1. #36
    face
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    also like broncos over 14.5 1H. the key is the hurry up offense. instead of wasting 30 seconds per play standing around, the broncos will be hauling ass and payton will keep finding open recievers and ravens will get tired

  2. #37
    daimoshokage
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    stupid idea

  3. #38
    tblues2005
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    Quote Originally Posted by face View Post
    also like broncos over 14.5 1H. the key is the hurry up offense. instead of wasting 30 seconds per play standing around, the broncos will be hauling ass and payton will keep finding open recievers and ravens will get tired
    Your probably right.

  4. #39
    icancount2one
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    Use your damn push chart. Teasing big dogs up even bigger is not a good play. Fukking parlay them if you're feeling both teams.

  5. #40
    icancount2one
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    Quote Originally Posted by icancount2one View Post
    Use your damn push chart. Teasing big dogs up even bigger is not a good play. Fukking parlay them if you're feeling both teams.
    Actually don't parlay them. You're giving up value there too.

  6. #41
    Phatman36
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    Broncos 1st half ML or BUST. 7 out of last 8 games they cover first half ML. Ironically the one team that they didn't cover 1st half ML for was the Bucs game.

  7. #42
    Big Bang Clock
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    Why don't you just tease NE and Denver down to -3.5 or even -2.5 if you buy a point. Much safer bet and I like both teams to smash this weekend.

  8. #43
    jazzyj7
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    I did a 4 team 12 point teaser. Baltimore+22, Texans+22, Falcons+11, packers+15. Got juiced pretty good, but just looked too good to pass on. I can see the 49ers beating the packers by 17-20 though, so that's the game I'm worried about.

  9. #44
    GunShard
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    Nevermind.
    Last edited by GunShard; 01-12-13 at 10:15 PM.

  10. #45
    Cheme82
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    The 2 best numbers you'd be crossing are the 10 and the 14 with close to 5% push probability each. All the other ones add up to less than 5%, so you are crossing about 15% worth of push numbers. You are not getting close to the 72.37% win that you need to break even on the teaser at -110. And if you consider that some locals grade a 2-team teaser with a push as a loss, you are even worse.

    A basic strategy teaser gets you close to 25% worth of push numbers with the 7,6,4, and the almighty 3. That one is obviously worth it.

    Just pick whichever team you believe has the best chance of covering and take them straight. Or tease GB and Sea up.
    Points Awarded:

    paco gave Cheme82 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  11. #46
    face
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    Quote Originally Posted by face View Post
    like broncos over 14.5 1H

  12. #47
    paco
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    1st leg is a winner

  13. #48
    paco
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    Quote Originally Posted by paco View Post
    Peyton struggles in cold weather, no?

    Baltimore was a shanked fg away from Super Bowl against pats last year, no?
    Balti bang

  14. #49
    paco
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    Quote Originally Posted by daimoshokage View Post
    stupid idea
    daimoSLANT was all in on Denver ml

  15. #50
    Ron29301
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    Cash$$$$

  16. #51
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    I think Houston gets blown out of Foxborough..........
    Quote Originally Posted by paco View Post
    Why?
    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    They are weakest team left in the AFC hunt............

    Do not match up well against NE especially with most of Brady's toys coming back...........
    My word is always good but even I don't follow my instinct sometimes.............

  17. #52
    face
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    shit. i have houston teased all the way up to 24 and they can't even cover that

  18. #53
    amrit
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    Not trying to be an asshole, but why would you tease Houston up rather than teasing NE down...the chance of NE losing or winning by less than 2.5 is much lower than Houston getting blown out.

  19. #54
    wantitall4moi
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    Quote Originally Posted by amrit View Post
    Not trying to be an asshole, but why would you tease Houston up rather than teasing NE down...the chance of NE losing or winning by less than 2.5 is much lower than Houston getting blown out.
    thats what people said about Denver....

  20. #55
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post


    My word is always good but even I don't follow my instinct sometimes.............
    Jinxed err for ya Pac

  21. #56
    paco
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    Winner daimo

  22. #57
    paco
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    Quote Originally Posted by wantitall4moi View Post
    Since 2005 Teasing a 9 point dog UP to +15 has changed the ATS results from 24-30-1 (no points) to 37-18 (+6 points) Teasing the fav down in the same game went from 30-24-1 to 41-12-2.

    For 9.5 Teasing the dog up went from 36-32 to 48-20. Teasing fave down to 3.5 (bad tease) from 32-36 to 44-24.
    Wanti sharp as always

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