5): We have another test of Matt Wimans submission defense. Matt Wiman has never been submitted in his career, not only that, but he fought undeafeated Paul Saas (a man who won 12 out of his 13 fights by submission) and submitted him. It is time to start taking Wiman seriously. I think Wiman ventures to the ground, defends submissions, and batters away at Grant. Wiman by decision. LOSE
Play 15 Teixeira -330 (16.5 units to win 5): This is one of those fights where you feel really good about something, but you know it is only a matter of time before one of the -300+ plays blows up in your face. I am willing to risk a bit here for Teixeira. His last loss was 2005. Teix has a good striking and great ground control. I think he uses angles and footwork to keep hitting Rampage before setting up his takedowns. I am not sure if he gets a finish, but I think he will get a solid victory. WIN
Play 16 Johnson/Dodson FOTN +220 (1 unit to win 2.2) WIN
Play 17 Cerrone/Pettis FOTN +200 (1 unit to win 2) LOSE
I feel pretty good about this fights. Smaller guys usually make for better FOTN's because they do not seem to have the power to finsh each other, so you they will most likely be longer and at a faster pace. Betting on two didn't work out to well for me last time, but I feel good about one getting it, and picking up a unit.